Liberty vs. UMass Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 16, 2024

Updated Nov. 16, 2024 9:20 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The UMass Minutemen (2-7) are facing tough odds as 14-point underdogs heading into their matchup on Saturday, November 16, 2024 against the Liberty Flames (6-2). This matchup has an over/under of 52.5 points.

The Flames beat the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, 37-17, in their most recent game. The Minutemen lost to the Mississippi State Bulldogs, 45-20, in their last game.

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Liberty vs. UMass Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, November 16, 2024 at 12 p.m. ET
Location: Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium in Amherst, Massachusetts
TV: ESPN+
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

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Liberty vs UMass Betting Information updated as of November 16, 2024, 8:46 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Liberty	-14 (-111)	-645	+452	52.5	-110	-109

Liberty vs. UMass Prediction

Pick ATS: UMass (+14)
Pick OU: Under (52.5)
Prediction: Liberty 29, UMass 22

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Liberty Flames vs. the UMass Minutemen game on FOX Sports!

Liberty vs. UMass Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the tilt is Flames 33, Minutemen 19.
The Flames have an 86.6% chance to collect the win in this contest based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Minutemen have an 18.1% implied probability.
Liberty has covered just twice in eight games with a spread this season.
UMass has won four games against the spread this year, failing to cover five times.

Liberty vs. UMass: Head-to-Head

Liberty holds a 3-0 record against UMass in their last three matchups.
The Minutemen have a 2-1 record ATS in those games, while the two teams went over the point total each time.
In their last three head-to-head matchups, Liberty has racked up 153 points versus UMass, while allowing only 66 points.

Liberty vs. UMass: 2024 Stats Comparison

	Liberty	UMass
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	30.9 (85)	19.2 (123)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	22.6 (22)	31.7 (101)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	10 (33)	8 (17)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	10 (95)	6 (129)

Liberty 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Kaidon Salter	QB	1,581 YDS (60.3%) / 13 TD / 3 INT 432 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 54 RUSH YPG
Quinton Cooley	RB	851 YDS / 8 TD / 106.4 YPG / 6 YPC
Billy Lucas	RB	378 YDS / 4 TD / 54 YPG / 4.7 YPC
Treon Sibley	WR	22 REC / 414 YDS / 2 TD / 59.1 YPG
TJ Bush	DL	36 TKL / 4 TFL / 5.5 SACK
Joseph Carter	LB	56 TKL / 3 TFL / 0.5 SACK
Quinton Reese	DB	32 TKL / 4 TFL / 2 SACK
Dexter Ricks Jr.	DB	27 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD

UMass 2024 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Taisun Phommachanh	QB	1,590 YDS (56.4%) / 8 TD / 6 INT 317 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 35.2 RUSH YPG
Jakobie James	WR	37 REC / 626 YDS / 4 TD / 69.6 YPG
T.Y. Harding	WR	12 REC / 227 YDS / 4 TD / 25.2 YPG
CJ Hester	RB	349 YDS / 2 TD / 38.8 YPG / 4.3 YPC
Jalen Stewart	LB	56 TKL / 1 TFL / 2 SACK
Louce Julien	DL	32 TKL / 3 TFL / 2.5 SACK
Te'Rai Powell	DB	40 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Gerrell Johnson	LB	43 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK