Mariners vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 23

Bailey Ober will start for the Minnesota Twins against the Seattle Mariners and Cal Raleigh on Monday at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Twins are +112 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favorite Mariners (-132). Seattle is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total is 8.5 runs for the contest (with -118 odds to hit the over and -103 odds on the under).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Twins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mariners vs. Twins Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, June 23, 2025 at 7:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• How to watch on TV: Fox Sports 1, MNNT, and ROOT Sports NW

Mariners vs. Twins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Twins 5, Mariners 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mariners 52%, Twins 48%

Mariners vs. Twins Betting Insights

• The Mariners have been favorites in 48 games this season and won 25 (52.1%) of those contests.
• Seattle has a record of 16-15 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -132 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 56.9% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
• The Twins have been victorious in 11, or 42.3%, of the 26 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Minnesota has been victorious three times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +112 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Twins have an implied victory probability of 47.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

• The Mariners were the moneyline favorite for six of their last 10 games, and they finished 5-1 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Mariners combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total five times.
• The Mariners' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Mariners Player Insights

• Raleigh is the Mariners best power option, crushing 31 homers this season in addition to accumulating 66 RBI, both team highs.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Raleigh ranks first in homers and second in RBI.
• Raleigh carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .500 with two doubles, five home runs, three walks and 12 RBIs.
• Julio Rodriguez is batting .252 with 10 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 22 walks.
• Of all major league hitters, Rodriguez ranks 75th in home runs and 83rd in RBI.
• Rodriguez has three games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .182 with a double, two walks and an RBI.
• J.P. Crawford leads the Mariners with a team-high batting average of .291.
• Crawford will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .238 with four walks.
• Jorge Polanco has nine doubles, 11 home runs and 14 walks while hitting .258.
• Polanco takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .222 with a double, two walks and an RBI.

Mariners Team Props

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and have gone 1-3 in those contests.
• The Twins and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
• Over their last 10 games, the Twins are 3-7-0 against the spread.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Byron Buxton leads the squad with a batting average of .285, and leads the Twins in home runs, with 17 and runs batted in with 47.
• Buxton is 13th in home runs and 27th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Ty France has 13 doubles, six home runs and 13 walks while batting .266.
• France is 165th in homers and 40th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Trevor Larnach is hitting .257 with 11 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 24 walks.
• Ryan Jeffers is hitting .248 with 14 doubles, six home runs and 28 walks.

Twins Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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