Patriots vs. Jets 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec 28

Having lost one in a row, the New York Jets (3-12) will take on the New England Patriots (12-3). The Patriots are heavy favorites (-13.5). The expected point total for the matchup is set at 42.5.

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Patriots vs. Jets Odds & Betting Lines

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Patriots vs. Jets Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Patriots (-13.5)
  
• Pick OU: Over (42.5)
  
• Prediction: Patriots 32 - Jets 16

How to Watch New England vs. New York

• Game date: Sunday, December 28, 2025
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Venue: MetLife Stadium
• Location: East Rutherford, New Jersey
• TV: Watch on FOX
• Streaming: FOX One (Limited time offer: 50% off the first two months)

Patriots vs. Jets Recent Matchups

• New England has a 3-2 record against New York in their last five matchups.
• New England has been outpaced by 14 points in its last five tilts versus New York.

New England Betting Info

• Against the spread, New England is 9-6-0 this year.
• The Patriots have not covered the spread this season (0-1 ATS) when playing as at least 13.5-point favorites.
• New England games this year have hit the over on nine of 15 set point totals (60%).
• When playing as the moneyline favorite, the Patriots are 8-1 (winning 88.9% of the time).
• The Patriots have an implied win probability, based on the moneyline, of 90.5%.

Patriots Stats

New England's Key Players

Offense

• Drake Maye has thrown for 3,947 yards (fourth in the NFL), 25 touchdowns (sixth in the NFL) and eight interceptions this year. He is averaging 263.1 yards per game and 8.7 per attempt, while completing 70.9% of his attempts.
• In addition to his passing statistics, Maye also has 387 rushing yards (third on the Patriots), with four rushing touchdowns.
• TreVeyon Henderson has totaled 776 rushing yards with seven touchdowns (51.7 yards per game through 15 games). His 5.2 yards per attempt rank fifth in the NFL.
• Henderson's 42 targets in the passing game have turned into 35 catches (2.3 per game) for 221 yards (14.7 per game) and one touchdown.
• Stefon Diggs has three touchdown catches this season, and has 76 receptions for 869 yards on 93 targets, while averaging 5.1 catches and 57.9 yards per game.
• Hunter Henry averages 3.5 receptions and 44.2 yards per game, and has 663 total receiving yards and 52 catches. He's gotten 79 total targets, and has caught six touchdown passes.

Defense

• On the defensive side, Robert Spillane has one sack to go with four TFL, 97 tackles, and two interceptions in 2025.
• Harold Landry has 8.5 sacks (first on the Patriots) to go with 10 TFL and 48 tackles.
• Marcus Jones has put up three interceptions and also has 61 tackles, six TFL, one sack, and 11 passes defended.
• So far this season, Jaylinn Hawkins has 68 tackles, three TFL, 1.5 sacks, and two interceptions.

New York Betting Info

• New York has covered the spread eight times this season (8-7-0).
• The Jets have been underdogs by 13.5 points or more three times this season and have covered the spread twice.
• New York's games have finished with a final combined score above the over/under nine times this year.
• This season, the Jets have been the underdog 13 times and won three, or 23.1%, of those games.
• The Jets have a 13.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Jets Stats

New York's Key Players

Offense

• So far this year in 15 games, Breece Hall has churned out 954 rushing yards (leading the Jets) and scored three rushing touchdowns. He averages 63.6 yards per game and 4.2 per attempt (27th in the NFL).
• Hall has also played a role the passing attack with 332 yards (22.1 per game) on 34 receptions (2.3 per game), while being targeted 45 times. He has one receiving touchdown.
• Tyrod Taylor has 779 passing yards, five touchdowns and five interceptions. His completion percentage is 59.7% and he averages 129.8 yards per game and 5.8 per attempt.
• He has added 143 rushing yards (fourth on the Jets), with one touchdown on the ground (averaging 23.8 yards per game and 5.3 per carry).
• Through 14 games played this season, Adonai Mitchell has 30 catches (2.1 receptions per game on 4.4 targets per game) for 431 yards and two receiving touchdowns.
• Isaiah Davis has scored one touchdown on the ground, while running for 225 total yards (5.6 per attempt and 15 per game).
• Davis has also caught 20 passes for 177 yards (seventh on the Jets). He's been targeted 27 times and averages 11.8 yards per game.

Defense

• So far in 2025, Jamien Sherwood has put up two sacks to go with eight TFL and 140 tackles through 15 games.
• Quincy Williams has 73 tackles, eight TFL, 3.5 sacks, and six passes defended.
• Malachi Moore has recorded two TFL and 79 tackles in the 2025 campaign.
• Brandon Stephens has totaled four TFL and 70 tackles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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