Braves vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 5

Braves vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 5

Updated May. 5, 2025 7:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

TJ Friedl and Alex Verdugo will hit the field when the Cincinnati Reds and Atlanta Braves meet on Monday at Truist Park. The favored Braves have -135 moneyline odds against the underdog Reds, who are listed at +115. Atlanta is a 1.5-run favorite (at +156 odds). The over/under is 8.5 runs for this game.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Reds game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Nationals vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Washington Nationals and the Cincinnati Reds.

Braves vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

  • When: Monday, May 5, 2025 at 7:15 p.m. ET
  • Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
  • How to watch on TV: MLB Network, FDSSO, and FDSOH
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves -135 +115 8.5 -116 -104 -1.5 +156 -188

Braves vs. Reds Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 5, Reds 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Braves 52%, Reds 48%

Braves vs. Reds Betting Insights

  • The Braves have won 12, or 52.2%, of the 23 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Atlanta is 8-7 this season when entering a game favored by -135 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.4% chance of a victory for the Braves.
  • The Reds have been victorious in eight, or 50%, of the 16 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win three times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Reds have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • The Braves have a 4-3 record from the seven games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Braves have gone 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 8
ERA 3.64
K/9 9.0

Braves Player Insights

  • Ozzie Albies is hitting .242 with four doubles, five home runs and 11 walks.
  • Among all MLB batters, Albies is 96th in batting average, 112th in on-base percentage, and 98th in slugging.
  • Matt Olson is batting .222 with five doubles, five home runs and 26 walks.
  • Olson is 57th in homers and 77th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Marcell Ozuna has four doubles, five home runs and 29 walks while hitting .287.
  • Ozuna will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .167 with a double and three walks.
  • Austin Riley has put his power on display as he leads his team with eight home runs and 24 RBI, with a team-leading .292 batting average.
  • Riley brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .350 with a double, two home runs, a walk and six RBI.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Michael Harris II 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+180)
Matt Olson 0.5 (-185) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+165)
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+155)
Austin Riley 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+160)
Alex Verdugo 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+215)

Reds Recent Betting Performance

  • Over the past 10 games, the Reds have been underdogs just once and won that contest.
  • The Reds and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Reds are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 9
ERA 4.30
K/9 9.0

Reds Player Insights

  • Elly De La Cruz paces the Reds in home runs (five) and runs batted in (25).
  • Among all batters in the big leagues, De La Cruz ranks 57th in homers and 15th in RBI.
  • Friedl is hitting .271 with six doubles, a triple, a home run and 11 walks.
  • Friedl ranks 226th among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 127th in RBI.
  • Gavin Lux leads the Reds with a team-best batting average of .300.
  • Noelvi Marte has four doubles, a triple, three home runs and five walks while batting .294.

Reds Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Matt McLain 0.5 (-190) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+180)
Gavin Lux 0.5 (-195) 1.5 (+145) - 0.5 (+160)
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+160)
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 (-190) 0.5 (-190) - 0.5 (+175)
Tyler Callihan 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (-125) - 0.5 (+240)

Nationals vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Washington Nationals and the Cincinnati Reds.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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