Mavericks vs. Warriors Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 22

The Dallas Mavericks (18-26) will try to build on a three-game winning run when hosting the Golden State Warriors (25-20) on January 22, 2026 at American Airlines Center. The Mavericks match up against the Warriors in a game that doesn't have a set line.

Take a look at everything you need to know to know about the Mavericks-Warriors game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Mavericks vs. Warriors Game Information and TV Channel

• When: Thursday, January 22, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
• TV: Amazon Prime Video and NBCS-BA
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Mavericks vs. Warriors Prediction

ATS Pick: Warriors (+ )
O/U Pick: Under ()
Score Prediction: Warriors 117 - Mavericks 114

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 6-4 overall over their past 10 games.
• The Mavericks have played 44 games, with 19 wins against the spread.
• The Mavericks have eclipsed the over/under in 46.7% of their opportunities this year (21 times in 45 games with a set point total).
• The Mavericks average only 0.2 more points per game (114.2) than the Warriors allow (114.0).
• Dallas has a 9-6-1 record against the spread and an 11-5 record overall when scoring more than 114.0 points.
• The Mavericks are shooting 47.3% from the field this season, 0.2 percentage points higher than the 47.1% the Warriors allow to opponents.
• At home, the Mavericks sport a better record against the spread (13-10-1) compared to their ATS record in away games (6-14-0).
• At home, Dallas eclipses the over/under 50% of the time (12 of 24 games). It has hit the over in 45% of games on the road (nine of 20 contests).
• In home games, the Mavericks have won more consistently as a moneyline favorite, posting a record of 6-5 (.545). In road games, they are 2-4 (.333) as a moneyline favorite.

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• Cooper Flagg averages 18.8 points, 6.3 rebounds and 4.1 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.8 blocks.
• Naji Marshall puts up 14.2 points, 4.7 boards and 2.9 assists per contest, shooting 54.0% from the field.
• P.J. Washington puts up 14.6 points, 1.9 assists and 7.4 rebounds per contest.
• Max Christie averages 12.9 points, 3.5 boards and 2.2 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.5 steals and 0.4 blocks.
• Brandon Williams posts 12.1 points, 2.8 rebounds and 3.7 assists per contest. At the other end he averages 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocks.

Warriors Recent Trends

• The Warriors have gone 7-3 in their past 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span.
• Against the spread, the Warriors are 21-23-1 this season.
• Warriors games this season have eclipsed the over/under 26 times in 45 opportunities (57.8%).
• The Warriors score an average of 116.9 points per game, only 0.3 more points than the 116.6 the Mavericks give up to opponents.
• When it scores more than 116.6 points, Golden State is 16-9-1 against the spread and 20-6 overall.
• The Warriors are shooting 46.4% from the field, 0.1% higher than the 46.3% the Mavericks' opponents have shot this season.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Warriors have a better winning percentage at home (.542, 13-10-1 record) than away (.381, 8-13-0).
• In 2025-26, a higher percentage of Golden State's games have finished above the over/under at home (58.3%, 14 of 24) than on the road (57.1%, 12 of 21).
• As moneyline favorites, the Warriors have won a higher percentage of games at home (16-5) than on the road (5-8).

Warriors Recent Stats

Warriors Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Stephen Curry gives the Warriors 27.1 points, 3.7 rebounds and 5.1 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
• On a per-game basis, Brandin Podziemski gets the Warriors 12.3 points, 4.4 rebounds and 3.2 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Draymond Green is putting up 8.8 points, 5.8 rebounds and 5.2 assists per contest. He is sinking 43.0% of his shots from the field and 33.3% from 3-point range, with 1.5 treys per contest.
• Moses Moody is averaging 10.7 points, 3.0 rebounds and 1.5 assists per contest. He is making 42.7% of his shots from the field and 39.2% from beyond the arc, with 2.2 triples per game.
• Quinten Post gives the Warriors 8.1 points, 4.0 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest while delivering 0.5 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Dallas Mavericks

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