
Lightning vs. Penguins Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 4
Brandon Hagel and Bryan Rust will be leading the way for the Tampa Bay Lightning and Pittsburgh Penguins, respectively, when the two teams play on Thursday, Dec. 4 at Benchmark International Arena, starting at 7 p.m. ET. Take a look at everything you need to know about the Lightning-Penguins game, from the puck lined, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.
Lightning vs. Penguins Game Information and TV Channel
- When: Thursday, December 4, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
- Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida
- TV: ESPN+
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
| Favorite | Puck Line | Favorite Puck Line Odds | Underdog Puck Line Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lightning | -1.5 | 145 | -175 | 6.5 | -105 | -115 | -166 | +140 |
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Lightning vs. Penguins Prediction
ATS Pick: Penguins (+ 1.5)
O/U Pick: Under (6.5)
Score Prediction: Lightning 4 - Penguins 2
Lightning vs. Penguins Betting Insights
- Tampa Bay and its opponent have gone over 6.5 combined goals in 10 of 26 games this season.
- Pittsburgh has played 11 games this season with over 6.5 goals.
- These two teams score a combined 6.4 goals per game, 0.1 fewer than this game's over/under.
- These teams allow 5.3 goals per game combined, 1.2 fewer than this game's over/under.
- In terms of goals scored, the Lightning are eighth in the league, and the Penguins are 18th.
- The Penguins are fourth in the league in goals conceded, and the Lightning are third.
Lightning Stats
- The Lightning's 85 total goals (3.3 per game) make them the eighth-best scoring team in the league.
- Tampa Bay has conceded 67 total goals (2.6 per game), ranking third in league action in terms of the fewest goals against.
- They have the league's fourth-best goal differential at +18.
- The 12 power-play goals Tampa Bay has scored this season rank 25th in the NHL (on 80 chances).
- The Lightning are 27th in the league with a 15% power-play conversion rate.
- Tampa Bay has scored two shorthanded goals this season (11th among all NHL squads).
Lightning Leaders
| Name | Games | Goals | Assists | Points | Giveaways | Takeaways | Faceoff Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikita Kucherov | 24 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 39 | 7 | - |
| Jake Guentzel | 26 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 21 | 10 | 51.8% |
| Brandon Hagel | 25 | 15 | 12 | 27 | 32 | 10 | 43.8% |
| Anthony Cirelli | 22 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 9 | 47.5% |
| Darren Raddysh | 20 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 18 | 3 | - |
Lightning Player Props
Penguins Stats
- With 79 goals (3.2 per game), the Penguins have the NHL's 18th-ranked offense.
- Pittsburgh has one of the top defenses in the league, conceding 68 total goals (2.7 per game), fourth in the league.
- With a goal differential of +11, they are sixth-best in the league.
- Pittsburgh has 20 power-play goals (fourth-most in NHL) on 60 chances.
- The Penguins' power-play percentage (33.33) is tops in the league.
- Pittsburgh has scored one shorthanded goal (20th in NHL).
Penguins Leaders
| Name | Games | Goals | Assists | Points | Giveaways | Takeaways | Faceoff Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Crosby | 25 | 18 | 11 | 29 | 26 | 9 | 53.8% |
| Evgeni Malkin | 25 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 28 | 7 | 47% |
| Bryan Rust | 23 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 26 | 5 | 0% |
| Erik Karlsson | 25 | 1 | 16 | 17 | 41 | 14 | - |
| Anthony Mantha | 25 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 25 | 3 | 16.7% |
Penguins Player Props
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
