Lightning vs. Penguins Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 4

Lightning vs. Penguins Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 4

Updated Dec. 4, 2025 6:14 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Brandon Hagel and Bryan Rust will be leading the way for the Tampa Bay Lightning and Pittsburgh Penguins, respectively, when the two teams play on Thursday, Dec. 4 at Benchmark International Arena, starting at 7 p.m. ET. Take a look at everything you need to know about the Lightning-Penguins game, from the puck lined, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Lightning vs. Penguins Game Information and TV Channel

  • When: Thursday, December 4, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
  • Where: Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Florida
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Lightning vs Penguins Betting Information
Favorite Puck Line Favorite Puck Line Odds Underdog Puck Line Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Lightning -1.5 145 -175 6.5 -105 -115 -166 +140

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Lightning vs. Penguins Prediction

ATS Pick: Penguins (+ 1.5)
O/U Pick: Under (6.5)
Score Prediction: Lightning 4 - Penguins 2

Lightning vs. Penguins Betting Insights

  • Tampa Bay and its opponent have gone over 6.5 combined goals in 10 of 26 games this season.
  • Pittsburgh has played 11 games this season with over 6.5 goals.
  • These two teams score a combined 6.4 goals per game, 0.1 fewer than this game's over/under.
  • These teams allow 5.3 goals per game combined, 1.2 fewer than this game's over/under.
  • In terms of goals scored, the Lightning are eighth in the league, and the Penguins are 18th.
  • The Penguins are fourth in the league in goals conceded, and the Lightning are third.

Lightning Stats

  • The Lightning's 85 total goals (3.3 per game) make them the eighth-best scoring team in the league.
  • Tampa Bay has conceded 67 total goals (2.6 per game), ranking third in league action in terms of the fewest goals against.
  • They have the league's fourth-best goal differential at +18.
  • The 12 power-play goals Tampa Bay has scored this season rank 25th in the NHL (on 80 chances).
  • The Lightning are 27th in the league with a 15% power-play conversion rate.
  • Tampa Bay has scored two shorthanded goals this season (11th among all NHL squads).

Lightning Leaders

Name Games Goals Assists Points Giveaways Takeaways Faceoff Win %
Nikita Kucherov 24 11 21 32 39 7 -
Jake Guentzel 26 14 13 27 21 10 51.8%
Brandon Hagel 25 15 12 27 32 10 43.8%
Anthony Cirelli 22 9 8 17 17 9 47.5%
Darren Raddysh 20 3 13 16 18 3 -

Lightning Player Props

Penguins Stats

  • With 79 goals (3.2 per game), the Penguins have the NHL's 18th-ranked offense.
  • Pittsburgh has one of the top defenses in the league, conceding 68 total goals (2.7 per game), fourth in the league.
  • With a goal differential of +11, they are sixth-best in the league.
  • Pittsburgh has 20 power-play goals (fourth-most in NHL) on 60 chances.
  • The Penguins' power-play percentage (33.33) is tops in the league.
  • Pittsburgh has scored one shorthanded goal (20th in NHL).

Penguins Leaders

Name Games Goals Assists Points Giveaways Takeaways Faceoff Win %
Sidney Crosby 25 18 11 29 26 9 53.8%
Evgeni Malkin 25 7 19 26 28 7 47%
Bryan Rust 23 8 13 21 26 5 0%
Erik Karlsson 25 1 16 17 41 14 -
Anthony Mantha 25 8 7 15 25 3 16.7%

Penguins Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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