Cincinnati vs. UCF Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 11, 2025

Updated Oct. 11, 2025 9:04 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

Big 12 rivals meet when the Cincinnati Bearcats (4-1) host the UCF Knights (3-2) on Saturday, October 11, 2025 at Nippert Stadium. Cincinnati is favored by 10.5 points. The total for this game has been set at 55 points.

In their last game, the Bearcats won versus the Iowa State Cyclones, 38-30. Against the Kansas Jayhawks in their most recent game, the Knights lost 27-20.

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Cincinnati vs. UCF Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 12 p.m. ET
Location: Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio
TV: FS1
Streaming: FOXSports.com, FOX Sports App and FOX One (Try free for 7 days)

Cincinnati vs UCF Betting Information updated as of October 11, 2025, 8:45 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Cincinnati	-10.5 (-115)	-426	+327	55	-110	-110

Cincinnati vs. UCF Prediction

Pick ATS: Cincinnati (-10.5)
Pick OU: Under (55)
Prediction: Cincinnati 36, UCF 14

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Cincinnati Bearcats vs. the UCF Knights game on FOX Sports!

Cincinnati vs. UCF Betting Insights

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Bearcats 33, Knights 22.
The Bearcats have an 81.0% chance to collect the win in this contest per the moneyline's implied probability. The Knights hold a 23.4% implied probability.
Cincinnati has put together a 4-1-0 ATS record so far this year.
UCF has covered twice in five matchups with a spread this season.

Cincinnati vs. UCF: Head-to-Head

In their past four matchups, UCF holds a split 2-2 record against Cincinnati.
The Bearcats carry a 3-1 record ATS in those games, while the two teams have gone over the point total on one occasion.
Over their last four head-to-head contests, Cincinnati has put up 122 points, while UCF has accumulated 87.

Cincinnati vs. UCF: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Cincinnati	UCF
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	39.2 (28)	31.8 (61)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	20.8 (38)	17.4 (25)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	4 (18)	5 (35)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	2 (129)	7 (55)

Cincinnati 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Brendan Sorsby	QB	1,257 YDS (65.9%) / 12 TD / 1 INT 291 RUSH YDS / 5 RUSH TD / 58.2 RUSH YPG
Cyrus Allen	WR	26 REC / 295 YDS / 5 TD / 59 YPG
Tawee Walker	RB	313 YDS / 3 TD / 62.6 YPG / 5.6 YPC 5 REC / 21 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 5.3 REC YPG
Caleb Goodie	WR	15 REC / 334 YDS / 2 TD / 66.8 YPG
Jake Golday	LB	47 TKL / 3 TFL / 3 SACK
Jonathan Thompson	LB	22 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK
Antawn Peek Jr.	LB	15 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK
Christian Harrison	DB	26 TKL / 2 TFL

UCF 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Tayven Jackson	QB	906 YDS (64.5%) / 3 TD / 1 INT 65 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 13 RUSH YPG
Myles Montgomery	RB	378 YDS / 3 TD / 75.6 YPG / 5.2 YPC 9 REC / 112 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 22.4 REC YPG
Jaden Nixon	RB	286 YDS / 4 TD / 57.2 YPG / 12.4 YPC 7 REC / 45 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 15 REC YPG
DJ Black	WR	11 REC / 209 YDS / 2 TD / 41.8 YPG
Lewis Carter	LB	31 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK
Nyjalik Kelly	DL	15 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Phillip Dunnam	DB	27 TKL / 1 TFL
Cole Kozlowski	LB	16 TKL / 2 TFL / 1 SACK