Heat vs. Magic Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 28

The Orlando Magic (23-22) will attempt to stop a four-game losing streak when visiting the Miami Heat (25-22) on January 28, 2026 at Kaseya Center. Wednesday's matchup between the Heat and the Magic features the Heat as 4-point favorites. A 230.5-point over/under is set for the matchup.

Here is everything you need to know to know about the Heat-Magic game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Heat vs. Magic Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Wednesday, January 28, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
• TV: FDSSUN and FDSFL
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Heat vs. Magic Prediction

ATS Pick: Heat (- 4)
O/U Pick: Over (230.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 120 - Magic 114

Heat vs. Magic Betting Insights

• This year, the Heat games have gone over 230.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, 31 (out of 47) times.
• This season, 20 of the Magic's 45 total matchups have gone over 230.5 total points scored.
• These teams average 234.7 points per game combined, 4.2 more than the over/under of 230.5.
• Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 233.4 points per game, 2.9 more than the over/under in this matchup.
• Miami has won 13, or 65%, of the 20 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• Orlando has been victorious in four, or 33.3%, of the 12 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• Orlando has won each of its last three head-to-head meetings with Miami.
• The Heat have a 2-1 record against the spread when playing the Magic.
• The Magic have not covered in four consecutive games against the point spread, and were favored in three of them.

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat have gone 5-5 in their last 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread during that span.
• Miami's average total over the last 10 games is 5.2 points more than the 230.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
• The Heat have played 47 games, with 27 wins against the spread.
• This season, Miami has an against the spread record of 9-9 in its 18 games as a favorite of 4 points or more.
• Heat games this year have eclipsed the over/under 55.6% of the time (25 out of 45 games with a set point total).
• The Heat put up just 4.3 more points per game (119.7) than the Magic allow (115.4).
• Miami has a 20-5 record against the spread and an 18-7 record overall when putting up more than 115.4 points.
• The Heat make 46.4% of their shots from the field this season, which is 1.6 percentage points lower than the Magic have allowed to their opponents (48.0%).
• The Heat have a better record against the spread in home games (13-9-0) than they do in road games (14-10-1).
• Miami has exceeded the total less often when playing at home, hitting the over in 11 of 22 home matchups (50%). On the road, it has hit the over in 14 of 25 games (56%).
• The Heat have played better as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, sporting a home record of 10-5, compared to going 3-2 away from home.

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Bam Adebayo puts up 17.9 points, 9.7 rebounds and 2.7 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.0 steal and 0.8 blocks.
• Norman Powell puts up 23.1 points, 3.8 boards and 2.7 assists per contest, shooting 47.3% from the floor and 39.3% from beyond the arc with 2.9 made treys per contest.
• Andrew Wiggins puts up 15.7 points, 2.9 assists and 5.0 boards per game.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. averages 15.3 points, 4.7 assists and 5.3 rebounds.
• Kel'el Ware averages 11.6 points, 0.6 assists and 9.8 rebounds.

Heat Player Props

Magic Recent Trends

• The Magic are 3-7 against the spread and 4-6 overall in their last 10 games.
• Orlando has averaged a total of 227.9 combined points over its last 10 games, 2.6 fewer than this matchup's total of 230.5.
• The Magic have 17 wins against the spread in 45 games this year.
• Orlando is 3-5 ATS when underdogs by 4 points or more this season.
• The Magic have eclipsed the over/under 48.9% of the time this year (22 of 45 games with a set point total).
• The Magic score only 3.0 fewer points per game (115.0) than the Heat give up to opponents (118.0).
• When it scores more than 118.0 points, Orlando is 11-6 against the spread and 14-3 overall.
• The Magic's 46.2% shooting percentage from the field this season is .
• Against the spread, the Magic have been better at home (10-13-0) than on the road (7-15-0).
• In terms of the over/under, Orlando's games have gone over 11 of 23 times at home (47.8%), and 11 of 22 on the road (50%).
• The Magic, as moneyline favorites, have won a higher percentage of games at home (12-7) than on the road (7-7) this year.

Magic Recent Stats

Magic Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Desmond Bane gives the Magic 18.9 points, 4.5 rebounds and 4.4 assists. He also averages 0.8 steals and 0.5 blocked shots.
• On a per-game basis, Paolo Banchero gives the Magic 21.6 points, 8.7 rebounds and 4.9 assists. He also averages 0.7 steals and 0.6 blocked shots.
• Anthony Black is putting up 15.6 points, 4.1 rebounds and 4.0 assists per game. He is sinking 45.8% of his shots from the floor and 34.9% from beyond the arc, with 1.6 treys per game.
• The Magic are getting 12.2 points, 7.5 rebounds and 2.2 assists per game from Wendell Carter Jr. this season.
• Jalen Suggs is averaging 14.4 points, 3.6 rebounds and 4.8 assists per contest. He is draining 45.7% of his shots from the floor and 31.7% from beyond the arc, with 1.8 triples per game.

Magic Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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