Giants vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 11

Xander Bogaerts and Jung Hoo Lee hit the field when the San Diego Padres and San Francisco Giants meet on Monday at Oracle Park. Bookmakers list the Giants as -130 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Padres +109 moneyline odds to win. San Francisco is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 7 runs for the matchup (with -125 odds to go over and +105 odds on the under).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Giants-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Keep up with MLB on FOX Sports.

Red Sox vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Boston Red Sox and the San Diego Padres.

Giants vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, August 11, 2025 at 9:45 p.m. ET
• Where: Oracle Park in San Francisco, California
• How to watch on TV: NBCS-BA and SDPA

Giants vs. Padres Prediction

• Score Prediction: Giants 5, Padres 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
• Win Probabilities: Giants 52%, Padres 48%

Giants vs. Padres Betting Insights

• The Giants have entered the game as favorites 72 times this season and won 37, or 51.4%, of those games.
• San Francisco has entered 58 games this season favored by -130 or more and is 30-28 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.5% chance of a victory for the Giants.
• The Padres have been underdogs in 53 games this season and have come away with the win 27 times (50.9%) in those contests.
• This year, San Diego has won 18 of 39 games when listed as at least +109 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 47.8% chance of pulling out a win.

Giants Recent Betting Performance

• The Giants were favored on the moneyline for seven of their last 10 games, and they finished 3-4 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Giants and their opponents combined to go over the total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Giants' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Giants Recent Stats

Giants Player Insights

• Rafael Devers is the Giants best power option, hitting 22 long balls this season in addition to delivering 80 RBI, both team highs.
• In all of MLB, Devers is 25th in homers and ninth in RBI.
• Lee is batting .256 with 27 doubles, nine triples, six home runs and 38 walks.
• Lee is 238th in homers and 115th in RBI in the bigs.
• Willy Adames is hitting .229 with 18 doubles, two triples, 18 home runs and 55 walks.
• Heliot Ramos has a club-high .273 batting average.
• Ramos has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with three walks.

Giants Team Props

Padres Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, oddsmakers have not installed the Padres as underdogs once.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
• The Padres are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Padres Recent Stats

Padres Player Insights

• Manny Machado paces the Padres with 20 home runs and 72 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .297.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Machado ranks 37th in homers and 19th in RBI.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. is batting .262 with 19 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 66 walks.
• Tatis ranks 62nd overall in home runs and 115th in RBI this year.
• Luis Arraez is hitting .295 with 23 doubles, four triples, six home runs and 24 walks.
• Bogaerts is hitting .271 with 25 doubles, 10 home runs and 46 walks.

Padres Team Props

Nationals vs. Giants Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best highlights between the Washington Nationals and San Francisco Giants.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

San Francisco Giants

San Diego Padres