Blue Jays vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28

Kevin Gausman is set to start for the Toronto Blue Jays on Sunday against Chandler Simpson and the Tampa Bay Rays. First pitch is at 3:07 p.m. ET at Rogers Centre. The Blue Jays are -213 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Rays (+176). Toronto (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The total for the contest is set at 7.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Blue Jays-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Blue Jays vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 3:07 p.m. ET
• Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
• How to watch on TV: SNET and FDSSUN

Blue Jays vs. Rays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Rays 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Blue Jays 55%, Rays 45%

Blue Jays vs. Rays Betting Insights

• The Blue Jays have won 50, or 58.8%, of the 85 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Toronto has entered four games this season favored by -213 or more, and won each of those games.
• The Blue Jays have a 68.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Rays have been chosen as underdogs in 80 games this year and have walked away with the win 33 times (41.2%) in those games.
• Tampa Bay has played as an underdog of +176 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
• The Rays have an implied victory probability of 36.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

• The Blue Jays played as the moneyline favorite for nine of their last 10 games, and went 4-5 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Blue Jays combined with their opponents to go over the run total three times.
• The Blue Jays' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Blue Jays Player Insights

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .293 with 34 doubles, 23 home runs and 81 walks.
• Guerrero's home runs put him 61st in the majors, and he ranks 45th in RBI.
• George Springer's 31 home runs are a team-high mark.
• Among all major league hitters, Springer ranks 19th in homers and 50th in RBI.
• Springer enters this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with a double, a home run, three walks and two RBIs.
• Ernie Clement is batting .277 with 35 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 26 walks.
• Clement is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is batting .222 with two doubles and three RBIs.
• Alejandro Kirk has 17 doubles, 13 home runs and 48 walks while hitting .278.

Blue Jays Team Props

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and have gone 4-3 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Rays and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
• The Rays have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Junior Caminero has managed a team-high 45 home runs and has driven in 110 runs.
• Caminero is sixth in homers and eighth in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Caminero carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .412 with a home run, two walks and two RBIs.
• Yandy Diaz is hitting .300 to lead the lineup.
• Diaz ranks 48th overall in homers and 45th in RBI this year.
• Brandon Lowe is batting .256 with 19 doubles, 31 home runs and 38 walks.
• Simpson has 15 doubles, three triples and 20 walks while batting .295.

Rays Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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