Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 11

Eric Wagaman and the Miami Marlins will square off against James Wood and the Washington Nationals at loanDepot park in the final of a four-game series, on Thursday at 6:40 p.m. ET. The favored Marlins have -129 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Nationals, who are listed at +108. Miami is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total for the contest has been set at 8 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Marlins-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Nationals vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Enjoy the best moments between Washington Nationals and the Miami Marlins.

Marlins vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, September 11, 2025 at 6:40 p.m. ET
• Where: loanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to watch on TV: FDSFL and MASN

Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Marlins 6, Nationals 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Marlins 54%, Nationals 46%

Marlins vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• This season, the Marlins have been favored 26 times and won 11, or 42.3%, of those games.
• Miami is 3-11 this season when entering a game favored by -129 or more on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 56.3% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
• The Nationals have been victorious in 54, or 42.9%, of the 126 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, Washington has won 44 of 103 games when listed as at least +108 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 48.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins were the moneyline favorite for four of their last 10 games, and they went 1-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Marlins combined with their opponents to go over the run total five times.
• The Marlins have a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Otto Lopez is hitting .251 with 18 doubles, 14 home runs and 44 walks.
• Lopez is 140th in home runs and 59th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Lopez takes a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .368 with two home runs and six RBIs.
• Xavier Edwards has 20 doubles, five triples, three home runs and 45 walks while batting .282.
• Edwards ranks 354th in homers and 212th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Edwards heads into this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .273 with a home run, three walks and five RBIs.
• Agustin Ramirez is hitting .228 with 28 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 32 walks.
• Ramirez is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .235 with two walks and two RBIs.
• Wagaman is hitting .239 with 25 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 32 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• The Nationals have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents are 7-3-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Nationals have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• C.J. Abrams leads the Nationals with a .266 batting average.
• Abrams is 99th in home runs and 136th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Wood has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 27 home runs and 88 RBI.
• Wood is 29th in home runs and 20th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Luis Garcia is hitting .262 with 27 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 26 walks.
• Josh Bell has 13 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 54 walks while batting .234.

Nationals Team Props

Nationals vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Enjoy the best moments between Washington Nationals and the Miami Marlins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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