Heat vs. Jazz Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 24

Heat vs. Jazz Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 24

Updated Jan. 24, 2026 9:24 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Miami Heat (23-22) face the Utah Jazz (15-30) on January 24, 2026 on FDSSUN, KJZZ, and Jazz+. The Heat are currently solid 6.5-point favorites over the Jazz. The game has a point total of 245.5.

Here is everything you need to know about the Heat-Jazz game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Heat vs. Jazz Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

  • When: Saturday, January 24, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah
  • TV: FDSSUN, KJZZ, and Jazz+
  • Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
Heat vs Jazz Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Heat -6.5 -106 -114 245.5 -110 -110 -255 +210

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Heat vs. Jazz Prediction

ATS Pick: Jazz (+ 6.5)
O/U Pick: Under (245.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 123 - Jazz 119

Heat vs. Jazz Betting Insights

  • The Heat and their opponent have combined to score over 245.5 points, the current matchup's over/under, in 17 of 45 games this year.
  • The Jazz have played in 25 games this year (55.6% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 245.5 points.
  • The Heat and the Jazz combine to average 7.1 fewer points per game than the total of 245.5 set for this game.
  • Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 245.8 points per game, 0.3 more than the over/under in this matchup.
  • Miami has been the favorite in 19 games this season and has come away with the win 12 times (63.2%) in those contests.
  • Utah has won in 12, or 29.3%, of the 41 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
  • Miami and Utah have each won one of their last two head-to-head matchups.
  • The Jazz have an advantage against the spread (2-0) when playing the Heat.

Heat Recent Trends

  • The Heat are 5-5 against the spread and 4-6 overall over their past 10 contests.
  • Miami's average total over the last 10 games is 8.5 points fewer than the 245.5 total listed for this matchup.
  • Against the spread, the Heat are 25-19-1 this season.
  • This season, Miami has an against the spread record of 5-4 in its nine games as a favorite of 6.5 points or more.
  • The Heat have eclipsed the over/under in 53.3% of their opportunities this year (24 times over 45 games with a set point total).
  • The Heat record 119.3 points per game, 8.1 fewer points than the 127.4 the Jazz allow.
  • When Miami scores more than 127.4 points, it is 9-2 against the spread and 9-2 overall.
  • This season, the Heat have a 46.5% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.9% lower than the 49.4% of shots the Jazz's opponents have knocked down.
  • The Heat own a better record against the spread at home (13-9-0) than they do in away games (12-10-1).
  • Miami has exceeded the total in a lower percentage of home games (50%) than road tilts (56.5%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, the Heat have won a higher percentage of their games at home (.667) compared to road games (.500).

Heat Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 119.3 4
Points Allowed 118.4 24
Rebounds 45.5 6
Assists 28.6 7
Steals 9.0 6
Blocks 4.3 24

Heat Leaders

  • Bam Adebayo puts up 17.6 points, 9.6 rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.0 steal and 0.8 blocks.
  • Norman Powell posts 23.5 points, 2.6 assists and 3.6 rebounds per game.
  • Andrew Wiggins puts up 15.9 points, 2.8 assists and 4.9 boards per game.
  • Jaime Jaquez Jr. averages 15.4 points, 5.2 rebounds and 4.7 assists per game, shooting 51.7% from the floor.
  • Davion Mitchell averages 9.0 points, 7.2 assists and 2.6 boards.

Heat Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Norman Powell 23.5 -110 23.5
Bam Adebayo 20.5 -104 17.6
Andrew Wiggins 16.5 -106 15.9
Jaime Jaquez Jr. 14.5 -114 15.4
Pelle Larsson 11.5 -130 9.4

Jazz Recent Trends

  • The Jazz are 6-4 against the spread and 3-7 overall in their last 10 contests.
  • Utah and its opponents have combined to score an average of 240.9 combined points over its last 10 games, 4.6 less than the 245.5 over/under in this matchup.
  • Against the spread, the Jazz are 25-20-0 this year.
  • This season, Utah has an against-the-spread record of 15-12 in its 27 games as an underdog of 6.5 points or more.
  • Jazz games this season have gone over the point total 62.2% of the time (28 out of 45 games with a set point total).
  • The Jazz score just 0.7 more points per game (119.1) than the Heat allow (118.4).
  • Utah is 18-6 against the spread and 13-11 overall when it scores more than 118.4 points.
  • The Jazz's 46.7% shooting percentage from the field this season is 0.3 percentage points higher than the Heat have given up to their opponents (46.4%).
  • Against the spread, the Jazz have performed better at home (15-8-0) than on the road (10-12-0).
  • In terms of the over/under, Utah's games have gone over more frequently at home (17 of 23, 73.9%) than away (11 of 22, 50%).
  • In 2025-26 when moneyline favorites, the Jazz have a better winning percentage at home (1.000, 2-0 record) than away (.500, 1-1).

Jazz Recent Stats

Stat Average Rank
Points Scored 119.1 6
Points Allowed 127.4 30
Rebounds 44.2 15
Assists 30.2 2
Steals 7.7 22
Blocks 3.3 30

Jazz Leaders

  • Keyonte George puts up 24.4 points, 4.0 rebounds and 6.7 assists per game for the Jazz.
  • The Jazz are receiving 11.1 points, 10.2 rebounds and 4.8 assists per game from Jusuf Nurkic this year.
  • The Jazz are receiving 9.3 points, 6.2 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game from Kyle Filipowski this season.
  • Isaiah Collier gets the Jazz 8.9 points, 2.3 rebounds and 6.6 assists per contest while averaging 0.7 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
  • The Jazz are receiving 11.5 points, 3.0 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game from Brice Sensabaugh this season.

Jazz Player Props

Points O/U Points Over Odds PPG
Keyonte George 26.5 -118 24.4
Lauri Markkanen 26.5 -112 27.9
Jusuf Nurkic 16.5 -102 11.1
Ace Bailey 14.5 +102 10.9
Kyle Filipowski 11.5 -120 9.3

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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