Texans vs. Broncos Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 3

Published Nov. 29, 2023 11:25 a.m. ET

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The Denver Broncos (6-5) will be trying to extend a five-game winning run against the Houston Texans (6-5). Despite that, the Texans are the favorites, expected to win by at least a field goal but less than a touchdown (currently -3.5). The predicted point total for the matchup is 47.5.

Texans vs. Broncos Odds & Betting Lines

Texans vs. Broncos Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Houston (-3.5)
  
• Pick OU: Under (47.5)
  
• Prediction: Houston 26 - Denver 20

How to Watch Houston vs. Denver

• Game Date: Sunday, December 3, 2023
• Time: 1:00 PM ET
• Venue: NRG Stadium
• Location: Houston, Texas
• TV: Watch on CBS

Texans vs. Broncos Recent Matchups

• In their last five head-to-head contests, Denver has won against Houston four times.
• In their last five head-to-head matchups, Denver has scored 135 points against Houston, while surrendering only 74 points.

Houston Betting Info

• In 11 Houston games this year, it has five wins against the spread.
• The Texans have not covered the spread this season (0-2 ATS) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
• Houston games this year have gone over the total in four out of 11 opportunities (36.4%).
• The Texans have compiled a 2-1 record in games they played as moneyline favorite (winning 66.7% of those games).
• Houston has played as a moneyline favorite of -192 or shorter in only one game this season, which it won.
• The Texans have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 65.8%.

Texans Stats

Houston's Key Players

Offense

• C.J. Stroud has 3,266 passing yards (second in the NFL), 19 touchdowns (seventh in the NFL) and five interceptions this year. He has completed 63.7% of his attempts, averaging 296.9 yards per game and 8.4 per attempt.
• He has also rushed for 132 yards (third on the Texans) and added three touchdowns on the ground, while averaging 12.0 rushing yards per game.
• Tank Dell has caught 47 passes on 75 targets for 709 total yards and seven touchdowns. He is averaging 4.7 catches and 70.9 yards per game in 10 games.
• Nico Collins has five touchdown catches this season, and has 50 catches for 800 yards on 73 targets, while averaging 5.0 catches and 80.0 yards per game.
• In the ground game, Devin Singletary averages 4.1 yards per attempt (22nd in the NFL) and 44.5 yards per game for 489 total rushing yards. He has recorded two rushing touchdowns this season.
• Singletary's 22 receiving targets have led to 18 receptions (1.6 per game) for 113 yards (10.3 per game) and zero TDs.

Defense

• On defense, Blake Cashman has 2.0 sacks (fifth on the Texans) to go with 9.0 TFL, 76 tackles, and one interception in 2023.
• Jonathan Greenard has 36 tackles, 11.0 TFL, and seven sacks this season.
• Will Anderson Jr. has totaled 37 tackles, 6.0 TFL, and three sacks this year.
• This season, Jalen Pitre has 49 tackles and 4.0 TFL. He's fourth on the Texans in tackles.

Denver Betting Info

• Denver have put together a 4-6-1 record against the spread this season.
• The Broncos have been underdogs by 3.5 points or more four times this year and have covered the spread twice.
• This year, Denver games have hit the over five times.
• The Broncos have been underdogs in five games this season and won three (60%) of those contests.
• Denver is 2-2 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +160 or more on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Broncos have a 38.5% chance to win.

Broncos Stats

Denver's Key Players

Offense

• Russell Wilson has thrown for 2,199 yards this year, with 20 touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) and four interceptions. He is completing 68.3% of his attempts while averaging 199.9 yards per game and 6.9 per attempt.
• He's added 266 yards on the ground (third on the Broncos), while scoring one rushing touchdown. He's averaging 24.2 yards per game and 5.0 per attempt.
• Courtland Sutton has 48 catches for 560 yards and eight receiving touchdowns (third in the NFL). He has been targeted 68 times and averages 4.4 receptions per game in 11 games played.
• Javonte Williams has yet to rush for a touchdown this season, but has totaled 538 rushing yards (53.8 per game and 3.8 per attempt).
• Williams has helped out in the receiving game, putting up 131 receiving yards (13.1 per game) on 26 catches (2.6 per game), while being targeted 34 times. He has two receiving touchdowns.
• Jaleel McLaughlin puts up 25.5 rushing yards per game over 11 games (281 total yards), with one rushing touchdown.
• McLaughlin has also caught 19 passes for 83 yards (eighth on the Broncos), with two receiving touchdowns. He's been targeted 21 times and averages 7.5 yards per game.

Defense

• Alex Singleton has amassed 3.0 TFL and 108 tackles over 11 games in 2023.
• Jonathon Cooper has 49 tackles, 5.0 TFL, and 5.5 sacks. He is fourth on the Broncos in tackles.
• Nik Bonitto has recorded 7.0 sacks (first on the Broncos) as well as 10.0 TFL and 25 tackles in the 2023 campaign.
• Zach Allen's season stats include 42 tackles, 7.0 TFL, and 3.5 sacks in 11 games.

Herd Hierarchy: Broncos land, Cowboys, Ravens creep up in Colin's Top 10 of Week 13 | The Herd

Colin Cowherd reveals his Week 13 Herd Hierarchy, including the Denver Broncos landing in the Top 10 and the Dallas Cowboys and Baltimore Ravens continuing to climb up his rankings. Do you agree with Colin's Week 13 rankings?

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