Michigan State vs. USC Prediction, How to Watch, Odds, Channel - Jan 5

Updated Jan. 5, 2026 5:30 a.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 9 Michigan State Spartans (12-2, 2-1 Big Ten) aim to continue a three-game home winning streak when they host the No. 24 USC Trojans (12-2, 1-2 Big Ten) on Monday, January 5, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET.

The Spartans are a double-digit favorite against the Trojans when the Spartans and the Trojans square off. The Spartans are favored by 11.5 points. The game features a point total of 151.5.

Continue reading to get everything you need to know ahead of wagering on the Michigan State-USC matchup.

Michigan State vs. USC How to Watch & Odds

When: Monday, January 5, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET
Where: Jack Breslin Students Events Center in East Lansing, Michigan
TV: FS1
Streaming: FOXSports.com, FOX Sports App and FOX One (Try free for 7 days)

Spartans vs Trojans Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Spartans	-11.5	-105	-115	151.5	-110	-110	-775	+538

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Michigan State vs. USC Prediction

Pick ATS: USC (+11.5)
Pick OU: Over (151.5)
Prediction: Michigan State 81, USC 73

Learn more about the Michigan State Spartans vs. the USC Trojans game on FOX Sports!

Michigan State vs. USC Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the game is Spartans 82, Trojans 70.
The Spartans have an 88.6% chance to collect the win in this matchup based on the moneyline's implied probability.
The Trojans hold a 15.7% implied probability to win.

Key Spread Facts

Michigan State has covered seven times in 14 games with a spread this season.
USC has covered six times in 13 chances against the spread this season.
Michigan State has covered the spread twice this season (2-6 ATS) when playing as at least 11.5-point favorites.
USC has been an underdog by 11.5 points or more this season once, and failed to cover the spread.

Key Total Facts

The Spartans and their opponent have combined to score more than 151.5 points only twice this year.
Trojans games have had over 151.5 points 11 times this season.
The total for this matchup is 151.5 points, 15.2 fewer than the combined scoring average of the two teams.

Key Moneyline Facts

Michigan State has been favored on the moneyline a total of 11 times this season, and it has won all of those games.
USC lost the only game it has played as the underdog this season.
Michigan State has won all eight games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -775 or shorter.
USC has played as an underdog of +538 or more once this season and lost that game.

Michigan State vs. USC: Recent Results

Spartans vs Trojans Recent Games
Date	Favorite	Spread	Total	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Result
2/1/2025	Spartans	-4.5	149.5	-183	+152	70-64 USC

Michigan State vs. USC: 2025-26 Stats Comparison

	Michigan State	USC
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	79 (141)	87.7 (30)
Points Allowed (Rank)	65.4 (26)	76.8 (263)
Rebounds (Rank)	12.6 (13)	9.9 (157)
3pt Made (Rank)	7.9 (188)	7.2 (254)
Assists (Rank)	19.5 (10)	16.4 (79)
Turnovers (Rank)	11.9 (212)	12.6 (267)

Michigan State 2025-26 Key Players

Spartans Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Jaxon Kohler	14	14.1	10.4	1.4	0.8	1	1.9
Jeremy Fears Jr.	14	11.7	2.9	9.1	1.2	0	0.9
Coen Carr	14	11.4	5.1	1.6	0.6	1.1	0.4
Carson Cooper	14	10.1	7.2	1.4	0.6	0.9	0
Kur Teng	14	7.4	1.9	1.2	0.4	0.1	1.6

USC 2025-26 Key Players

Trojans Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Chad Baker-Mazara	14	20.4	5.1	3.1	0.8	1.4	2.3
Rodney Rice	6	20.3	3.3	6	1.2	0.2	2.5
Ezra Ausar	14	16.9	5.8	1.7	0.9	0.2	0
Jacob Cofie	14	9.9	6.6	1.7	1.1	1.9	0.4
Jaden Brownell	14	7.9	2.7	0.5	0.4	0.4	1.3