Lightning vs. Sabres Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 28

Lightning vs. Sabres Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 28

Updated Feb. 28, 2026 6:13 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Brandon Hagel and Rasmus Dahlin will be leading the way for the Tampa Bay Lightning and Buffalo Sabres, respectively, when the two teams face off on Saturday, Feb. 28 at Benchmark International Arena, starting at 7 p.m. ET. Here is everything you need to know about the Lightning-Sabres game, from the puck lined, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Lightning vs. Sabres Game Information and TV Channel

  • When: Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
  • Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Lightning vs Sabres Betting Information
Favorite Puck Line Favorite Puck Line Odds Underdog Puck Line Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Lightning -1.5 100 -120 6.5 -105 -115 -245 +200

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Lightning vs. Sabres Prediction

ATS Pick: Lightning (- 1.5)
O/U Pick: Under (6.5)
Score Prediction: Lightning 4 - Sabres 2

Lightning vs. Sabres Betting Insights

  • In 25 games this season, Tampa Bay and its opponent have combined for more than 6.5 goals.
  • Buffalo has combined with its opponent to score over 6.5 goals in 28 of 59 games this season.
  • The teams average 6.9 goals per game combined, 0.4 more than this game's total.
  • Combined, these teams allow 5.6 goals per game, 0.9 fewer than this game's over/under.
  • The Sabres are eighth in the league in goals scored, compared to the third-ranked Lightning.
  • The Lightning are second in the league in goals conceded, and the Sabres are 14th.

Lightning Stats

  • The Lightning's 203 total goals (3.6 per game) rank third in the league.
  • Defensively, Tampa Bay has been one of the stingiest squads in NHL play, giving up 145 total goals (2.5 per game) to rank second.
  • Their +58 goal differential is second-best in the league.
  • The 39 power-play goals Tampa Bay has put up this season (to rank 11th in the NHL) have come on 180 chances.
  • The Lightning are 13th in the league with a 21.67% power-play conversion rate.
  • Tampa Bay has scored three shorthanded goals this season.

Lightning Leaders

Name Games Goals Assists Points Giveaways Takeaways Faceoff Win %
Nikita Kucherov 53 31 64 95 89 15 0%
Jake Guentzel 57 26 37 63 51 19 46.2%
Brandon Hagel 52 28 27 55 53 24 40.7%
Darren Raddysh 51 17 36 53 56 9 -
Brayden Point 39 14 21 35 22 6 46.7%

Lightning Player Props

Sabres Stats

  • With 197 goals (3.3 per game), the Sabres have the NHL's eighth-best offense.
  • Buffalo concedes 3.0 goals per game (179 total), which ranks 14th in the NHL.
  • Their +18 goal differential is ninth-best in the league.
  • Buffalo has 35 power-play goals (16th in NHL) on 175 chances.
  • The Sabres have the NHL's 15th-ranked power-play percentage (20).
  • Buffalo has scored seven shorthanded goals (second in NHL).

Sabres Leaders

Name Games Goals Assists Points Giveaways Takeaways Faceoff Win %
Tage Thompson 59 31 31 62 54 21 45.1%
Alex Tuch 58 22 27 49 48 29 44.4%
Rasmus Dahlin 55 11 37 48 89 24 -
Ryan McLeod 59 11 31 42 67 27 46.4%
Josh Doan 59 19 20 39 48 38 26.7%

Sabres Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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