Patriots vs. Jets 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 28

Having lost one in a row, the New York Jets (3-12) will face the New England Patriots (12-3). The Patriots are big favorites (-13.5). The total for this one is set at 43.5 points.

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Patriots vs. Jets Odds & Betting Lines

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Patriots vs. Jets Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Patriots (-13.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (43.5)
  
• Prediction: Patriots 32 - Jets 16

How to Watch New England vs. New York

• Game date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Venue: MetLife Stadium
• Location: East Rutherford, New Jersey
• TV: Watch on FOX
• Streaming: FOXSports.com, FOX Sports App and FOX One (Try free for 7 days)

Patriots vs. Jets Recent Matchups

• Over their last five meetings, New England has put up three wins against New York.
• Over their last five head-to-head contests, New York has scored 87 points, while New England has accumulated 73.

New England Betting Info

• New England is 9-6-0 against the spread this season.
• The Patriots have been favored by 13.5 points or more this season once, and failed to cover the spread.
• New England games this year have hit the over on nine of 15 set point totals (60%).
• The Patriots have an 8-1 record in games they played as moneyline favorite (winning 88.9% of those games).
• The Patriots have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 91.3%.

Patriots Stats

New England's Key Players

Offense

• Drake Maye ranks fourth in the NFL with 3,947 passing yards in 15 games this year, averaging 263.1 per game with a 70.9% completion percentage and 25 touchdowns (fifth in the NFL) against eight interceptions.
• He has added 387 rushing yards (25.8 per game) and four touchdowns on the ground.
• TreVeyon Henderson has collected 776 rushing yards with seven touchdowns (51.7 yards per game across 15 games). His 5.2 yards per attempt rank fifth in the NFL.
• Henderson's 42 targets in the passing game have turned into 35 catches (2.3 per game) for 221 yards (14.7 per game) and one touchdown.
• In 15 games played, Stefon Diggs is averaging 57.9 yards and 5.1 receptions per game on the way to 869 receiving yards and 76 catches. He's been targeted 93 times, and has three receiving touchdowns.
• Hunter Henry averages 3.5 receptions and 44.2 yards per game, and has 663 total receiving yards and 52 catches. He's gotten 79 total targets, and has caught six touchdown passes.

Defense

• On defense for the Patriots, Robert Spillane has powered the unit with 97 tackles, four TFL, one sack, and two interceptions in 2025.
• Harold Landry has 8.5 sacks (first on the Patriots) as well as 10 TFL and 48 tackles.
• Marcus Jones has totaled 61 tackles, six TFL, one sack, and three interceptions this year.
• This season, Jaylinn Hawkins has 68 tackles, three TFL, 1.5 sacks, and two interceptions.

New York Betting Info

• New York is 8-7-0 against the spread this season.
• The Jets have been underdogs by 13.5 points or more three times this year and have covered the spread twice.
• This year, nine New York games have gone over the point total.
• The Jets have entered the game as underdogs 13 times this season and won three, or 23.1%, of those games.
• The Jets have a 12.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Jets Stats

New York's Key Players

Offense

• Breece Hall averages 63.6 rushing yards per game this year (954 total yards), while scoring three rushing touchdowns.
• Hall's contributions include 34 receptions (2.3 per game) on 45 targets for 332 yards (22.1 per game) and one receiving touchdown.
• Tyrod Taylor has 779 passing yards, five touchdowns and five interceptions. His completion percentage is 59.7% and he averages 129.8 yards per game and 5.8 per attempt.
• He has also added 143 rushing yards (fourth on the Jets), while scoring one touchdown on the ground (averaging 23.8 yards per game and 5.3 per carry).
• Adonai Mitchell has totaled 431 receiving yards and two touchdowns on 30 receptions, while being targeted 62 times on the season.
• Isaiah Davis has 225 rushing yards (third on the Jets) and one rushing touchdown, while averaging 15 yards per game and 5.6 per attempt.
• Davis has added 20 catches (1.3 per game) for 177 yards (11.8 per game), without a receiving touchdown. He has been on the receiving end of 27 targets.

Defense

• Jamien Sherwood has 140 tackles, eight TFL, two sacks, and eight passes defended in 2025.
• Quincy Williams has 3.5 sacks (third on the Jets) to go with eight TFL and 73 tackles.
• Malachi Moore has 79 tackles and two TFL in the 2025 season. He is second on the Jets in tackles.
• Will McDonald has 30 tackles, 10 TFL, and eight sacks.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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