Boise State vs. Utah State Prediction, Odds, Picks - November 28, 2025

Updated Nov. 28, 2025 3:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Oddsmakers project a tight game when the Boise State Broncos (7-4) visit the Utah State Aggies (6-5) on Friday, November 28, 2025 in a matchup between MWC rivals at Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium. Boise State is favored by 1.5 points. The over/under is 54.5 for this matchup.

Last time around, the Broncos defeated the Colorado State Rams, with 49-21 being the final score. Facing the Fresno State Bulldogs in their most recent game, the Aggies won 28-17.

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Boise State vs. Utah State Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, November 28, 2025 at 4 p.m. ET
Location: Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium in Logan, Utah
TV: CBS
Live Box Score on FOX Sports

Boise State vs Utah State Betting Information updated as of November 28, 2025, 2:45 p.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Boise State	-1.5 (-109)	-121	+101	54.5	-112	-108

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Boise State vs. Utah State Prediction

Pick ATS: Boise State (-1.5)
Pick OU: Over (54.5)
Prediction: Boise State 30, Utah State 28

Predictions are made by the Data Skrive betting model.

Learn more about the Boise State Broncos vs. the Utah State Aggies game on FOX Sports!

Boise State vs. Utah State Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Broncos 28, Aggies 26.
The Broncos have a 54.8% chance to win this meeting per the moneyline's implied probability. The Aggies hold a 49.8% implied probability.
Boise State has won seven games against the spread this season, while failing to cover or pushing four times.
Utah State has put together a 9-2-0 ATS record so far this season.

Boise State vs. Utah State: Head-to-Head

Over their last four meetings, Boise State has totaled four wins against Utah State.
The Broncos have a 4-0 record ATS in those games, while the two teams have gone over the point total on two occasions.
In their last four head-to-head matchups, Boise State has racked up 176 points against Utah State, while giving up only 66 points.

Boise State vs. Utah State: 2025 Stats Comparison

	Boise State	Utah State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	31.4 (44)	32.5 (37)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	23.1 (57)	28.5 (94)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	15 (81)	9 (9)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	20 (12)	13 (74)

Boise State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Dylan Riley	RB	896 YDS / 9 TD / 81.5 YPG / 6.4 YPC 12 REC / 130 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 14.4 REC YPG
Maddux Madsen	QB	1,994 YDS (59.8%) / 15 TD / 7 INT 70 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 7.8 RUSH YPG
Sire Gaines	RB	700 YDS / 7 TD / 63.6 YPG / 5.2 YPC 10 REC / 67 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 9.6 REC YPG
Malik Sherrod	RB	379 YDS / 4 TD / 34.5 YPG / 5.1 YPC 18 REC / 128 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 14.2 REC YPG
Ty Benefield	DB	79 TKL / 6 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Jeremiah Earby	DB	51 TKL / 1 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 4 INT
Marco Notarainni	LB	60 TKL / 3 TFL / 1.5 SACK
Jayden Virgin	DL	44 TKL / 5 TFL / 3 SACK

Utah State 2025 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Bryson Barnes	QB	2,502 YDS (62.2%) / 18 TD / 4 INT 644 RUSH YDS / 8 RUSH TD / 58.5 RUSH YPG
Miles Davis	RB	689 YDS / 7 TD / 62.6 YPG / 5.8 YPC 24 REC / 162 REC YDS / 3 REC TD / 20.3 REC YPG
Braden Pegan	WR	58 REC / 898 YDS / 5 TD / 81.6 YPG
Brady Boyd	WR	40 REC / 629 YDS / 7 TD / 57.2 YPG
John Miller	LB	79 TKL / 9 TFL / 7.5 SACK
Bronson Olevao	LB	64 TKL / 6 TFL / 4 SACK / 2 INT
Brevin Hamblin	DB	70 TKL / 1 TFL / 1 SACK / 1 INT
Noah Avinger	DB	58 TKL / 1 TFL / 3 INT / 3 PD