Braves vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 5

Matt Olson and the Atlanta Braves will play Gunnar Henderson and the Baltimore Orioles on Saturday at Truist Park, at 4:10 p.m. ET. The Braves are favored in this one, at -153, while the underdog Orioles have +128 odds to play spoiler. Atlanta is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +138 odds). The over/under for the game has been set at 9 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Orioles vs. Braves Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Baltimore Orioles and the Atlanta Braves.

Braves vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, July 5, 2025 at 4:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
• How to watch on TV: FDSSO and MASN2

Braves vs. Orioles Prediction

• Score Prediction: Braves 5, Orioles 3
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Braves 61%, Orioles 39%

Braves vs. Orioles Betting Insights

• The Braves have been favorites in 69 games this season and won 35 (50.7%) of those contests.
• This season Atlanta has won 22 of its 43 games, or 51.2%, when favored by at least -153 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Braves, based on the moneyline, is 60.5%.
• The Orioles have been underdogs in 39 games this season and have come away with the win 16 times (41%) in those contests.
• Baltimore has a mark of 3-9 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +128 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 43.9% chance of walking away with the win.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• The Braves have a 3-5 record across the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Braves combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total four times.
• The Braves' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• The Braves' best power option comes in the form of Olson and his 16-dinger 56-RBI season, both team highs.
• Of all batters in baseball, Olson's home run total places him 32nd, and his RBI tally ranks him 17th.
• Marcell Ozuna has 10 doubles, 11 home runs and 62 walks while hitting .241.
• Ozuna is 79th in homers and 83rd in RBI on the year.
• Austin Riley leads the Braves with a .273 batting average.
• Ozzie Albies has 11 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 31 walks while batting .222.

Braves Team Props

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

• The Orioles have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Orioles and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• Over their last 10 games, the Orioles are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Orioles Recent Stats

Orioles Player Insights

• Henderson is batting .279 with 17 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 31 walks.
• Henderson is 98th in home runs and 157th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Henderson carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with three doubles, a home run, a walk and four RBIs.
• Ryan O'Hearn has a club-high .290 batting average.
• O'Hearn is 79th in home runs and 147th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Cedric Mullins has been solid source of run production for the Orioles with 13 long balls and 41 runs batted in.
• Jackson Holliday is batting .252 with 12 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 19 walks.

Orioles Team Props

Orioles vs. Braves Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Baltimore Orioles and the Atlanta Braves.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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