Chargers vs. Texans 2024 Wild Card Round Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan 11

Updated Jan. 11, 2025 12:44 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

In this season's AFC Playoffs, the Los Angeles Chargers will match up against the Houston Texans. The Chargers are slim favorites (-2.5). The game has an over/under of 42.5 points.

Keep up with the 2024 NFL season on FOX Sports.

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Chargers vs. Texans Odds & Betting Lines

Chargers vs Texans Betting Information updated as of January 11, 2025, 8:33 a.m. ET.
Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds
Chargers	-2.5	-129	-103	42.5	-109	-122

Chargers vs. Texans Prediction & Pick

Pick ATS: Chargers (-2.5)
Pick OU: Over (42.5)
Prediction: Chargers 23 - Texans 20

How to Watch Los Angeles vs. Houston

Game Date: Saturday, January 11, 2025
Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
Venue: NRG Stadium
Location: Houston, Texas
TV: CBS
Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

Chargers vs. Texans Recent Matchups

Over their last five meetings, Houston has three wins versus Los Angeles.
In their last five head-to-head matchups, Houston has scored 136 points against Los Angeles, while allowing only 132 points.

Los Angeles Betting Info

Los Angeles has 13 wins in 17 games versus the spread this season.
The Chargers have covered the spread eight times this season (8-1 ATS) when playing as at least 2.5-point favorites.
Los Angeles games this year have hit the over on eight of 17 set point totals (47.1%).
The Chargers have won 84.6% of the time they have played as moneyline favorites (11-2).
The Chargers have a 61.8% chance to win this game, based on the implied probability of the moneyline.

Chargers Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	213.5 (3,629)	19
Rush yards	110.7 (1,882)	17
Points scored	23.6 (402)	11
Pass yards against	206.9 (3,517)	7
Rush yards against	117.5 (1,997)	14
Points allowed	17.7 (301)	1

Los Angeles' Key Players

Offense

Justin Herbert has passed for 3,870 yards (ninth in the NFL), 23 touchdowns and three interceptions this year. He averages 227.6 yards per game and 7.7 per attempt, while completing 65.9% of his passes.
He has tacked on 306 rushing yards (18 per game) and two touchdowns on the ground.
J.K. Dobbins' rushing output this season includes 905 yards and nine TDs. He is averaging 69.6 yards per game and 4.6 per attempt (13th in the NFL).
He has caught 32 passes (on 38 targets) for 153 receiving yards with zero touchdowns. He's averaging 11.8 receiving yards and 2.5 catches per game.
In the passing attack, Ladd McConkey, has racked up 1,149 receiving yards (10th in the NFL) and seven touchdowns after hauling in 82 balls on 112 targets. Per game, he's averaging 71.8 yards and 5.1 receptions over 16 games.
Quentin Johnston has 55 catches for 711 yards and eight touchdowns. He's been targeted 91 times in the air attack, and averages 3.7 receptions and 47.4 yards through 15 games played.

Defense

On defense for the Chargers, Daiyan Henley has put up 142 tackles, seven TFL, one sack, and one interception in 2024.
Derwin James has 93 tackles, 10 TFL, 5.5 sacks, and one interception this season.
Tuli Tuipulotu has put up 38 tackles, 11 TFL, and 8.5 sacks this year.
So far this season, Khalil Mack has 39 tackles, six TFL, and six sacks.

Houston Betting Info

Houston has covered the spread in a matchup seven times this year (7-9-1).
So far this year, the Texans have been installed as underdogs by a 2.5-point margin or more six times and are 3-3 ATS in those contests.
Games involving Houston have hit the over on six occasions this season.
This season, the Texans have been the underdog six times and won one of those games.
The implied probability of a win by the Texans based on the moneyline is 42.4%.

Texans Stats

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	207.4 (3,526)	21
Rush yards	112.3 (1,909)	15
Points scored	21.9 (372)	19
Pass yards against	201 (3,417)	6
Rush yards against	114 (1,938)	11
Points allowed	21.9 (372)	14

Houston's Key Players

Offense

C.J. Stroud is averaging 7 passing yards per attempt (22nd in the NFL) and 219.2 yards per game this year, completing 63.2% of his passes on the way to 3,727 total yards, 20 touchdowns and 12 interceptions through 17 games.
On the ground, Stroud has added 233 rushing yards (third on the Texans).
Joe Mixon has scored 11 rushing touchdowns, while totaling 1,016 rushing yards (4.1 per attempt and 72.6 per game).
Mixon also has 36 catches for 309 yards (sixth on the Texans), with one receiving touchdown. He has been targeted 52 times and averages 22.1 yards per game.
Through 12 games played this season, Nico Collins has 68 catches (5.7 receptions per game on 8.2 targets per game) for 1,006 yards and seven receiving touchdowns.
Dalton Schultz has 53 catches for 532 yards and two receiving touchdowns. He averages 3.1 yards per game in 17 games and has been targeted 85 times.

Defense

Danielle Hunter has recorded 12 sacks (first on the Texans and fifth in the NFL) to go with 17 TFL and 46 tackles through 16 games in 2024.
Will Anderson Jr. has 37 tackles, 16 TFL, and 11 sacks.
Henry To'o To'o has 103 tackles, seven TFL, 1.5 sacks, and one interception in the 2024 season. He leads the Texans in tackles.
Azeez Al-Shaair has two sacks to go with seven TFL and 70 tackles over 11 games.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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