New Mexico State vs. Middle Tennessee Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 29, 2025

Updated Nov. 29, 2025 3:04 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Oddsmakers give the New Mexico State Aggies (4-7) the edge when they host the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (2-9) on Saturday, November 29, 2025 in a matchup between CUSA foes at Aggie Memorial Stadium. New Mexico State is favored by 3.5 points. The over/under is 52.5.

Against the UTEP Miners in their last contest, the Aggies won 34-31. Last time around, the Blue Raiders defeated the Sam Houston Bearkats, with 31-17 being the final score.

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New Mexico State vs. Middle Tennessee Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 3 p.m. ET
Location: Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces, New Mexico
TV: ESPN+
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

New Mexico State vs Middle Tennessee Betting Information updated as of November 29, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
New Mexico State	-3.5 (-108)	-165	+138	52.5	-108	-112

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New Mexico State vs. Middle Tennessee Prediction

Pick ATS: New Mexico State (-3.5)
Pick OU: Push
Prediction: New Mexico State 31, Middle Tennessee 22

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the New Mexico State Aggies vs. the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders game on FOX Sports!

New Mexico State vs. Middle Tennessee Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Aggies 28, Blue Raiders 24.
The Aggies have a 62.3% chance to claim victory in this game based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Blue Raiders hold a 42.0% implied probability.
New Mexico State has won six games against the spread this season, while failing to cover five times.
Middle Tennessee has covered five times in 11 games with a spread this season.

New Mexico State vs. Middle Tennessee: Head-to-Head

New Mexico State has a 2-0 record against Middle Tennessee in their last two matchups.
The Aggies have a 2-0 record ATS in those games, while the two teams have gone over the total on one occasion.
Middle Tennessee has been outscored by 21 points in its last two tilts against New Mexico State.

New Mexico State vs. Middle Tennessee: 2025 Stats Comparison

	New Mexico State	Middle Tennessee
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	21.4 (114)	21.6 (112)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	27.3 (82)	31.5 (112)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	21 (124)	12 (38)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	22 (9)	12 (89)

New Mexico State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Donovan Faupel	WR	61 REC / 661 YDS / 7 TD / 60.1 YPG
Logan Fife	QB	2,236 YDS (56.4%) / 11 TD / 12 INT -3 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / -0.3 RUSH YPG
Kadarius Calloway	RB	413 YDS / 3 TD / 37.5 YPG / 3.8 YPC 23 REC / 153 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 13.9 REC YPG
Gavin Harris	TE	34 REC / 486 YDS / 1 TD / 44.2 YPG
Naeten Mitchell	DB	47 TKL / 1 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD
Tory Gethers	LB	52 TKL / 4 TFL / 3 SACK
Jamall Thompson	DL	35 TKL / 4 TFL / 3 SACK / 2 INT
Ezra Christensen	DL	30 TKL / 7 TFL / 5 SACK

Middle Tennessee 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Nicholas Vattiato	QB	2,157 YDS (61.3%) / 16 TD / 7 INT 20 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 2.2 RUSH YPG
Jekail Middlebrook	RB	657 YDS / 4 TD / 65.7 YPG / 5.5 YPC 39 REC / 400 REC YDS / 3 REC TD / 40 REC YPG
Nahzae Cox	WR	40 REC / 473 YDS / 5 TD / 47.3 YPG
Roman Gagliano	QB	745 YDS (58.1%) / 4 TD / 0 INT 139 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 34.8 RUSH YPG
Parker Hughes	LB	47 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Reggie Johnson	LB	18 TKL / 6 TFL / 3.5 SACK
Brandon Buckner	LB	20 TKL / 4 TFL / 4.5 SACK
Damonte Smith	DL	20 TKL / 5 TFL / 2 SACK / 1 INT