Heat vs. Mavericks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Dec. 3

The Miami Heat (14-7) play the Dallas Mavericks (7-15) on December 3, 2025 on FDSSUN, KFAA, WFAA, and NBA TV. The Heat match up against the Mavericks in a game that Miami is currently a favorite by 4.5 points. The matchup's point total is 238.5.

Check out everything you need to know to know about the Heat-Mavericks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Heat vs. Mavericks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Wednesday, December 3, 2025 at 8:30 p.m. ET
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
• TV: FDSSUN, KFAA, WFAA, and NBA TV
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Heat vs. Mavericks Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (- 4.5)
O/U Pick: Under (238.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 121 - Mavericks 114

Heat vs. Mavericks Betting Insights

• This season, the Heat games have finished over 238.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, 13 (out of 21) times.
• Five of the Mavericks' 22 games this season have had more than 238.5 total points scored.
• The two teams average a combined 3.1 fewer points per game, 235.4, than this game's total of 238.5 points.
• Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 234.5 points per game, four fewer than the over/under for this game.
• Miami has been victorious in seven of the nine contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Dallas has been an underdog in 15 games this season and has come away with the win four times (26.7%) in those contests.
• Miami has a 1-0 record in the last one head-to-head matchups with Dallas.
• The Mavericks have an advantage against the spread (1-0) when taking the court against the Heat.

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat have gone 7-3 over their past 10 games, with a 5-5 record against the spread in that span.
• Miami has averaged a total of 240.3 combined points over its last 10 games, 1.8 greater than this matchup's over/under of 238.5.
• The Heat are 13-7-1 against the spread this year.
• So far this season, Miami has been installed as favorites by a 4.5-point margin or more seven times and are 4-3 ATS in those contests.
• Heat games this year have gone over the total in 13 out of 22 opportunities (59.1%).
• The Heat put up 124.3 points per game, 8.2 more points than the 116.1 the Mavericks allow.
• Miami has a 10-3 record against the spread and a 9-4 record overall when putting up more than 116.1 points.
• The Heat make 48.3% of their shots from the field this season, which is 2.4 percentage points higher than the Mavericks have allowed to their opponents (45.9%).
• The Heat have done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (8-4-0) than they have in road games (5-3-1).
• Miami has hit the over on the total in six of 12 home games (50%). It has done better in away games, eclipsing the total in seven of nine matchups (77.8%).

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Jaime Jaquez Jr. posts 15.6 points, 6.2 rebounds and 5.3 assists per game, shooting 51.7% from the field.
• Kel'el Ware posts 11.8 points, 10.6 rebounds and 0.5 assists per game, shooting 52.7% from the field and 40% from beyond the arc with 1 made treys per contest.
• Davion Mitchell puts up 10 points, 2.9 boards and 7.8 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 1.4 steals and 0 blocks.
• Andrew Wiggins averages 17.5 points, 5.1 rebounds and 2.9 assists per contest, shooting 49.6% from the field and 36.8% from beyond the arc with 1.8 made treys per contest.
• Bam Adebayo posts 19.4 points, 8.9 rebounds and 2.6 assists per contest. Defensively he averages 1 steal and 0.9 blocks.

Heat Player Props

Mavericks Recent Trends

• The Mavericks have a 5-5 record against the spread while going 4-6 overall in their last 10 games.
• Dallas has averaged a total of 231.6 combined points in its last 10 games, 6.9 fewer than this game's over/under of 238.5.
• The Mavericks have 10 wins against the spread in 22 games this year.
• Dallas has an against the spread record of 6-4 in its 10 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or more this season.
• Mavericks games this season have gone over the point total nine times in 22 opportunities (40.9%).
• The Mavericks score 7.3 fewer points per game (111.1) than the Heat allow their opponents to score (118.4).
• When it scores more than 118.4 points, Dallas is 3-2 against the spread and 3-2 overall.
• The Mavericks' 44.9% shooting percentage from the field this season is one percentage point higher than the Heat have given up to their opponents (43.9%).
• The Mavericks have performed better against the spread on the road (5-4-0) than at home (5-8-0) this year.
• Dallas' games have finished above the over/under less often at home (five times out of 13) than away (four of nine) this season.
• As moneyline favorites, the Mavericks have won a lower percentage of games at home (2-4) than on the road (1-0).

Mavericks Recent Stats

Mavericks Leaders

• Cooper Flagg is averaging 17 points, 6.6 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game. He's also sinking 46.6% of his shots from the floor and 25.6% from beyond the arc, with 1 trey per contest.
• The Mavericks are receiving 12 points, 5.3 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game from Naji Marshall this year.
• Max Christie gets the Mavericks 12.2 points, 3.3 rebounds and 2 assists per contest while posting 0.5 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
• The Mavericks are receiving 10.7 points, 2.5 rebounds and 4.1 assists per game from Brandon Williams this season.
• The Mavericks are getting 11.7 points, 2.7 rebounds and 4.7 assists per game from D'Angelo Russell this year.

Mavericks Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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