Timberwolves vs. Bucks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 21

The Milwaukee Bucks (11-17) aim to break a seven-game road losing streak at the Minnesota Timberwolves (18-10) on December 21, 2025. Sunday's matchup between the Timberwolves and the Bucks features the Timberwolves as double-digit 12-point favorites. The matchup's over/under is 226.5.

Take a look at everything you need to know to know about the Timberwolves-Bucks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Timberwolves vs. Bucks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Sunday, December 21, 2025 at 7 p.m. ET
• Where: Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• TV: FDSNX and FDSWI
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Timberwolves vs. Bucks Prediction

ATS Pick: Bucks (+ 12)
O/U Pick: Over (226.5)
Score Prediction: Timberwolves 122 - Bucks 110

Timberwolves vs. Bucks Betting Insights

• The Timberwolves have played 20 games with more than 226.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, this season.
• This year, 17 of the Bucks' 28 total matchups have gone over 226.5 total points scored.
• The Timberwolves and the Bucks combine to average 6.3 more points per game than the over/under of 226.5 set for this matchup.
• The Timberwolves and the Bucks have seen their opponents average a combined 5.2 more points per game than the point total of 226.5 set in this matchup.
• Minnesota has come away with 16 wins in the 22 contests it has been listed as the favorite this season.
• Milwaukee has been victorious in five, or 31.2%, of the 16 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• Milwaukee has won both of its last two head-to-head matchups against Minnesota.
• The Bucks have an advantage against the spread as well (2-0) when taking the court against the Timberwolves.

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves have a 4-6 record against the spread while going 8-2 overall in their last 10 contests.
• Minnesota's average total over the last 10 games is 3.8 points more than the 226.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 11-17-0 this year.
• Minnesota has covered the spread twice this season when favored by 12 points or more (in six chances).
• Timberwolves games this year have hit the over 46.4% of the time (13 out of 28 games with a set point total).
• The Timberwolves record just 1.8 more points per game (119.2) than the Bucks give up (117.4).
• Minnesota has an 8-6 record against the spread and a 14-0 record overall when putting up more than 117.4 points.
• The Timberwolves are shooting 47.9% from the field this season, 0.6 percentage points higher than the 47.3% the Bucks allow to opponents.
• The Timberwolves have done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (6-9-0) than they have in road affairs (5-8-0).
• In terms of over/unders, Minnesota hits the over less consistently in home games, as it has exceeded the total five times in 15 opportunities this season (33.3%). On the road, it has hit the over eight times in 13 opportunities (61.5%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Timberwolves have won nine of 12 games when playing at home, good for a .750 winning percentage. They have won seven of 10 games away from home (.700) as a moneyline favorite.

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Julius Randle averages 22.9 points, 7.2 rebounds and 5.7 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.0 steal and 0.1 blocks.
• Anthony Edwards posts 28.5 points, 5.2 boards and 3.8 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.9 blocks.
• Rudy Gobert averages 11.5 points, 10.6 boards and 1.9 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.5 steals and 1.5 blocks (sixth in NBA).
• Naz Reid posts 14.0 points, 6.1 rebounds and 2.5 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 1.1 steals and 0.9 blocks.
• Donte DiVincenzo averages 13.9 points, 3.7 assists and 4.4 rebounds.

Timberwolves Player Props

Bucks Recent Trends

• The Bucks are 5-5 against the spread and 3-7 overall over their last 10 games.
• Milwaukee and its opponents have combined to score an average of 224.9 combined points in its last 10 games, 1.6 less than the 226.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Bucks have 12 wins against the spread in 28 games this season.
• Milwaukee has been underdogs by 12 points or more once this season and covered the spread.
• Bucks games this year have hit the over 11 times in 28 opportunities (39.3%).
• The Bucks put up only 0.7 fewer points per game (113.6) than the Timberwolves give up (114.3).
• When it scores more than 114.3 points, Milwaukee is 8-6 against the spread and 10-4 overall.
• The Bucks' 48.9% shooting percentage from the field this season is 3.0 percentage points higher than the Timberwolves have given up to their opponents (45.9%).
• Against the spread, the Bucks have been better at home (8-8-0) than on the road (4-8-0).
• Milwaukee's games have finished above the over/under 43.8% of the time at home (seven of 16), and 33.3% of the time on the road (four of 12).
• When moneyline favorites, the Bucks have won a higher percentage of games at home (4-3) than away (2-3).

Bucks Recent Stats

Bucks Leaders

• Ryan Rollins is putting up 17.0 points, 4.0 rebounds and 5.9 assists per game. He's also draining 47.3% of his shots from the field and 38.9% from 3-point range, with 2.3 triples per game.
• Myles Turner is averaging 12.5 points, 5.5 rebounds and 1.6 assists per contest. He's draining 43.2% of his shots from the floor and 37.8% from 3-point range, with 2.2 triples per game.
• Bobby Portis gets the Bucks 12.3 points, 5.9 rebounds and 1.3 assists per game while averaging 0.5 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
• The Bucks are getting 13.5 points, 4.6 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game from Kyle Kuzma this year.
• AJ Green is putting up 11.0 points, 2.8 rebounds and 2.1 assists per contest. He is draining 48.6% of his shots from the field and 48.5% from 3-point range (third in NBA), with 3.2 treys per game (10th in NBA).

Bucks Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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