Alabama vs. Saint Mary's (CA) Prediction, Odds, Picks - NCAA Tournament Second Round

Updated Mar. 23, 2025 3:27 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The No. 2 seed Alabama Crimson Tide (26-8) try to advance to the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament when they play the No. 7 seed Saint Mary's Gaels (29-5) on Sunday at 6:10 p.m. ET.

The Crimson Tide are a 5.5-point favorite against the Gaels when the Crimson Tide and the Gaels square off. The over/under for the game is 149.5.

Continue reading to get all you need to know before betting on the Alabama-Saint Mary's (CA) clash.

Alabama vs. Saint Mary's (CA) Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, March 23, 2025 at 6:10 p.m. ET
Where: Rocket Arena in Cleveland, Ohio
How to watch on TV: TNT
Live boxscore on FOX Sports

Crimson Tide vs Gaels Betting Information
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Crimson Tide	-5.5	-112	-108	149.5	-110	-110	-250	+205

Alabama vs. Saint Mary's (CA) Prediction

Pick ATS: Alabama (-5.5)
Pick OU: Over (149.5)
Prediction: Alabama 80, Saint Mary's (CA) 74

Learn more about the Alabama Crimson Tide vs. the Saint Mary's Gaels game on FOX Sports!

Alabama vs. Saint Mary's (CA) Betting Insights

Betting Line Implied Predictions

Per the spread and over/under, the implied score for the encounter is Crimson Tide 78, Gaels 72.
The Crimson Tide have a 71.4% chance to win this meeting per the moneyline's implied probability.
The Gaels sit with a 32.8% implied probability to win.

Key Spread Facts

Alabama has put together an 18-15-1 record against the spread this season.
Saint Mary's (CA) has covered 14 times in 33 games with a spread this year.
Alabama has been favored by 5.5 points or more 21 times this season, and covered the spread in 10 of those contests.
Saint Mary's (CA) has covered the spread when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs in its only opportunity this season.

Key Total Facts

The Crimson Tide games have had more than 149.5 points scored on 31 occasions this season.
Gaels games have had over 149.5 points six times this season.
The over/under for this game is 149.5 points, 14.7 fewer than the scoring average of the two teams combined.

Key Moneyline Facts

Alabama has won 80.8% of its games this season when favored on the moneyline (21-5).
Saint Mary's (CA) has won three of the four games it has played as underdogs this season.
When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -250 or shorter, Alabama has a record of 18-2 (90% win percentage).
Saint Mary's (CA) has played as an underdog of +205 or more once this season and won that game.

Alabama vs. Saint Mary's (CA): 2024-25 Stats Comparison

	Alabama	Saint Mary's (CA)
Points Scored Per Game (Rank)	91.1 (1)	73.1 (198)
Points Allowed (Rank)	81.4 (356)	60.5 (4)
Rebounds (Rank)	10.8 (41)	12.2 (8)
3pt Made (Rank)	10.3 (18)	6.5 (306)
Assists (Rank)	17 (15)	15.3 (66)
Turnovers (Rank)	12.1 (266)	9.2 (15)

Alabama 2024-25 Key Players

Crimson Tide Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Mark Sears	34	18.8	3.1	5	0.9	0.1	2.3
Grant Nelson	34	11.6	7.5	1.6	0.5	1.2	0.7
Latrell Wrightsell Jr.	8	11.5	1.8	2	0.5	0.1	2.4
Aden Holloway	34	11.2	2	1.9	0.6	0	2.3
Labaron Philon	34	10.6	3.2	3.7	1.3	0.3	1

Saint Mary's (CA) 2024-25 Key Players

Gaels Leaders
Name	GP	PTS	REB	ASST	STL	BLK	3PM
Augustas Marciulionis	34	14.2	3.1	6	1.3	0.1	1.5
Paulius Murauskas	34	12.2	7.9	1.4	0.6	0.4	0.9
Mitchell Saxen	34	10.7	8	1.8	1.3	1.3	0
Luke Barrett	34	9.9	6.8	1.4	0.7	0.4	1.1
Jordan Ross	34	8.3	3	2.6	0.7	0.4	0.7