Heat vs. Timberwolves Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 3

The Miami Heat (19-15) will try to extend a four-game winning streak when hosting the Minnesota Timberwolves (21-13) on January 3, 2026 at Kaseya Center. The Heat face the Timberwolves in a game that does not have a set line.

Here's everything you need to know about the Heat-Timberwolves game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Heat vs. Timberwolves Game Information and TV Channel

• When: Saturday, January 3, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET
• Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
• TV: FDSSUN, FDSN, NBA TV, and WPLG
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Heat vs. Timberwolves Prediction

ATS Pick:
O/U Pick: Under ()
Score Prediction: Heat 120 - Timberwolves 116

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat are 6-4 against the spread and 5-5 overall in their last 10 contests.
• The Heat are 20-13-1 against the spread this year.
• Heat games this year have gone over the total in 17 out of 34 opportunities (50%).
• The Heat put up 6.3 more points per game (120.9) than the Timberwolves give up (114.6).
• When Miami puts up more than 114.6 points, it is 17-5 against the spread and 15-7 overall.
• The Heat are shooting 47.3% from the field this season, 1.5 percentage points higher than the 45.8% the Timberwolves allow to opponents.
• The Heat own the same winning percentage against the spread when playing at home (.588) as they do in road games.
• In home games, Miami exceeds the total 47.1% of the time (eight of 17 games). It hits the over more often in away games, eclipsing the total in 52.9% of games (nine of 17).
• The Heat have performed better as a moneyline favorite in home games, sporting a home record of 8-5, compared to going 1-1 away from home.

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Kel'el Ware posts 12.4 points, 0.5 assists and 10.6 boards per game.
• Norman Powell posts 24.2 points, 2.7 assists and 3.9 rebounds per game.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. averages 16.5 points, 4.8 assists and 5.3 boards per game.
• Bam Adebayo puts up 17.7 points, 9.7 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game, shooting 46.2% from the floor and 32.1% from beyond the arc with 1.3 made treys per game.
• Andrew Wiggins puts up 16.5 points, 5.0 rebounds and 2.9 assists per contest, shooting 47.9% from the field and 40.0% from downtown with 1.9 made treys per game.

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves have a 5-5 record against the spread while finishing 6-4 overall over their past 10 contests.
• Against the spread, the Timberwolves are 13-21-0 this year.
• Timberwolves games this year have eclipsed the over/under 15 times in 34 opportunities (44.1%).
• The Timberwolves put up an average of 118.8 points per game, only 1.4 more points than the 117.4 the Heat allow to opponents.
• Minnesota has put together a 9-7 ATS record and a 15-1 overall record in games it scores more than 117.4 points.
• The Timberwolves are shooting 47.6% from the field, 2.0% higher than the 45.6% the Heat's opponents have shot this season.
• This year, the Timberwolves are 7-11-0 at home against the spread (.389 winning percentage). On the road, they are 6-10-0 ATS (.375).
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of Minnesota's games have finished above the over/under at home (33.3%, six of 18) than away (56.2%, nine of 16).
• This year the Timberwolves are 11-4 at home when moneyline favorites (.733 winning percentage). Away they are 8-4 (.667).

Timberwolves Recent Stats

Timberwolves Leaders

• Julius Randle is putting up 22.3 points, 7.0 rebounds and 5.8 assists per game. He's also draining 48.4% of his shots from the floor and 33.3% from 3-point range, with 1.6 triples per game.
• Anthony Edwards is putting up 29.1 points, 5.0 rebounds and 3.6 assists per contest. He's making 49.9% of his shots from the floor and 39.6% from beyond the arc, with 3.3 triples per game (ninth in NBA).
• The Timberwolves are getting 11.0 points, 11.0 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game from Rudy Gobert this year.
• Naz Reid gets the Timberwolves 14.0 points, 6.3 rebounds and 2.4 assists per game while putting up 0.9 steals and 0.8 blocked shots.
• Donte DiVincenzo gives the Timberwolves 13.3 points, 4.4 rebounds and 4.1 assists per game while delivering 1.2 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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