
Braves vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 17
The Atlanta Braves and Washington Nationals meet on Wednesday at 4:05 p.m. ET. Matt Olson and Josh Bell have been on a tear in recent games for their respective teams. The Nationals are +124 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favored Braves (-149). Atlanta is a 1.5-run favorite (at +112 odds). The matchup's total has been set at 8.5 runs.
Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Pirates vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX
Braves vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds
- When: Wednesday, September 17, 2025 at 4:05 p.m. ET
- Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
- How to watch on TV: MASN and FDSSO
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -149 | +124 | 8.5 | -106 | -114 | -1.5 | +112 | -134 |
Braves vs. Nationals Prediction
- Score Prediction: Braves 6, Nationals 5
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Braves 51%, Nationals 49%
Braves vs. Nationals Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have been favored 98 times and won 50, or 51%, of those games.
- Atlanta has entered 57 games this season favored by -149 or more and is 28-29 in those contests.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 59.8% chance of a victory for the Braves.
- The Nationals have been underdogs in 133 games this season and have come away with the win 56 times (42.1%) in those contests.
- This season, Washington has come away with a win 31 times in 85 chances when named as an underdog of at least +124 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 44.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Braves Recent Betting Performance
- The Braves played as the moneyline favorite in five of their last 10 games, and went 3-2 in those matchups.
- In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over four times.
- The Braves are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.
Braves Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.85 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
Braves Player Insights
- Olson is the bat to watch in the Braves lineup, leading the team in batting average (.278), home runs (27), and RBI (91).
- Olson's home runs put him 33rd in MLB, and he is 19th in RBI.
- Olson has collected a hit in five straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .478 with three doubles, a triple, four home runs, a walk and 10 RBIs.
- Ozzie Albies has 22 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 52 walks while hitting .237.
- Albies ranks 117th in homers and 73rd in RBI on the year.
- Michael Harris II is hitting .243 with 23 doubles, six triples, 17 home runs and 14 walks.
- Harris has at least one base hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with a double.
- Marcell Ozuna has 18 doubles, 20 home runs and 90 walks while batting .229.
- Ozuna brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .235 with a double and three walks.
Braves Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronald Acuna | 0.5 (-273) | 1.5 (+114) | - | 0.5 (+145) |
| Ozzie Albies | 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 (+150) | - | 0.5 (+192) |
| Michael Harris II | 0.5 (-218) | 1.5 (+141) | - | 0.5 (+183) |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 (-255) | 1.5 (+107) | - | 0.5 (+150) |
| Jurickson Profar | 1.5 (+185) | 1.5 (+103) | - | 0.5 (+170) |
Nationals Recent Betting Performance
- In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 4-6.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents are 5-4-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Nationals have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.
Nationals Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 5.66 |
| K/9 | 6.6 |
Nationals Player Insights
- C.J. Abrams paces the Nationals with a team-leading batting average of .261.
- Among all hitters in the majors, Abrams' home run total ranks 101st and his RBI tally ranks 130th.
- James Wood has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 27 home runs and 88 runs batted in.
- Wood ranks 33rd in homers and 25th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
- Luis Garcia has 27 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 26 walks while batting .255.
- Bell is hitting .231 with 13 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 55 walks.
Nationals Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 (-227) | 1.5 (+143) | - | 0.5 (+193) |
| Josh Bell | 0.5 (-223) | 1.5 (+134) | - | 0.5 (+176) |
| Daylen Lile | 0.5 (-242) | 1.5 (+130) | - | 0.5 (+178) |
| C.J. Abrams | 0.5 (-222) | 1.5 (+137) | - | 0.5 (+231) |
| Brady House | - | - | - | - |
Pirates vs. Nationals Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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