Braves vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 23

Braves vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 23

Updated Sep. 23, 2025 7:00 p.m. ET
FOX Sports

The Atlanta Braves will look to Matt Olson for continued success at the plate when they square off against James Wood and the Washington Nationals on Tuesday. The Braves are the favorite in this one, at -203, while the underdog Nationals have +167 odds to upset. Atlanta is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The game's total has been set at 9 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Braves vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, September 23, 2025 at 7:15 p.m. ET
  • Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
  • How to watch on TV: FDSSO and MASN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Braves -203 +167 9 -103 -117 -1.5 -104 -116

Braves vs. Nationals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 5, Nationals 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Braves 58%, Nationals 42%

Braves vs. Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Braves have been favorites in 100 games this season and won 52 (52%) of those contests.
  • Atlanta is 12-6 this season when entering a game favored by -203 or more on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 67% chance to win.
  • The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 138 games this year and have walked away with the win 58 times (42%) in those games.
  • This year, Washington has won eight of 31 games when listed as at least +167 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 37.5% chance of pulling out a win.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • The Braves played five of their last 10 games as a moneyline favorite, and won all of them.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Braves are 9-1-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 9-1
Runs Per Game 7.4
HR 17
ERA 3.16
K/9 10.2

Braves Player Insights

  • Olson has accumulated a team-high batting average of .276, while leading the Braves in home runs (28) and runs batted in (93).
  • Among all MLB batters, Olson is 30th in batting average, ninth in on-base percentage, and 21st in slugging.
  • Drake Baldwin is hitting .275 with 16 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 37 walks.
  • Baldwin has six games in a row with at least one hit. In his last 10 games he is batting .325 with three doubles, a triple, three home runs, three walks and 14 RBIs.
  • Michael Harris II is hitting .244 with 25 doubles, six triples, 17 home runs and 16 walks.
  • Harris is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with two doubles, two walks and four RBIs.
  • Marcell Ozuna is hitting .233 with 19 doubles, 20 home runs and 92 walks.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Matt Olson 0.5 (-271) 1.5 (-101) - 0.5 (+134)
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 (-221) 1.5 (+128) - 0.5 (+153)
Jurickson Profar 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+106) - 0.5 (+164)
Ha-Seong Kim 0.5 (-217) 1.5 (+150) - 0.5 (+164)
Ronald Acuna 1.5 (+162) 1.5 (-110) - 0.5 (+128)

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

  • The Nationals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Nationals and their opponents are 4-5-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Nationals are 3-7-0 against the spread.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 6
ERA 6.33
K/9 7.6

Nationals Player Insights

  • C.J. Abrams leads the Nationals with a .259 batting average.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Abrams is 99th in homers and 130th in RBI.
  • Wood been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with 27 home runs and 89 runs batted in.
  • Wood is currently 35th in home runs and 26th in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Luis Garcia is batting .255 with 28 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 26 walks.
  • Josh Bell is hitting .233 with 15 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 55 walks.

Nationals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Luis Garcia 0.5 (-229) 1.5 (+146) - 0.5 (+198)
Daylen Lile 1.5 (+189) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+169)
Robert Hassell III - - - -
Josh Bell - - - -
Jorge Alfaro - - - -

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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