Timberwolves vs. Spurs Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 11

The Minnesota Timberwolves (25-14) hit the court against the San Antonio Spurs (27-11) on January 11, 2026 on FDSN and FDSSW. The Timberwolves match up against the Spurs in a game that Minnesota is currently a slight favorite by 2 points. The over/under is 233.5 points for the game.

Here's everything you need to know to know about the Timberwolves-Spurs game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Timberwolves vs. Spurs Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Sunday, January 11, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• TV: FDSN and FDSSW
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Timberwolves vs. Spurs Prediction

ATS Pick: Spurs (+ 2)
O/U Pick: Under (233.5)
Score Prediction: Timberwolves 118 - Spurs 116

Timberwolves vs. Spurs Betting Insights

• Timberwolves games have finished over 233.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, 19 times (out of 39) this year.
• The Spurs have played in 18 games this year (47.4% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 233.5 points.
• These two teams average 238.8 points per game combined, 5.3 more than the total of 233.5.
• Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 227.9 points per game, 5.6 fewer than the point total for this matchup.
• Minnesota has won 23, or 74.2%, of the 31 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• San Antonio has been an underdog in 12 games this season and has come away with the win nine times (75%) in those contests.
• Minnesota has come out on top in its one head-to-head matchup against San Antonio.
• The Timberwolves have an advantage against the spread as well (1-0) when squaring off against the Spurs.

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves have a 6-4 record against the spread while finishing 6-4 overall over their last 10 games.
• Minnesota has averaged a total of 236.7 combined points over its last 10 games, 3.2 greater than this game's over/under of 233.5.
• The Timberwolves are 17-22-0 against the spread this year.
• Minnesota has an ATS record of 14-16 in its 30 games when favored by 2 points or more so far this season.
• Timberwolves games this year have hit the over 19 times in 38 opportunities (50%).
• The Timberwolves score 120.3 points per game, 7.5 more points than the 112.8 the Spurs allow.
• When Minnesota totals more than 112.8 points, it is 15-13 against the spread and 22-6 overall.
• The Timberwolves make 48.5% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.5 percentage points higher than the Spurs have allowed to their opponents (46.0%).
• Against the spread, the Timberwolves have played better when playing at home, covering nine times in 20 home games, and eight times in 19 road games.
• Minnesota has eclipsed the over/under in a lower percentage of games at home (35%) than games on the road (63.2%).
• The Timberwolves have fared better as a moneyline favorite at home, posting a home record of 13-4, compared to going 10-4 in away games.

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Julius Randle averages 22.2 points, 5.7 assists and 7.1 boards per contest.
• Anthony Edwards posts 29.1 points, 5.1 boards and 3.8 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 1.4 steals and 0.9 blocks.
• Rudy Gobert puts up 11.2 points, 11.3 boards and 1.8 assists per contest, shooting 72.4% from the floor (first in NBA).
• Naz Reid averages 14.4 points, 2.4 assists and 6.2 boards.
• Donte DiVincenzo averages 13.3 points, 4.4 boards and 4.1 assists per contest. At the other end he averages 1.3 steals and 0.4 blocks.

Timberwolves Player Props

Spurs Recent Trends

• The Spurs have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 6-4 overall in their past 10 contests.
• San Antonio's average total over the last 10 games is 3.7 points greater than the 233.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
• In the Spurs' 38 games this year, they have 19 wins against the spread.
• So far this year, San Antonio has been installed as underdogs by a 2-point margin or more 11 times and are 8-3 ATS in those games.
• Spurs games this season have hit the over on 16 of 38 set point totals (42.1%).
• The Spurs score an average of 118.5 points per game, only 3.4 more points than the 115.1 the Timberwolves allow.
• When it scores more than 115.1 points, San Antonio is 13-9-2 against the spread and 20-4 overall.
• The Spurs have shot at a 47.5% rate from the field this season, 1.3 percentage points above the 46.2% shooting opponents of the Timberwolves have averaged.
• The Spurs have the same winning percentage against the spread (.500) at home (9-7-2 record) and on the road (10-9-1) this season.
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of San Antonio's games have finished above the over/under at home (38.9%, seven of 18) compared to on the road (45%, nine of 20).
• The Spurs, when moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (10-5) than on the road (7-3) this year.

Spurs Recent Stats

Spurs Leaders

• Victor Wembanyama delivers 24.1 points, 11.3 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game for the Spurs.
• On a per-game basis, De'Aaron Fox gets the Spurs 21.0 points, 4.0 rebounds and 5.9 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• Stephon Castle is putting up 17.4 points, 5.0 rebounds and 6.8 assists per game. He is draining 46.9% of his shots from the floor and 26.1% from 3-point range, with 1.0 triples per game.
• Keldon Johnson gets the Spurs 13.7 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.3 assists per contest while posting 0.7 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
• Julian Champagnie is averaging 11.1 points, 6.1 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game. He is making 41.8% of his shots from the floor and 36.0% from beyond the arc, with 2.3 triples per contest.

Spurs Player Props

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National Basketball Association

Minnesota Timberwolves

San Antonio Spurs