
Thunder vs. Hawks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Oct. 25
Updated Oct. 25, 2025 3:23 p.m. ET
Data Skrive
The Oklahoma City Thunder (2-0) take on the Atlanta Hawks (1-1) on October 25, 2025 on FDSSE, FDSOK, KWTV, and NBA TV. The Thunder are currently solid 8-point favorites over the Hawks. The matchup's point total is 237.5.
Take a look at everything you need to know about the Thunder-Hawks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.
Thunder vs. Hawks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds
- When: Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia
- TV: FDSSE, FDSOK, KWTV, and NBA TV
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder | -8 | -110 | -110 | 237.5 | -110 | -110 | -290 | +235 |
Thunder vs. Hawks Prediction
ATS Pick: Hawks (+ 8)
O/U Pick: Over (237.5)
Score Prediction: Hawks 132 - Thunder 118
Thunder vs. Hawks Betting Insights
- In 24 games last season, the Thunder and their opponents scored more than 237.5 combined points.
- The Hawks games last season had a combined scoring total higher than 237.5 points in 41 of 82 outings.
- The teams combined to score 238.7 points per game last season, 1.2 more points than the over/under for this matchup.
- Opponents of these teams combined to average 226.9 points per game last year, 10.6 fewer points than this contest's over/under.
- The average total in Thunder outings last season was 227.4, 10.1 fewer points than this game's over/under.
- The Hawks had a 235.0-point average over/under in their matchups last year, which equals this game's point total.
Thunder Recent Trends
- Oklahoma City covered 54 times in 82 chances against the spread last season.
- When playing as at least a 8-point favorite last season, Oklahoma City had an ATS record of 32-16-1.
- Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total 44 times in Oklahoma City's games.
- Last year, the 120.5 points per game the Thunder averaged were just 1.2 more points than the Hawks gave up (119.3).
- Oklahoma City had a 33-10 record against the spread and a 39-4 record overall last season when scoring more than 119.3 points.
- Last season, the Thunder had a 48.2% shooting percentage from the field, which was the same as the Hawks' opponents hit.
- The Thunder covered the spread in a higher percentage of their home games than road games last season. They covered 29 times in 42 opportunities at home, and they covered 25 times in 40 opportunities in road games.
- In terms of point totals, Oklahoma City hit the over more consistently at home last season, as it went over the total 25 times in 42 opportunities (59.5%). In away games, it hit the over 19 times in 40 opportunities (47.5%).
- The Thunder performed better as a moneyline favorite in home games last year, sporting a home record of 35-6 home record, compared to going 30-7 away from home.
Thunder Recent Stats
| Stat | Average | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points Scored | 120.5 | 4 |
| Points Allowed | 107.6 | 3 |
| Rebounds | 44.8 | 11 |
| Assists | 26.9 | 12 |
| Steals | 10.3 | 1 |
| Blocks | 5.7 | 2 |
Thunder Leaders
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander averaged 32.7 points last year, plus 5.0 rebounds and 6.4 assists.
- Jalen Williams posted 21.6 points, 5.3 boards and 5.1 assists. He sank 48.4% of his shots from the floor and 36.5% from beyond the arc, with 1.8 treys per game.
- Isaiah Hartenstein's stats last season included 11.2 points, 10.7 boards and 3.8 assists per game. He drained 58.1% of his shots from the floor.
- Aaron Wiggins put up 12.0 points, 3.9 rebounds and 1.8 assists. He made 48.8% of his shots from the field and 38.3% from 3-point range, with 1.7 triples per contest.
- Luguentz Dort's stats last season included 10.1 points, 4.1 boards and 1.6 assists per contest. He drained 43.5% of his shots from the field and 41.2% from 3-point range, with an average of 2.4 triples.
Thunder Player Props
| Points O/U | Points Over Odds | PPG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 33.5 | -108 | 45.0 |
| Chet Holmgren | 19.5 | -102 | 21.5 |
| Aaron Wiggins | 14.5 | -118 | 16.5 |
| Ajay Mitchell | 12.5 | -112 | 21.0 |
| Luguentz Dort | 11.5 | -102 | 6.5 |
Hawks Recent Trends
- The Hawks covered 42 times in 82 matchups with a spread last year.
- Atlanta had an ATS record of 8-6 as an underdog of 8 points or greater last year.
- Hawks games went over the point total 49 out of 82 times last year.
- The Hawks averaged 10.6 more points per game last year (118.2) than the Thunder allowed their opponents to score (107.6).
- When it scored more than 107.6 points last season, Atlanta went 39-29 against the spread and 38-30 overall.
- The Hawks' 47.2% shooting percentage from the field last season was 3.6 percentage points higher than the Thunder had given up to their opponents (43.6%).
- Last season, the Hawks were 19-21-0 at home against the spread (.475 winning percentage). On the road, they were 23-19-0 ATS (.548).
- Atlanta's games went above the over/under more often at home (25 times out of 40) than on the road (24 of 42) last season.
- Last season the Hawks went 13-8 at home when moneyline favorites (.619 winning percentage). On the road they went 6-4 (.600).
Hawks Recent Stats
| Stat | Average | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points Scored | 118.2 | 5 |
| Points Allowed | 119.3 | 26 |
| Rebounds | 44.5 | 14 |
| Assists | 29.6 | 2 |
| Steals | 9.7 | 2 |
| Blocks | 5.1 | 11 |
Hawks Leaders
- Trae Young put up 24.2 points per game last season along with 11.6 assists.
- Onyeka Okongwu grabbed 8.9 rebounds per game while also scoring 13.4 points a contest.
- Young made 2.9 threes per game a season ago.
- Dyson Daniels averaged 3.0 steals per game, while Okongwu collected 0.9 blocks per contest.
Hawks Player Props
| Points O/U | Points Over Odds | PPG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young | 23.5 | -130 | 23.5 |
| Jalen Johnson | 17.5 | -120 | 17.0 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 13.5 | -112 | 17.5 |
| Dyson Daniels | 11.5 | -112 | 5.0 |
| Zaccharie Risacher | 11.5 | -136 | 16.0 |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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