
Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 21
Updated Oct. 21, 2023 9:04 a.m. ET
Data Skrive
Oddsmakers give the Arkansas Razorbacks (2-5) the edge when they host the Mississippi State Bulldogs (3-3) on Saturday, October 21, 2023 in a matchup between SEC rivals at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium. Arkansas is favored by 6.5 points. The over/under for the contest is set at 47.
Against the Alabama Crimson Tide in their most recent game, the Razorbacks lost 24-21. The Bulldogs' last contest was versus the Western Michigan Broncos, and they won by a score of 41-28.
Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Game Information & Odds
- When: Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET
- Location: Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville, Arkansas
- TV: ESPN
- Live boxscore on FOX Sports
| Favorite | Spread (Odds) | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Moneyline | Under Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arkansas | -6.5 (-112) | -264 | +211 | 47 | -159 | -166 |
Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Arkansas (-6.5)
- Pick OU: Over (47)
- Prediction: Arkansas 33, Mississippi State 23
Learn more about the Arkansas Razorbacks vs. the Mississippi State Bulldogs game on FOX Sports!
Arkansas vs. Mississippi State Betting Insights
- Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the matchup is Razorbacks 27, Bulldogs 20.
- The Razorbacks have a 72.5% chance to collect the win in this meeting based on the moneyline's implied probability. The Bulldogs hold a 32.2% implied probability.
- Arkansas has won three games against the spread this season, while failing to cover three times.
- Mississippi State has won just one game against the spread this year.
Arkansas vs. Mississippi State: Head-to-Head
- The last two times Mississippi State and Arkansas have played, the two teams share a split 1-1 record.
- The last two times the Bulldogs have played the Razorbacks, they have a 2-0 record against the spread. The scoring went over the total both times.
- Arkansas has been outpaced by 20 points in its last two tilts against Mississippi State.
Arkansas vs. Mississippi State: 2023 Stats Comparison
| Arkansas | Mississippi State | |
|---|---|---|
| Off. Points per Game (Rank) | 29.9 (50) | 30.2 (74) |
| Def. Points per Game (Rank) | 25.1 (81) | 29.5 (83) |
| Turnovers Allowed (Rank) | 7 (35) | 7 (35) |
| Turnovers Forced (Rank) | 11 (33) | 8 (80) |
Arkansas 2023 Key Players
| Name | Position | Stats |
|---|---|---|
| K.J. Jefferson | QB | 1,450 YDS (66.0%) / 14 TD / 6 INT 162 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 23.1 RUSH YPG |
| Andrew Armstrong | WR | 39 REC / 485 YDS / 4 TD / 69.3 YPG |
| Luke Hasz | TE | 16 REC / 253 YDS / 3 TD / 36.1 YPG |
| Rashod Dubinion | RB | 213 YDS / 1 TD / 30.4 YPG / 3.3 YPC 8 REC / 72 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 10.3 REC YPG |
| Jaheim Thomas | LB | 56 TKL / 3.0 TFL / 2.5 SACK |
| Landon Jackson | DL | 28 TKL / 8.0 TFL / 6.0 SACK |
| Jayden Johnson | DB | 35 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 1 INT / 1 PD |
| Hudson Clark | DB | 24 TKL / 2.0 TFL / 0.5 SACK / 1 INT |
Mississippi State 2023 Key Players
| Name | Position | Stats |
|---|---|---|
| Jo'Quavious Marks | RB | 458 YDS / 4 TD / 76.3 YPG / 5.7 YPC 17 REC / 136 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 22.7 REC YPG |
| Will Rogers | QB | 1,275 YDS (61.4%) / 10 TD / 4 INT |
| Lideatrick Griffin | WR | 29 REC / 474 YDS / 3 TD / 79.0 YPG |
| Michael Wright | QB | 61 YDS (72.7%) / 1 TD / 0 INT 138 RUSH YDS / 3 RUSH TD / 23.0 RUSH YPG |
| Jett Johnson | LB | 49 TKL / 5.0 TFL / 4.0 SACK / 2 INT |
| Nathaniel Watson | LB | 41 TKL / 4.0 TFL / 5.5 SACK / 1 INT |
| Shawn Preston Jr. | S | 19 TKL / 0.0 TFL / 2 INT / 2 PD |
| Decamerion Richardson | CB | 25 TKL / 0.0 TFL |
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