Timberwolves vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 24

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 24

Updated Jan. 24, 2026 3:23 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Two of the league's best scorers -- Anthony Edwards (fifth, 29.6 points per game) and Stephen Curry (10th, 27.4) -- match up when the Minnesota Timberwolves (27-18) host the Golden State Warriors (25-21) on January 24, 2026 on ABC. Saturday's matchup between the Timberwolves and the Warriors features the Timberwolves as 6-point favorites. The game has a point total of 237.5.

Check out everything you need to know to know about the Timberwolves-Warriors game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Saturday, January 24, 2026 at 5:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • TV: ABC
  • Streaming: FOX One + ESPN Bundle
Timberwolves vs Warriors Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Timberwolves -6 -106 -114 237.5 -110 -110 -215 +180

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Timberwolves vs. Warriors Prediction

ATS Pick: Warriors (+ 6)
O/U Pick: Under (237.5)
Score Prediction: Timberwolves 119 - Warriors 114

Timberwolves vs. Warriors Betting Insights

  • The Timberwolves have played 15 games with more than 237.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, this year.
  • A total of 17 Warriors games this season (out of 46) have gone over 237.5 total points scored.
  • The two teams average a combined 0.7 fewer points per game (236.8) than this game's total of 237.5 points.
  • Opponents of the two teams average a combined 8.2 fewer points per game (229.3) than this game's over/under of 237.5 points.
  • Minnesota has been victorious in 24, or 70.6%, of the 34 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
  • Golden State has been victorious in four, or 36.4%, of the 11 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
  • Minnesota has a 1-0 record in the last one head-to-head matchups with Golden State.
  • The Timberwolves also have a 1-0 record against the spread when playing the Warriors.

Timberwolves Recent Trends

  • The Timberwolves have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 5-5 overall over their past 10 games.
  • Minnesota's average total over the last 10 games is 2.3 points fewer than the 237.5 total listed for this matchup.
  • The Timberwolves have played 45 games, with 19 wins against the spread.
  • Minnesota has been favored by 6 points or more 24 times this season and are 8-16 ATS in those matchups.
  • Timberwolves games this year have hit the over 47.8% of the time (22 out of 46 games with a set point total).
  • The Timberwolves record 120.0 points per game, 5.8 more points than the 114.2 the Warriors allow.
  • Minnesota has a 17-11 record against the spread and a 22-6 record overall when scoring more than 114.2 points.
  • This season, the Timberwolves have a 48.4% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.2% higher than the 47.2% of shots the Warriors' opponents have knocked down.
  • Against the spread, the Timberwolves have played worse when playing at home, covering nine times in 22 home games, and 10 times in 23 road games.
  • In home games, Minnesota goes over the total 31.8% of the time (seven of 22 games). It hits the over more often in road games, eclipsing the total in 65.2% of games (15 of 23).
  • As a moneyline favorite, the Timberwolves have won a higher percentage of their home games (.737) compared to road games (.667).

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 120.0 3
Points Allowed 115.1 12
Rebounds 44.7 13
Assists 26.8 10
Steals 8.5 12
Blocks 5.5 7

Timberwolves Leaders

  • Julius Randle puts up 22.6 points, 5.4 assists and 7.0 rebounds per contest.
  • Edwards posts 29.6 points, 5.1 rebounds and 3.7 assists per contest, shooting 49.5% from the field and 40.6% from beyond the arc with 3.5 made treys per game (fourth in NBA).
  • Rudy Gobert puts up 11.0 points, 1.8 assists and 11.3 rebounds per game.
  • Naz Reid averages 14.6 points, 6.2 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game, shooting 47.4% from the field and 39.2% from downtown with 2.5 made 3-pointers per contest.
  • Donte DiVincenzo posts 13.2 points, 4.6 rebounds and 4.2 assists per contest. At the other end he averages 1.3 steals and 0.5 blocks.

Timberwolves Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Anthony Edwards 29.5 -118 29.6
Julius Randle 22.5 -125 22.6
Naz Reid 15.5 +100 14.6
Jaden McDaniels 14.5 -114 15.1
Donte DiVincenzo 12.5 -130 13.2

Warriors Recent Trends

  • The Warriors are 6-4 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their past 10 games.
  • Golden State and its opponents have combined to score an average of 230.7 combined points over its last 10 games, 6.8 less than the 237.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • In the Warriors' 46 games this year, they have 21 wins against the spread.
  • This season, Golden State has just one against the spread win in six games as an underdog of 6 points or more.
  • Warriors games this season have gone over the total in 27 of 46 opportunities (58.7%).
  • The Warriors average only 1.7 more points per game (116.8) than the Timberwolves give up (115.1).
  • Golden State is 16-10-1 against the spread and 20-7 overall when it scores more than 115.1 points.
  • The Warriors are shooting 46.3% from the field, which equals what the Timberwolves' opponents have shot this season.
  • Against the spread, the Warriors have performed better at home (13-10-1) than on the road (8-14-0).
  • Golden State's games have finished above the over/under 58.3% of the time at home (14 of 24), and 59.1% of the time on the road (13 of 22).
  • When moneyline favorites, the Warriors have won a higher percentage of games at home (16-5) than on the road (5-9).

Warriors Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 116.8 14
Points Allowed 114.2 10
Rebounds 42.8 23
Assists 28.8 6
Steals 9.6 4
Blocks 4.5 20

Warriors Leaders

  • Curry generates 27.4 points, 3.7 rebounds and 4.9 assists per game for the Warriors.
  • Brandin Podziemski is putting up 12.2 points, 4.4 rebounds and 3.4 assists per contest. He's sinking 46.3% of his shots from the field and 39.3% from 3-point range, with 1.8 treys per contest.
  • The Warriors are receiving 8.7 points, 5.8 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game from Draymond Green this season.
  • The Warriors are getting 10.7 points, 3.0 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game from Moses Moody this year.
  • The Warriors are getting 8.0 points, 4.0 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game from Quinten Post this season.

Warriors Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Stephen Curry 29.5 -106 27.4
Brandin Podziemski 13.5 -102 12.2
De'Anthony Melton 12.5 +100 11.3
Moses Moody 11.5 -106 10.7
Draymond Green 8.5 -130 8.7

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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