Cubs vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 3

Kyle Tucker and the Chicago Cubs take on Steven Kwan and the Cleveland Guardians on Thursday at 8:05 p.m. ET. The Cubs are -137 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Guardians (+116). Chicago is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +152 odds). An 8.5-run over/under has been listed in this game.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Cubs-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Guardians vs. Cubs Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between Cleveland Guardians and Chicago Cubs.

Cubs vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, July 3, 2025 at 8:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, MARQ, and CLEG

Cubs vs. Guardians Prediction

• Score Prediction: Cubs 5, Guardians 3
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Cubs 59%, Guardians 41%

Cubs vs. Guardians Betting Insights

• The Cubs have won 41, or 69.5%, of the 59 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Chicago is 30-11 this season when entering a game favored by -137 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.8% chance of a victory for the Cubs.
• The Guardians have come away with 21 wins in the 51 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Cleveland has a win-loss record of 9-14 when favored by +116 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 46.3% chance of walking away with the win.

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

• The Cubs went 4-2 across the six games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Cubs and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times.
• The Cubs' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Cubs Player Insights

• The Cubs best hitter so far this season is Tucker, who's hitting at a team-leading .290 rate along with 17 homers and 52 RBI.
• Tucker ranks 22nd in homers and 24th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Tucker has collected a hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and three RBIs.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong is batting .268 with 20 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 16 walks.
• Crow-Armstrong ranks eighth in home runs and eighth in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Crow-Armstrong has two games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .211 with a triple, two walks and three RBIs.
• Seiya Suzuki has a team-high 23 home runs and 73 runs batted in.
• Suzuki will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with a double, a triple, two home runs, two walks and six RBIs.
• Nico Hoerner is batting .288 with 17 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 18 walks.

Cubs Team Props

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians have played as underdogs five times over their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Guardians are 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Jose Ramirez paces the Guardians in home runs (13), runs batted in (38) and has put up a team-high batting average of .301.
• In all of the big leagues, Ramirez is 46th in home runs and 89th in RBI.
• Kwan has 18 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 29 walks while batting .292.
• Among all major league hitters, Kwan is 182nd in home runs and 183rd in RBI.
• Carlos Santana has a team-high 38 runs batted in.
• Kyle Manzardo has swatted a team-high 13 long balls.

Guardians Team Props

Guardians vs. Cubs Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between Cleveland Guardians and Chicago Cubs.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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