USC vs. Missouri State Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 30, 2025

Updated Aug. 30, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Missouri State Bears (0-0) are heavy 36.5-point underdogs on Saturday, August 30, 2025 against the USC Trojans (0-0). The over/under is 59.5 for this matchup.

The Trojans finished 7-6 last season and won the Las Vegas Bowl. They scored 30.2 points per game (51st in college football) and allowed 24.1 (56th). Last year, the Bears fell short of a bowl appearance after finishing 8-4 in the regular season. On offense they averaged 34.8 points per game (13th in college football), and they allowed 30.2 per game (91st in college football) on defense.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

USC vs. Missouri State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, August 30, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
Location: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum in Los Angeles, California
TV: BTN
Streaming: FOXSports.com, FOX Sports App and FOX One (Try free for 7 days)

USC vs Missouri State Betting Information updated as of August 30, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
USC	-36.5 (-111)	-16667	+2625	59.5	-111	-109

USC vs. Missouri State Prediction

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the USC Trojans vs. the Missouri State Bears game on FOX Sports!

USC vs. Missouri State Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Trojans 48, Bears 12.
The Trojans have a 99.4% chance to win this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Bears have a 3.7% implied probability.
USC compiled an 8-5-0 record against the spread last season.
Missouri State put together a 5-6-0 ATS record last year.

USC vs. Missouri State: 2024 Stats Comparison

	USC	Missouri State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	30.2 (50)	34.8 (17)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	24.1 (58)	30.2 (95)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	21 (98)	2 (43)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	18 (59)	1 (50)

USC 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jo'Quavious Marks	RB	1,133 YDS / 9 TD / 94.4 YPG / 5.7 YPC 47 REC / 321 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 29.2 REC YPG
Miller Moss	QB	2,555 YDS (64.4%) / 18 TD / 9 INT -18 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / -2.0 RUSH YPG
Ja'Kobi Lane	WR	43 REC / 525 YDS / 12 TD / 43.8 YPG
Jayden Maiava	QB	1,201 YDS (60.1%) / 11 TD / 5 INT 45 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / 4.5 RUSH YPG
Easton Mascarenas-Arnold	LB	90 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK / 2 INT
Kamari Ramsey	DB	50 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK / 1 INT
Mason Cobb	LB	62 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Jaylin Smith	DB	49 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD

Missouri State 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jacob Clark	QB	3,604 YDS (69.1%) / 26 TD / 6 INT 8 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 0.7 RUSH YPG
Jacardia Wright	RB	824 YDS / 14 TD / 68.7 YPG / 4.5 YPC 35 REC / 403 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 36.6 REC YPG
Jayden Becks	RB	460 YDS / 7 TD / 38.3 YPG / 6.8 YPC 20 REC / 235 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 23.5 REC YPG
Jmariyae Robinson	WR	38 REC / 585 YDS / 4 TD / 48.8 YPG
Darion Smith	DL	3 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 7.0 SACK
Lemondre Joe	DB	10 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 3 INT / 0 PD
Kanye Young	LB	5 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK / 1 INT
Jalen Williams	DL	2 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 5.5 SACK