Astros vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 29

Astros vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 29

Updated Jul. 29, 2025 8:00 p.m. ET
FOX Sports

The Washington Nationals and Josh Bell hit the field at Daikin Park against Yainer Diaz and the Houston Astros on Tuesday. The Astros are the favorite in this one, at -122, while the underdog Nationals have +102 odds to upset. Houston is a 1.5-run favorite (at +163 odds). The game's total is set at 8.5 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Astros-Nationals game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Astros vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

  • When: Tuesday, July 29, 2025 at 8:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Daikin Park in Houston, Texas
  • How to watch on TV: SCHN and MASN2
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Astros -122 +102 8.5 -106 -115 -1.5 +163 -198

Astros vs. Nationals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Astros 5, Nationals 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Astros 58%, Nationals 42%

Astros vs. Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Astros have been favorites in 74 games this season and won 40 (54.1%) of those contests.
  • Houston is 28-25 this season when entering a game favored by -122 or more on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 55%.
  • The Nationals have been underdogs in 90 games this season and have come away with the win 40 times (44.4%) in those contests.
  • Washington has a win-loss record of 35-42 when favored by +102 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 49.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

  • The Astros have a 1-5 record from the six games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Astros and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Astros' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 6
ERA 4.45
K/9 9.4

Astros Player Insights

  • Jose Altuve has collected a team-best 53 runs batted in.
  • Altuve ranks 47th in home runs and 59th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Diaz has 14 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 15 walks while hitting .244.
  • Diaz is 95th in homers and 133rd in RBI in the majors.
  • Christian Walker has put up a team-best 53 runs batted in.
  • Walker has at least one base hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .200 with two doubles, two walks and an RBI.
  • Cam Smith is batting .258 with 17 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 30 walks.

Astros Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Yainer Diaz 0.5 (-265) 1.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+145)
Jose Altuve 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+190)
Christian Walker 0.5 (-195) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+165)
Cam Smith 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+185)
Victor Caratini - - - -

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

  • In 10 games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Nationals had a record of 6-4.
  • The Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Nationals have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 9
ERA 3.74
K/9 5.9

Nationals Player Insights

  • James Wood has posted a team-high 24 home runs and has driven in 70 runs.
  • Wood's home run total puts him 12th in the majors, and he ranks 13th in RBI.
  • C.J. Abrams has a club-high .272 batting average.
  • Abrams is currently 80th in homers and 122nd in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Luis Garcia is batting .262 with 22 doubles, eight home runs and 20 walks.
  • Nathaniel Lowe has 16 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 39 walks while hitting .226.

Nationals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Luis Garcia 0.5 (-265) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+175)
Josh Bell 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+130)
James Wood 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+160)
C.J. Abrams 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+195)
Brady House 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+155) - 0.5 (+225)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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