Kings vs. Mavericks NBA Play-In prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - April 16

Updated Apr. 16, 2025 9:22 p.m. ET

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In NBA Play-In Tournament action on Wednesday, the Sacramento Kings will meet the Dallas Mavericks. Wednesday's matchup between the Kings and the Mavericks features the Kings as 5.5-point favorites. A 213.5-point total is set for the matchup.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Kings-Mavericks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Kings vs. Mavericks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Wednesday, April 16, 2025 at 10 p.m. ET
• Where: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, California
• TV: ESPN

Kings vs. Mavericks Prediction

ATS Pick: Mavericks (+ 5.5)
O/U Pick: Over (213.5)
Score Prediction: Kings 118 - Mavericks 113

Kings vs. Mavericks Betting Insights

• This season, the Kings games have gone over 213.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, 66 (out of 82) times.
• This season, 64 of the Mavericks' 82 games have had a combined total of more than 213.5 points scored.
• The Kings and the Mavericks combine to average 16.4 more points per game than the over/under of 213.5 set for this matchup.
• The Kings and the Mavericks have seen their opponents average a combined 17.2 more points per game than the over/under of 213.5 set for this outing.
• Sacramento has been chosen as the favorite in 51 games this year and has walked away with the win 30 times (58.8%) in those games.
• Dallas has been victorious in 16, or 35.6%, of the 45 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• Sacramento has a 3-0 record in the last three head-to-head meetings with Dallas.
• The Kings have an advantage against the spread as well (2-1) when taking the court against the Mavericks.

FINAL

DAL 120 · SAC 106

NBA

SPREAD

TO WIN

TOTAL

Dallas Mavericks

DAL

+5.5

+195

O 213.5

Sacramento Kings

SAC

-5.5

-238

U 213.5

Kings Recent Trends

• The Kings are 6-4 against the spread and 5-5 overall over their last 10 games.
• Sacramento's average total over the last 10 games is 14.0 points more than the 213.5 over/under given for this matchup.
• The Kings are 35-46-1 against the spread this season.
• Sacramento has been favored by 5.5 points or more 32 times this season and are 15-16-1 ATS in those games.
• Kings games this year have gone over the total in 43 out of 82 opportunities (52.4%).
• The Kings put up 115.7 points per game, only 0.3 more points than the 115.4 the Mavericks allow.
• Sacramento has a 24-16 record against the spread and a 29-11 record overall when scoring more than 115.4 points.
• The Kings are shooting 47.8% from the field this season, 0.9 percentage points higher than the 46.9% the Mavericks allow to opponents.
• The Kings have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than road games. They have covered 15 times in 41 games when playing at home, and they've covered 20 times in 41 games when playing on the road.
• Sacramento has gone over the total more consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in 24 of 41 home matchups (58.5%). In away games, it has hit the over in 19 of 41 games (46.3%).
• The Kings have performed better as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, posting a home record of 19-12, compared to going 11-9 in away games.

Kings Recent Stats

Kings Leaders

• Domantas Sabonis puts up 19.1 points, 13.9 rebounds and 6 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 0.7 steals and 0.4 blocks.
• DeMar DeRozan averages 22.2 points, 3.9 rebounds and 4.4 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.4 blocks.
• Zach LaVine puts up 23.3 points, 4.3 boards and 4.2 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• Keegan Murray posts 12.4 points, 6.7 rebounds and 1.4 assists per contest. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.9 blocks.
• Jonas Valanciunas averages 10.4 points, 7.7 rebounds and 2 assists per game, shooting 55% from the field.

Kings Player Props

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks are 3-7 against the spread and 4-6 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Dallas and its opponents have combined to score an average of 226.6 combined points over its last 10 games, 13.1 more than the 213.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Mavericks are 39-42-1 against the spread this season.
• This season, Dallas has an against-the-spread record of 10-14 in its 24 games as an underdog of 5.5 points or more.
• The Mavericks have hit the over 54.9% of the time this year (45 of 82 games with a set point total).
• The Mavericks' 114.2 points per game are just 1.1 fewer points than the 115.3 the Kings give up to opponents.
• When it scores more than 115.3 points, Dallas is 28-13-1 against the spread and 28-14 overall.
• The Mavericks' 47.9% shooting percentage from the field this season is 0.5 percentage points higher than the Kings have given up to their opponents (47.4%).
• Against the spread, the Mavericks have performed better at home (20-20-0) than on the road (19-22-1).
• Dallas' games have finished above the over/under 42.5% of the time at home (17 of 40), and 66.7% of the time on the road (28 of 42).
• In 2024-25 as moneyline favorites, the Mavericks have a better winning percentage at home (.667, 16-8 record) than away (.538, 7-6).

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• Anthony Davis is averaging 24.7 points, 11.6 rebounds and 3.5 assists per game. He's also sinking 51.6% of his shots from the floor.
• On a per-game basis, Spencer Dinwiddie gets the Mavericks 11 points, 2.6 rebounds and 4.4 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• P.J. Washington is putting up 14.7 points, 7.8 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game. He is sinking 45.3% of his shots from the floor and 38.1% from 3-point range, with 1.6 triples per game.
• Naji Marshall gives the Mavericks 13.2 points, 4.8 rebounds and 3 assists per game while delivering 1 steal and 0.2 blocked shots.
• The Mavericks are receiving 14 points, 3.4 rebounds and 2 assists per game from Klay Thompson this year.

Mavericks Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Sacramento Kings

Dallas Mavericks

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NBA - Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento Kings - 04/17/2025

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