Braves vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 5

Logan Gilbert takes the mound for the Seattle Mariners on Friday at Truist Park against Drake Baldwin and the Atlanta Braves. First pitch is at 7:15 p.m. ET for the first game of a three-game series. The Braves are the favorite in this one, at -128, while the underdog Mariners have +107 odds to upset. Atlanta is the run-line favorite (-1.5). A 7.5-run over/under is set in the matchup.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Braves-Mariners game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Braves vs. Mariners Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, September 5, 2025 at 7:15 p.m. ET
• Where: Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia
• How to watch on TV: FDSSO and ROOT Sports NW

Braves vs. Mariners Prediction

• Score Prediction: Braves 5, Mariners 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Braves 52%, Mariners 48%

Braves vs. Mariners Betting Insights

• This season, the Braves have won 46 out of the 91 games, or 50.5%, in which they've been favored.
• Atlanta has a record of 38-37 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -128 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 56.1% chance of a victory for the Braves.
• The Mariners have come away with 20 wins in the 42 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Seattle has been victorious 12 times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least +107 or longer on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 48.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• The Braves were the moneyline favorite in three of their last 10 games, and they went 2-1 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Braves and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Braves have gone 8-2-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Matt Olson's 21 homers and 77 RBI both lead the Braves, in addition to his team-high .268 average.
• Of all batters in MLB, Olson's home run total ranks him 57th, and his RBI tally ranks him 34th.
• Ozzie Albies is hitting .240 with 21 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 50 walks.
• Albies is 116th in home runs in the majors, and 81st in RBI.
• Albies carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .421 with a double, two home runs, two walks and three RBIs.
• Michael Harris II has racked up a team-best 77 runs batted in.
• Marcell Ozuna has 14 doubles, 20 home runs and 87 walks while batting .228.

Braves Team Props

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

• The Mariners have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and lost that contest.
• The Mariners and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Mariners have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Mariners Recent Stats

Mariners Player Insights

• Cal Raleigh has a team-leading 51 home runs and has driven in 109 runs.
• Raleigh ranks first in home runs and third in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Raleigh has collected a hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with a home run, a walk and two RBIs.
• Julio Rodriguez is hitting .264 with 24 doubles, four triples, 28 home runs and 34 walks.
• Among all major league hitters, Rodriguez is 18th in home runs and 23rd in RBI.
• Josh Naylor paces the Mariners with a team-best batting average of .280.
• Eugenio Suarez is hitting .236 with 25 doubles, 42 home runs and 38 walks.

Mariners Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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