Astros vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 29

Jonathan Aranda will lead the Tampa Bay Rays into a matchup with Isaac Paredes and the Houston Astros on Thursday at 8:10 p.m. ET, in the first game of a four-game series at Daikin Park. Bookmakers list the Astros as -116 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Rays -104 moneyline odds to win. Tampa Bay is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +156 odds). The over/under is 8.5 runs for the game.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Astros-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Athletics vs. Astros Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Athletics and the Houston Astros.

Astros vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, May 29, 2025 at 8:10 p.m. ET
• Where: Daikin Park in Houston, Texas
• How to watch on TV: SCHN and FDSSUN

Astros vs. Rays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Astros 5, Rays 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Astros 55%, Rays 45%

Astros vs. Rays Betting Insights

• The Astros have been favorites in 36 games this season and won 20 (55.6%) of those contests.
• Houston has a record of 18-14 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -116 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.7% chance of a victory for the Astros.
• The Rays have been underdogs in 24 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (50%) in those contests.
• This season, Tampa Bay has come away with a win 11 times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least -104 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Rays have an implied victory probability of 51% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros went 3-2 across the five games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Astros and their opponents combined to go over the total three times.
• The Astros' record against the spread is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Paredes has gone yard 11 times in the 2025 campaign while driving in 32 runs, both totals that lead the Astros.
• Paredes' home runs put him 22nd in the majors, and he is 29th in RBI.
• Jeremy Pena has a club-best .297 batting average.
• Pena ranks 78th in homers in MLB, and 68th in RBI.
• Pena has four games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .286 with a home run, two walks and two RBIs.
• Jose Altuve has six doubles, eight home runs and 16 walks while batting .267.
• Jake Meyers is hitting .293 with eight doubles, a triple, three home runs and 16 walks.

Astros Team Props

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• In three games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Rays have a record of 2-1.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Rays and their opponents are 2-7-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Rays have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• The Rays are led in runs batted in by Aranda with a mark of 30, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .315.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Aranda is 78th in home runs and 44th in RBI.
• Aranda takes a hitting streak of four games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .389 with a double, a home run, two walks and six RBIs.
• Yandy Diaz is batting .233 with 10 doubles, seven home runs and 13 walks.
• Diaz ranks 78th in home runs and 53rd in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Junior Caminero is batting .249 with 10 doubles, 10 home runs and nine walks.
• Brandon Lowe has a team-high 11 home runs and has driven in 30 runs.

Rays Team Props

Athletics vs. Astros Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Athletics and the Houston Astros.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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