Braves vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 22

AJ Smith-Shawver will start for the Atlanta Braves on Thursday at Nationals Park against C.J. Abrams and the Washington Nationals. First pitch is at 6:45 p.m. ET for the final game of a two-game series. The Nationals are +130 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the Braves (-154). Atlanta is a 1.5-run favorite (at +108 odds). The over/under is 8.5 runs for this contest.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Braves-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Braves vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, May 22, 2025 at 6:45 p.m. ET
• Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
• How to watch on TV: MASN2 and FDSSO

Braves vs. Nationals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Braves 6, Nationals 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Braves 50%, Nationals 50%

Braves vs. Nationals Betting Insights

• This season, the Braves have been favored 36 times and won 20, or 55.6%, of those games.
• Atlanta has entered 18 games this season favored by -154 or more and is 12-6 in those contests.
• The Braves have a 60.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Nationals have been underdogs in 41 games this season and have come away with the win 20 times (48.8%) in those contests.
• Washington has a mark of 9-15 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +130 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 43.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• The Braves have a 5-3 record across the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Braves and their opponents combined to go over the run total two times.
• The Braves have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Matt Olson's 10 big flies in 2025 are the most on the Braves. He's also driven in 26 runs while hitting .240.
• Olson's home runs put him 19th in the majors, and he ranks 57th in RBI.
• Olson carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .400 with two doubles, three home runs, a walk and five RBIs.
• Marcell Ozuna is batting .266 with six doubles, eight home runs and 40 walks.
• Of all major league batters, Ozuna ranks 45th in home runs and 89th in RBI.
• Ozuna has three games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .235 with two home runs, four walks and five RBIs.
• Austin Riley leads the Braves with 28 runs batted in while racking up a team-best batting average of .283.
• Ozzie Albies is hitting .225 with six doubles, five home runs and 15 walks.
• Albies is riding a seven-game hitting streak into this one. During his last 10 games he is batting .225 with two doubles, two walks and two RBIs.

Braves Team Props

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

• In nine games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 5-4.
• The Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Nationals have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Nationals Player Insights

• James Wood paces the Nationals with 12 long balls.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Wood's home run total ranks ninth and his RBI tally ranks 25th.
• Wood takes a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .389 with a home run, three walks and five RBIs.
• Abrams has a club-high .313 batting average.
• Abrams ranks 45th among all batters in MLB in home runs, and 129th in RBI.
• Nathaniel Lowe has collected a team-high 34 runs batted in.
• Luis Garcia is batting .230 with seven doubles, four home runs and 10 walks.

Nationals Team Props

Nationals vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments from this MLB game between the Washington Nationals and the Philadelphia Phillies!

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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