Michigan State vs. USC Prediction, How to Watch, Odds, Channel - Jan 5

Updated Jan. 5, 2026 8:27 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 12 Michigan State Spartans (12-2, 2-1 Big Ten) hope to continue a three-game home win streak when they host the USC Trojans (12-2, 1-2 Big Ten) on Monday, January 5, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET.

The Spartans take the court as double-digit favorites against the Trojans. The Spartans are favored by 10.5 points. The matchup's over/under is set at 150.5.

Continue scrolling to get the download ahead of wagering on the Michigan State-USC clash.

Michigan State vs. USC How to Watch & Odds

When: Monday, January 5, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
Where: Jack Breslin Students Events Center in East Lansing, Michigan
TV: FS1
Streaming: FOXSports.com, FOX Sports App and FOX One (Try free for 7 days)

Spartans vs Trojans Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Spartans	-10.5	-113	-107	150.5	-112	-108	-662	+476

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Michigan State vs. USC Prediction

Pick ATS: USC (+10.5)
Pick OU: Over (150.5)
Prediction: Michigan State 81, USC 73

Learn more about the Michigan State Spartans vs. the USC Trojans game on FOX Sports!

Michigan State vs. USC Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Based on the spread and over/under, the implied score for the encounter is Spartans 80, Trojans 70.
The Spartans have an 86.9% chance to claim victory in this meeting per the moneyline's implied probability.
The Trojans have a 17.4% implied probability to win.

Key Spread Facts

Michigan State has won seven games against the spread this season, while failing to cover seven times.
USC has covered six times in 13 games with a spread this year.
Michigan State has been favored by 10.5 points or more eight times this season, and covered the spread in two of those matchups.
USC has not covered the spread this year (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 10.5-point underdogs.

Key Total Facts

The Spartans and their opponent have combined to score more than 150.5 points only two times this year.
So far this season, 11 Trojans games have featured more than 150.5 points scored.
These two teams score a combined average of 166.7 points per game, higher than the total for this matchup by 16.2 points.

Key Moneyline Facts

Michigan State has not lost a game it was the moneyline favorite this season, going 11-0.
USC lost the only game it has played as the underdog this season.
Michigan State has won all eight games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -662 or shorter.
USC has played as an underdog of +476 or more once this season and lost that game.

Michigan State vs. USC: Recent Results

Spartans vs Trojans Recent Games
Date	Favorite	Spread	Total	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Result
2/1/2025	Spartans	-4.5	149.5	-183	+152	70-64 USC

Michigan State vs. USC: 2025-26 Stats Comparison

	Michigan State	USC
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	79 (141)	87.7 (30)
Points Allowed (Rank)	65.4 (26)	76.8 (263)
Rebounds (Rank)	12.6 (13)	9.9 (157)
3pt Made (Rank)	7.9 (188)	7.2 (254)
Assists (Rank)	19.5 (10)	16.4 (79)
Turnovers (Rank)	11.9 (212)	12.6 (267)

Michigan State 2025-26 Key Players

Spartans Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Jaxon Kohler	14	14.1	10.4	1.4	0.8	1	1.9
Jeremy Fears Jr.	14	11.7	2.9	9.1	1.2	0	0.9
Coen Carr	14	11.4	5.1	1.6	0.6	1.1	0.4
Carson Cooper	14	10.1	7.2	1.4	0.6	0.9	0
Kur Teng	14	7.4	1.9	1.2	0.4	0.1	1.6

USC 2025-26 Key Players

Trojans Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Chad Baker-Mazara	14	20.4	5.1	3.1	0.8	1.4	2.3
Rodney Rice	6	20.3	3.3	6	1.2	0.2	2.5
Ezra Ausar	14	16.9	5.8	1.7	0.9	0.2	0
Jacob Cofie	14	9.9	6.6	1.7	1.1	1.9	0.4
Jaden Brownell	14	7.9	2.7	0.5	0.4	0.4	1.3