Dolphins vs. Jets 2025 Prediction, Odds, Picks - Sep 29

In a battle featuring two squads coming off losses, the Miami Dolphins (0-3) will play the New York Jets (0-3). The Dolphins have dropped three in a row, the Jets three in a row. Miami is a slim favorite (-2.5). The expected point total for the matchup is 44.5.

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Dolphins vs. Jets Odds & Betting Lines

Dolphins vs. Jets Prediction & Pick

• Pick ATS: Dolphins (-2.5)
  
• Pick OU: Under (44.5)
  
• Prediction: Dolphins 24 - Jets 19

How to Watch Miami vs. New York

• Game date: Monday, September 29, 2025
• Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
• Venue: Hard Rock Stadium
• Location: Miami Gardens, Florida
• TV: ESPN
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Dolphins vs. Jets Recent Matchups

• Miami holds a 4-1 record against New York in their last five matchups.
• New York has been outpaced by 50 points in its last five tilts against Miami.

Miami Betting Info

• Miami has one win against the spread in three games this season.
• Miami games this year have hit the over on two of three set point totals (66.7%).
• The Dolphins have been moneyline favorites one other time this season, a game they lost.
• The implied probability for this matchup, considering the moneyline, gives the Dolphins a 60.8% chance to win.

Dolphins Stats

Miami's Key Players

Offense

• On the ground, De'Von Achane averages 4.9 yards per attempt (13th in the NFL) and 49 yards per game for 147 total rushing yards. He's still looking for his first rushing TD of the season.
• Achane has 23 targets, 18 receptions, 141 receiving yards and two TDs through the air.
• Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for 575 yards, five touchdowns and four interceptions this year. He is averaging 191.7 yards per game and 6.5 per attempt, while completing 69.7%.
• In the passing attack, Tyreek Hill, has contributed with 198 receiving yards and one touchdown after grabbing 15 balls on 23 targets. Per game, he's averaging 66 yards and five receptions through three games.
• Jaylen Waddle has racked up 137 receiving yards and two touchdowns with 14 catches on 17 targets. He is averaging 4.7 receptions and 45.7 yards per game.

Defense

• Over on the defensive side, Tyrel Dodson has 33 tackles, two TFL, one sack, and one pass defended in 2025.
• Jordyn Brooks has 26 tackles, two TFL, and one sack this season. He's second on the Dolphins in tackles.
• Bradley Chubb has recorded nine tackles, three TFL, and three sacks this year.
• This season, Minkah Fitzpatrick has 19 tackles.

New York Betting Info

• New York has covered the spread twice over three games with a set total.
• This year, the Jets have two ATS wins in three games as an underdog of 2.5 points or more.
• New York games have gone over the total twice this season.
• The Jets have been the underdog in three games this season, and they have failed to win any of those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 43.5% chance of a victory for the Jets.

Jets Stats

New York's Key Players

Offense

• Garrett Wilson has recorded 229 receiving yards and two touchdowns on 21 receptions, while being targeted 30 times this season.
• In two games, Justin Fields has 245 passing yards, while throwing one touchdown against zero interceptions and completing 57.6% of his passes.
• He has added 97 rushing yards (second on the Jets), while scoring two touchdowns on the ground (averaging 48.5 yards per game and 5.7 per carry).
• Tyrod Taylor has passed for 253 yards this year, three touchdowns and one interception. He is completing 70.2% of his attempts while averaging 126.5 yards per game and 5.4 per attempt.
• Taylor has also rushed for 69 yards (third on the Jets).
• Breece Hall is scoreless on the ground, but has rushed for 157 total yards (4.1 per carry and 52.3 per game).
• Hall has also caught eight passes for 78 yards (second on the Jets). He's been targeted 13 times and averages 26 yards per game.

Defense

• In 2025, Jamien Sherwood has put up three TFL and 30 tackles through three games.
• Quinnen Williams has one sack (third on the Jets) to go with four TFL and 12 tackles.
• Jarvis Brownlee has recorded two TFL and 17 tackles in the 2025 season.
• Brandon Stephens has two TFL and 15 tackles.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Miami Dolphins

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