
Braves vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 5
TJ Friedl and Alex Verdugo will hit the field when the Cincinnati Reds and Atlanta Braves meet on Monday at Truist Park. The favored Braves have -135 moneyline odds against the underdog Reds, who are listed at +115. Atlanta is a 1.5-run favorite (at +156 odds). The over/under is 8.5 runs for this game.
Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Reds game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Nationals vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX
Braves vs. Reds Game Information & Odds
- When: Monday, May 5, 2025 at 7:15 p.m. ET
- Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
- How to watch on TV: MLB Network, FDSSO, and FDSOH
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -135 | +115 | 8.5 | -116 | -104 | -1.5 | +156 | -188 |
Braves vs. Reds Prediction
- Score Prediction: Braves 5, Reds 4
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Braves 52%, Reds 48%
Braves vs. Reds Betting Insights
- The Braves have won 12, or 52.2%, of the 23 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Atlanta is 8-7 this season when entering a game favored by -135 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.4% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- The Reds have been victorious in eight, or 50%, of the 16 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win three times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Reds have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Braves Recent Betting Performance
- The Braves have a 4-3 record from the seven games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
- Over their last 10 matchups, the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
- The Braves have gone 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.
Braves Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.64 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
Braves Player Insights
- Ozzie Albies is hitting .242 with four doubles, five home runs and 11 walks.
- Among all MLB batters, Albies is 96th in batting average, 112th in on-base percentage, and 98th in slugging.
- Matt Olson is batting .222 with five doubles, five home runs and 26 walks.
- Olson is 57th in homers and 77th in RBI in the major leagues.
- Marcell Ozuna has four doubles, five home runs and 29 walks while hitting .287.
- Ozuna will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .167 with a double and three walks.
- Austin Riley has put his power on display as he leads his team with eight home runs and 24 RBI, with a team-leading .292 batting average.
- Riley brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .350 with a double, two home runs, a walk and six RBI.
Braves Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris II | 0.5 (-215) | 1.5 (+135) | - | 0.5 (+180) |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 (-185) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+165) |
| Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+115) | - | 0.5 (+155) |
| Austin Riley | 0.5 (-245) | 1.5 (+110) | - | 0.5 (+160) |
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+135) | - | 0.5 (+215) |
Reds Recent Betting Performance
- Over the past 10 games, the Reds have been underdogs just once and won that contest.
- The Reds and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Reds are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Reds Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.30 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
Reds Player Insights
- Elly De La Cruz paces the Reds in home runs (five) and runs batted in (25).
- Among all batters in the big leagues, De La Cruz ranks 57th in homers and 15th in RBI.
- Friedl is hitting .271 with six doubles, a triple, a home run and 11 walks.
- Friedl ranks 226th among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 127th in RBI.
- Gavin Lux leads the Reds with a team-best batting average of .300.
- Noelvi Marte has four doubles, a triple, three home runs and five walks while batting .294.
Reds Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt McLain | 0.5 (-190) | 1.5 (+135) | - | 0.5 (+180) |
| Gavin Lux | 0.5 (-195) | 1.5 (+145) | - | 0.5 (+160) |
| Elly De La Cruz | 0.5 (-210) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+160) |
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 (-190) | 0.5 (-190) | - | 0.5 (+175) |
| Tyler Callihan | 0.5 (-120) | 0.5 (-125) | - | 0.5 (+240) |
Nationals vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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