Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 21

Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 21

Updated Oct. 21, 2023 9:04 a.m. ET

Oddsmakers give the Arkansas Razorbacks (2-5) the edge when they host the Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-3) on Saturday, October 21, 2023 in a matchup between SEC rivals at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium. Arkansas is favored by 6.5 points. The over/under for the contest is set at 47.

Against the Alabama Crimson Tide in their most recent game, the Razorbacks lost 24-21. The Bulldogs' last contest was versus the Western Michigan Broncos, and they won by a score of 41-28.

Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET
  • Location: Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville, Arkansas
  • TV: ESPN
  • Live boxscore on FOX Sports
Arkansas vs Mississippi State Betting Information updated as of October 21, 2023, 8:45 AM ET.
Favorite Spread (Odds) Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Moneyline Under Moneyline
Arkansas -6.5 (-112) -264 +211 47 -159 -166

Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Arkansas (-6.5)
  • Pick OU: Over (47)
  • Prediction: Arkansas 33, Mississippi State 23

Learn more about the Arkansas Razorbacks vs. the Mississippi State Bulldogs game on FOX Sports!

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Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Betting Insights

  • Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Razorbacks 27, Bulldogs 20.
  • The Razorbacks have a 72.5% chance to collect the win in this meeting based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Bulldogs hold a 32.2% implied probability.
  • Arkansas has won three games against the spread this season, while failing to cover three times.
  • Mississippi State has won just one game against the spread this year.

Arkansas vs. Mississippi State: Head-to-Head

  • The last two times Mississippi State and Arkansas have played, the two teams share a split 1-1 record.
  • The last two times the Bulldogs have played the Razorbacks, they have a 2-0 record against the spread. The scoring went over the total both times.
  • Arkansas has been outpaced by 20 points in its last two tilts against Mississippi State.

Arkansas vs. Mississippi State: 2023 Stats Comparison

Arkansas Mississippi State
Off. Points per Game (Rank) 29.9 (50) 30.2 (74)
Def. Points per Game (Rank) 25.1 (81) 29.5 (83)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank) 7 (35) 7 (35)
Turnovers Forced (Rank) 11 (33) 8 (80)

Arkansas 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
K.J. Jefferson QB 1,450 YDS (66.0%) / 14 TD / 6 INT
162 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 23.1 RUSH YPG
Andrew Armstrong WR 39 REC / 485 YDS / 4 TD / 69.3 YPG
Luke Hasz TE 16 REC / 253 YDS / 3 TD / 36.1 YPG
Rashod Dubinion RB 213 YDS / 1 TD / 30.4 YPG / 3.3 YPC
8 REC / 72 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 10.3 REC YPG
Jaheim Thomas LB 56 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 2.5 SACK
Landon Jackson DL 28 TKL / 8.0 TFL / 6.0 SACK
Jayden Johnson DB 35 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Hudson Clark DB 24 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT

Mississippi State 2023 Key Players

Name Position Stats
Jo'Quavious Marks RB 458 YDS / 4 TD / 76.3 YPG / 5.7 YPC
17 REC / 136 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 22.7 REC YPG
Will Rogers QB 1,275 YDS (61.4%) / 10 TD / 4 INT
Lideatrick Griffin WR 29 REC / 474 YDS / 3 TD / 79.0 YPG
Michael Wright QB 61 YDS (72.7%) / 1 TD / 0 INT
138 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 23.0 RUSH YPG
Jett Johnson LB 49 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 4.0 SACK / 2 INT
Nathaniel Watson LB 41 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 5.5 SACK / 1 INT
Shawn Preston Jr. S 19 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Decamerion Richardson CB 25 TKL / 0.0 TFL
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