Florida State vs. Duke Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 21

Updated Oct. 21, 2023 3:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 4 Florida State Seminoles (6-0) bring the seventh-ranked scoring offense in college football into a matchup with the No. 16 Duke Blue Devils (5-1), who have the No. 4 scoring defense, on Saturday, October 21, 2023. The Seminoles are heavy, 14-point favorites. The contest has a 48-point over/under.

Last time out, the Seminoles defeated the Syracuse Orange, with 41-3 being the final score. Against the NC State Wolfpack in their last game, the Blue Devils won 24-3.

Florida State vs. Duke Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
Location: Bobby Bowden Field at Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee, Florida
TV: ABC
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Florida State vs Duke Betting Information updated as of October 21, 2023, 2:47 PM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Florida State	-14 (-109)	-643	+458	48	-109	-111

Florida State vs. Duke Prediction

Pick ATS: Duke (+14)
Pick OU: Over (48)
Prediction: Florida State 27, Duke 23

Learn more about the Florida State Seminoles vs. the Duke Blue Devils game on FOX Sports!

Florida State vs. Duke Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Seminoles 31, Blue Devils 17.
The Seminoles have an 86.5% chance to claim victory in this meeting per the moneyline's implied probability. The Blue Devils have a 17.9% implied probability.
Florida State has compiled a 4-2-0 ATS record so far this year.
Duke has put together a 4-1-0 record against the spread this year.

Florida State vs. Duke: 2023 Stats Comparison

	Florida State	Duke
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	42.2 (16)	31.2 (67)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	18.3 (18)	9.8 (4)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	3 (2)	6 (22)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	8 (80)	9 (62)

Florida State 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jordan Travis	QB	1,472 YDS (63.7%) / 13 TD / 1 INT 114 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / 19.0 RUSH YPG
Trey Benson	RB	493 YDS / 6 TD / 82.2 YPG / 7.4 YPC 10 REC / 99 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 16.5 REC YPG
Keon Coleman	WR	29 REC / 418 YDS / 7 TD / 69.7 YPG
Johnny Wilson	WR	20 REC / 357 YDS / 2 TD / 59.5 YPG
Kalen DeLoach	LB	30 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 4.0 SACK
Joshua Farmer	DL	16 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 3.0 SACK
DJ Lundy	LB	24 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 1.5 SACK / 1 INT
Renardo Green	DB	19 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT

Duke 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jordan Waters	RB	426 YDS / 9 TD / 71.0 YPG / 6.6 YPC 5 REC / 76 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 12.7 REC YPG
Riley Leonard	QB	912 YDS (62.7%) / 3 TD / 1 INT 326 RUSH YDS / 4 RUSH TD / 54.3 RUSH YPG
Jordan Moore	WR	25 REC / 322 YDS / 3 TD / 53.7 YPG
Jalon Calhoun	WR	24 REC / 368 YDS / 2 TD / 61.3 YPG
Tre Freeman	LB	44 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT
Brandon Johnson	DB	27 TKL / 6.0 TFL / 2.0 SACK
Dorian Mausi	LB	30 TKL / 1.0 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT
Jaylen Stinson	S	33 TKL / 1.0 TFL