Nuggets vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 14

The Denver Nuggets (27-13) hope to build on a three-game road winning streak when visiting the Dallas Mavericks (15-25) on January 14, 2026. Wednesday's matchup between the Nuggets and the Mavericks features the Nuggets as slim 1-point favorites. The matchup has a point total of 226.5.

Check out everything you need to know to know about the Nuggets-Mavericks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Nuggets vs. Mavericks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Wednesday, January 14, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
• TV: ESPN, KFAA, and ALT
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Nuggets vs. Mavericks Prediction

ATS Pick: Nuggets (- 1)
O/U Pick: Over (226.5)
Score Prediction: Nuggets 120 - Mavericks 115

Nuggets vs. Mavericks Betting Insights

• The Nuggets have played 29 games with more than 226.5 points scored, their current matchup's total, this year.
• The Mavericks have played in 22 games this year (55% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 226.5 points.
• These teams average a combined 235.7 points per game, 9.2 more points than the total of 226.5 set for this matchup.
• The Nuggets and the Mavericks have seen their opponents average a combined 7.8 more points per game than the point total of 226.5 set in this game.
• Denver has been victorious in 21, or 70%, of the 30 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Dallas has been chosen as underdogs in 26 games this year and has walked away with the win nine times (34.6%) in those games.
• Dallas has taken both of its last two head-to-head matchups against Denver.
• The Mavericks have an advantage against the spread as well (2-0) when hitting the court against the Nuggets.

Nuggets Recent Trends

• The Nuggets are 6-4 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their past 10 games.
• Denver has averaged a total of 231.8 combined points over its last 10 games, 5.3 greater than this matchup's total of 226.5.
• The Nuggets have played 40 games, with 24 wins against the spread.
• So far this season, Denver has been installed as favorites by a 1-point margin or more 30 times and are 17-13 ATS in those games.
• Nuggets games this year have eclipsed the over/under 62.5% of the time (25 out of 40 games with a set point total).
• The 122.7 points per game the Nuggets record are 5.9 more points than the Mavericks allow (116.8).
• Denver has a 19-11 record against the spread and a 22-8 record overall when scoring more than 116.8 points.
• The Nuggets are shooting 50.2% from the field this season, 4.0 percentage points higher than the 46.2% the Mavericks allow to opponents.
• The Nuggets have done a better job covering the spread on the road (14-9-0) than they have at home (10-7-0).
• Looking at point totals, Denver hits the over less consistently in home games, as it has gone over the total 10 times in 17 opportunities this season (58.8%). In road games, it has hit the over 15 times in 23 opportunities (65.2%).
• The Nuggets have won a lower percentage of their games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 9-4 (.692). On the road as a moneyline favorite, they sport a record of 12-5 (.706).

Nuggets Recent Stats

Nuggets Leaders

• Jamal Murray averages 25.6 points, 4.6 rebounds and 7.5 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.0 steal and 0.3 blocks.
• Peyton Watson posts 13.7 points, 1.8 assists and 5.0 rebounds per game.
• Tim Hardaway Jr. posts 13.9 points, 2.4 boards and 1.3 assists per game, shooting 46.3% from the field and 41.4% from downtown with 2.8 made treys per game.
• Bruce Brown averages 7.1 points, 2.2 assists and 4.2 rebounds.
• Aaron Gordon averages 18.3 points, 1.7 assists and 6.2 boards.

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks have a 3-7 record against the spread while going 4-6 overall in their last 10 games.
• Dallas and its opponents have combined to score an average of 232.2 combined points over its last 10 games, 5.7 more than the 226.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Mavericks have 16 wins against the spread in 40 games this year.
• So far this season, Dallas has been installed as underdogs by a 1-point margin or more 26 times and are 14-12 ATS in those contests.
• Mavericks games this season have gone over the point total 18 times in 40 opportunities (45%).
• The Mavericks score only 4.5 fewer points per game (113.0) than the Nuggets allow their opponents to score (117.5).
• Dallas is 6-5-1 against the spread and 8-4 overall when it scores more than 117.5 points.
• The Mavericks' 47.0% shooting percentage from the field this season is the same as the Nuggets have allowed to their opponents.
• This season, the Mavericks are 11-9-1 at home against the spread (.524 winning percentage). On the road, they are 5-14-0 ATS (.263).
• In terms of the over/under, Dallas' games have finished over nine of 21 times at home (42.9%), and nine of 19 away (47.4%).
• In 2025-26 when moneyline favorites, the Mavericks have a better winning percentage at home (.500, 4-4 record) than on the road (.333, 2-4).

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• Cooper Flagg is averaging 19.1 points, 6.4 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game. He's also sinking 48.0% of his shots from the field and 29.3% from 3-point range, with 1.0 trey per contest.
• The Mavericks are getting 13.6 points, 4.6 rebounds and 2.8 assists per game from Naji Marshall this year.
• The Mavericks are getting 14.7 points, 7.4 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game from P.J. Washington this year.
• Max Christie is putting up 12.3 points, 3.5 rebounds and 2.1 assists per game. He is sinking 47.7% of his shots from the field and 44.1% from 3-point range (10th in league), with 2.4 triples per contest.
• Brandon Williams is putting up 11.5 points, 2.8 rebounds and 3.8 assists per contest. He is making 43.0% of his shots from the field.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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