TCU vs. Kansas State Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 11, 2025

Updated Oct. 11, 2025 3:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Oddsmakers expect a tight game between Big 12 foes when the TCU Horned Frogs (4-1) visit the Kansas State Wildcats (2-4) on Saturday, October 11, 2025 at Bill Snyder Family Stadium. Kansas State is a 2.5-point underdogs. The contest has a point total of 54.5.

Against the Colorado Buffaloes in their last contest, the Horned Frogs won 35-21. In their most recent game, the Wildcats lost versus the Baylor Bears, 35-34.

Keep up with college football all season on FOX Sports.

TCU vs. Kansas State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan, Kansas
TV: FOX
Streaming: FOXSports.com, FOX Sports App and FOX One (Try free for 7 days)

TCU vs Kansas State Betting Information updated as of October 11, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
TCU	-2.5 (-110)	-135	+114	54.5	-115	-105

TCU vs. Kansas State Prediction

Pick ATS: TCU (-2.5)
Pick OU: Under (54.5)
Prediction: TCU 31, Kansas State 23

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the TCU Horned Frogs vs. the Kansas State Wildcats game on FOX Sports!

TCU vs. Kansas State Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Horned Frogs 28, Wildcats 26.
The Horned Frogs have a 57.4% chance to collect the win in this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Wildcats hold a 46.7% implied probability.
TCU is 3-1-1 ATS this season.
Kansas State has covered twice in six games with a spread this year.

TCU vs. Kansas State: Head-to-Head

Over their last four meetings, Kansas State has three wins against TCU.
In those contests against TCU, the Wildcats have covered three times while going over the point total on one occasion.
In their last four head-to-head matchups, Kansas State has compiled 131 points against TCU, while surrendering only 81 points.

TCU vs. Kansas State: 2025 Stats Comparison

	TCU	Kansas State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	36.8 (38)	27.5 (56)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	21.4 (47)	26.8 (107)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	6 (54)	7 (74)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	10 (15)	10 (15)

TCU 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Josh Hoover	QB	1,517 YDS (67.3%) / 15 TD / 4 INT 12 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 2.4 RUSH YPG
Eric McAlister	WR	17 REC / 385 YDS / 5 TD / 77 YPG
Jordan Dwyer	WR	23 REC / 325 YDS / 2 TD / 65 YPG
Joseph Manjack IV	WR	20 REC / 301 YDS / 2 TD / 60.2 YPG
Kaleb Elarms-Orr	LB	33 TKL / 5 TFL / 3 SACK
Jamel Johnson	DB	31 TKL / 0 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD
Namdi Obiazor	LB	26 TKL / 2 TFL / 2 SACK / 1 INT
Bud Clark	DB	22 TKL / 0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD

Kansas State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Avery Johnson	QB	1,358 YDS (62.9%) / 10 TD / 2 INT 209 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 34.8 RUSH YPG
Jayce Brown	WR	29 REC / 390 YDS / 3 TD / 78 YPG
Jaron Tibbs	WR	27 REC / 309 YDS / 2 TD / 51.5 YPG
Joe Jackson	RB	203 YDS / 1 TD / 40.6 YPG / 4.2 YPC 10 REC / 71 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 14.2 REC YPG
Tobi Osunsanmi	DL	15 TKL / 6 TFL / 4 SACK
Austin Romaine	LB	34 TKL / 3 TFL
Mar'Quavious Moss	DB	14 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK / 2 INT
Zashon Rich	DB	25 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK