Mariners vs. Astros Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 18

The Seattle Mariners will send a hot-hitting Julio Rodriguez to the plate against the Houston Astros and Jose Altuve, who has been on a tear as of late, when the clubs square off on Friday at 10:10 p.m. ET. The favored Mariners have -146 moneyline odds against the underdog Astros, who are listed at +122. Seattle is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +154 odds). The total is 7 runs for the contest.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Astros game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mariners vs. Astros Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, July 18, 2025 at 10:10 p.m. ET
• Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
• How to watch on TV: ROOT Sports NW and SCHN

Mariners vs. Astros Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Astros 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mariners 52%, Astros 48%

Mariners vs. Astros Betting Insights

• The Mariners have won 33, or 55%, of the 60 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Seattle has a record of 13-12, a 52% win rate, when favored by -146 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Mariners, based on the moneyline, is 59.3%.
• The Astros have come away with 17 wins in the 28 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Houston has come away with a win six times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +122 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Astros have a 45% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

• The Mariners went 3-2 across the five games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Mariners and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Mariners have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Mariners Player Insights

• Cal Raleigh has gone yard 38 times in the 2025 campaign while driving in 82 runs, both totals that lead the Mariners.
• Among all MLB hitters, Raleigh is 78th in batting average, 15th in on-base percentage, and second in slugging.
• Rodriguez has 17 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 28 walks while batting .252.
• Among all MLB hitters, Rodriguez is 58th in home runs and 52nd in RBI.
• Rodriguez enters this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with three doubles, three home runs, four walks and six RBIs.
• Randy Arozarena is batting .251 with 21 doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 43 walks.
• Arozarena has at least one base hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with a double, three home runs, two walks and six RBIs.
• J.P. Crawford is batting .290 to lead his team.
• Crawford is riding a 14-game hitting streak into this one. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .341 with three doubles, a home run, five walks and six RBIs.

Mariners Team Props

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros have played as underdogs three times over their past 10 games and won each of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Astros and their opponents have failed to hit the over three times.
• The Astros have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Altuve has racked up a team-leading 52 runs batted in.
• In all of the big leagues, Altuve is 31st in homers and 48th in RBI.
• Altuve has collected a hit in five straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .444 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and six RBIs.
• Isaac Paredes has hit a team-best 19 home runs.
• Paredes ranks 18th overall in homers and 58th in RBI this year.
• Yainer Diaz is batting .246 with 11 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 14 walks.
• Cam Smith has 16 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 27 walks while batting .277.

Astros Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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