Marlins vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 18

Updated Sep. 18, 2023 9:06 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The New York Mets and Pete Alonso hit the field in the first game of a three-game series against Jorge Soler and the Miami Marlins on Monday at LoanDepot park. The Marlins are favored in this one, at -159, while the underdog Mets have +135 odds to win. Miami is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The game's over/under has been set at 8.5 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Miami Marlins looking to Edward Cabrera (6-7), and Jose Butto (1-2) taking the ball for the New York Mets.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Marlins-Mets game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Marlins vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, September 18, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Marlins	-159	+135	8.5	-115	-105	-1.5	+129	-153

Marlins vs. Mets Prediction

Score Prediction: Marlins 5, Mets 4
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Marlins 53%, Mets 47%

Marlins vs. Mets Betting Insights

This season, the Marlins have won 40 out of the 68 games, or 58.8%, in which they've been favored.
Miami has entered 24 games this season favored by -159 or more and is 18-6 in those contests.
The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 61.4% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
The Mets have been victorious in 19, or 31.7%, of the 60 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
New York has a win-loss record of 3-12 when favored by +135 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
The Mets have an implied victory probability of 42.6% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

Over the last 10 games, the Marlins were listed as the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers just once, a game they lost.
In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Marlins and their opponents combined to hit the over five times.
The Marlins' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.3
HR	15
ERA	4.71
K/9	8.7

Marlins Player Insights

Luis Arraez leads the Marlins with a team-high batting average of .353.
Arraez's home runs place him 205th in MLB, and he is 75th in RBI.
Arraez has collected a hit in eight games in a row. In his last 10 games he is batting .333 with a double, four home runs and six RBI.
Soler has shown his power as he leads his team with 36 home runs.
Soler is seventh in homers and 62nd in RBI on the year.
Jake Burger has a team-best 75 runs batted in.
Burger is on a four-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .429 with three doubles, two home runs, three walks and six RBI.
Bryan De La Cruz's 75 runs batted in lead his team.

Learn more about this Marlins vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

In three games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Mets have a record of 2-1.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
The Mets are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.9
HR	11
ERA	3.27
K/9	8.5

Mets Player Insights

Alonso has managed a team-high 45 home runs and has driven in 112 runs.
Alonso's home run total puts him second in the majors, and he ranks second in RBI.
Francisco Lindor is batting .250 with 33 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 61 walks.
Lindor ranks 31st overall in home runs and 32nd in RBI this year.
Brandon Nimmo leads the Mets with a team-high batting average of .266.
Jeff McNeil is batting .264 with 23 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 37 walks.