Justin Watson Odds and Prop Bets vs. Bills – NFL Week 14 2023

Updated Dec. 10, 2023 2:49 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Justin Watson's Kansas City Chiefs will take on the Buffalo Bills at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday in Week 14 of the 2023 NFL campaign. In this piece we'll break down Watson's stats and trends to help you make good predictions among his prop bets for this matchup.

In his previous three games, Justin Watson's recent performance includes 19 targets and eight receptions for 71 yards and two scores.

Learn more about Justin Watson vs. the Buffalo Bills on FOX Sports.

Justin Watson vs. Bills Player Props

Rec. Yds Over/Under	Rec. Yds Over Payout	Anytime TD Odds
25.5	-115	+350

Justin Watson vs. Buffalo Game Info

Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Buffalo Bills
Game Day: December 10, 2023
Game Time: 4:25 PM
Receiving Yards Prop: Over 25.5 (-115)
TV: Watch on CBS

Justin Watson Season Stats

Targets	Receptions	Yards	YAC	TDs	Yards/Catch
39	20	332	28	2	16.6

Justin Watson Betting Insights

Watson is averaging 33.2 receiving yards per game. That's 7.7 more yards than the prop bet of 25.5 set for Sunday.
He, in 60.0% of his opportunities this season (six out of 10), has recorded over 25.5 receiving yards.
Watson has compiled 10.9 more receiving yards per game (33.2) than his average prop total (22.3).
He has topped his receiving yards prop bet twice in five games this year.
In two of 10 games this year, Watson has a touchdown catch, but he has had zero multiple-TD efforts.

Bills' Defense 2023 Rankings

Stat	AVG (Rank)
Pass Yds/Game Allowed	203.3 (8)
Pass Yds/Attempt Allowed	6.3 (10)
Rush Yds/Game Allowed	116.7 (20)
Rush Yds/Attempt Allowed	4.7 (29)
Total Yds/Game Allowed	319.9 (12)
Yards/Play Allowed	5.6 (19)
Points/Game Allowed	18.9 (5)

Chiefs' 2023 Stats

Defensively, the Chiefs have been a top-five unit, ranking fourth-best by allowing just 297.7 yards per game. They rank eighth on offense (362.6 yards per game).
Looking at pace stats, Kansas City ranks 14th in the league, averaging 64 plays per contest (771 total plays).
The Chiefs rank eighth in pass offense (252.7 passing yards per game) and sixth in pass defense (183 passing yards allowed per game) this year.
The Chiefs are averaging 109.9 rushing yards per game offensively this season (16th in NFL), and they are surrendering 114.7 rushing yards per game (19th) on defense.
This season, Kansas City has been one of the most pass-heavy teams in the league, throwing 58.4% of the time (fourth in NFL). To compare, it is rushing the ball 39.4% of the time, with 2.2% of its plays ending in a sack.
The Chiefs are surrendering 5.3 yards per play on the defensive side of the ball (ninth in the NFL), while gaining 5.8 per play (eighth in the league) on offense this season.