Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 21

Updated Oct. 21, 2023 9:04 a.m. ET

FOX Sports

Oddsmakers give the Arkansas Razorbacks (2-5) the edge when they host the Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-3) on Saturday, October 21, 2023 in a matchup between SEC rivals at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium. Arkansas is favored by 6.5 points. The over/under for the contest is set at 47.

Against the Alabama Crimson Tide in their most recent game, the Razorbacks lost 24-21. The Bulldogs' last contest was versus the Western Michigan Broncos, and they won by a score of 41-28.

Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET
Location: Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville, Arkansas
TV: ESPN
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Arkansas vs Mississippi State Betting Information updated as of October 21, 2023, 8:45 AM ET.
Favorite	Spread (Odds)	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Moneyline	Under Moneyline
Arkansas	-6.5 (-112)	-264	+211	47	-159	-166

Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Prediction

Pick ATS: Arkansas (-6.5)
Pick OU: Over (47)
Prediction: Arkansas 33, Mississippi State 23

Learn more about the Arkansas Razorbacks vs. the Mississippi State Bulldogs game on FOX Sports!

Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Betting Insights

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Razorbacks 27, Bulldogs 20.
The Razorbacks have a 72.5% chance to collect the win in this meeting based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Bulldogs hold a 32.2% implied probability.
Arkansas has won three games against the spread this season, while failing to cover three times.
Mississippi State has won just one game against the spread this year.

Arkansas vs. Mississippi State: Head-to-Head

The last two times Mississippi State and Arkansas have played, the two teams share a split 1-1 record.
The last two times the Bulldogs have played the Razorbacks, they have a 2-0 record against the spread. The scoring went over the total both times.
Arkansas has been outpaced by 20 points in its last two tilts against Mississippi State.

Arkansas vs. Mississippi State: 2023 Stats Comparison

	Arkansas	Mississippi State
Off. Points per Game (Rank)	29.9 (50)	30.2 (74)
Def. Points per Game (Rank)	25.1 (81)	29.5 (83)
Turnovers Allowed (Rank)	7 (35)	7 (35)
Turnovers Forced (Rank)	11 (33)	8 (80)

Arkansas 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
K.J. Jefferson	QB	1,450 YDS (66.0%) / 14 TD / 6 INT 162 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 23.1 RUSH YPG
Andrew Armstrong	WR	39 REC / 485 YDS / 4 TD / 69.3 YPG
Luke Hasz	TE	16 REC / 253 YDS / 3 TD / 36.1 YPG
Rashod Dubinion	RB	213 YDS / 1 TD / 30.4 YPG / 3.3 YPC 8 REC / 72 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 10.3 REC YPG
Jaheim Thomas	LB	56 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 2.5 SACK
Landon Jackson	DL	28 TKL / 8.0 TFL / 6.0 SACK
Jayden Johnson	DB	35 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD
Hudson Clark	DB	24 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT

Mississippi State 2023 Key Players

Name	Position	Stats
Jo'Quavious Marks	RB	458 YDS / 4 TD / 76.3 YPG / 5.7 YPC 17 REC / 136 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 22.7 REC YPG
Will Rogers	QB	1,275 YDS (61.4%) / 10 TD / 4 INT
Lideatrick Griffin	WR	29 REC / 474 YDS / 3 TD / 79.0 YPG
Michael Wright	QB	61 YDS (72.7%) / 1 TD / 0 INT 138 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 23.0 RUSH YPG
Jett Johnson	LB	49 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 4.0 SACK / 2 INT
Nathaniel Watson	LB	41 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 5.5 SACK / 1 INT
Shawn Preston Jr.	S	19 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD
Decamerion Richardson	CB	25 TKL / 0.0 TFL