
Heat vs. Jazz Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 24
Updated Jan. 24, 2026 9:24 p.m. ET
Data Skrive
The Miami Heat (23-22) face the Utah Jazz (15-30) on January 24, 2026 on FDSSUN, KJZZ, and Jazz+. The Heat are currently solid 6.5-point favorites over the Jazz. The game has a point total of 245.5.
Here is everything you need to know about the Heat-Jazz game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.
Heat vs. Jazz Game Information, TV Channel & Odds
- When: Saturday, January 24, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah
- TV: FDSSUN, KJZZ, and Jazz+
- Live Boxscore: FOX Sports
| Favorite | Spread | Favorite Spread Odds | Underdog Spread Odds | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | -6.5 | -106 | -114 | 245.5 | -110 | -110 | -255 | +210 |
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Heat vs. Jazz Prediction
ATS Pick: Jazz (+ 6.5)
O/U Pick: Under (245.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 123 - Jazz 119
Heat vs. Jazz Betting Insights
- The Heat and their opponent have combined to score over 245.5 points, the current matchup's over/under, in 17 of 45 games this year.
- The Jazz have played in 25 games this year (55.6% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 245.5 points.
- The Heat and the Jazz combine to average 7.1 fewer points per game than the total of 245.5 set for this game.
- Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 245.8 points per game, 0.3 more than the over/under in this matchup.
- Miami has been the favorite in 19 games this season and has come away with the win 12 times (63.2%) in those contests.
- Utah has won in 12, or 29.3%, of the 41 contests it has been named as the odds-on underdog this year.
- Miami and Utah have each won one of their last two head-to-head matchups.
- The Jazz have an advantage against the spread (2-0) when playing the Heat.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat are 5-5 against the spread and 4-6 overall over their past 10 contests.
- Miami's average total over the last 10 games is 8.5 points fewer than the 245.5 total listed for this matchup.
- Against the spread, the Heat are 25-19-1 this season.
- This season, Miami has an against the spread record of 5-4 in its nine games as a favorite of 6.5 points or more.
- The Heat have eclipsed the over/under in 53.3% of their opportunities this year (24 times over 45 games with a set point total).
- The Heat record 119.3 points per game, 8.1 fewer points than the 127.4 the Jazz allow.
- When Miami scores more than 127.4 points, it is 9-2 against the spread and 9-2 overall.
- This season, the Heat have a 46.5% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.9% lower than the 49.4% of shots the Jazz's opponents have knocked down.
- The Heat own a better record against the spread at home (13-9-0) than they do in away games (12-10-1).
- Miami has exceeded the total in a lower percentage of home games (50%) than road tilts (56.5%).
- As a moneyline favorite, the Heat have won a higher percentage of their games at home (.667) compared to road games (.500).
Heat Recent Stats
| Stat | Average | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points Scored | 119.3 | 4 |
| Points Allowed | 118.4 | 24 |
| Rebounds | 45.5 | 6 |
| Assists | 28.6 | 7 |
| Steals | 9.0 | 6 |
| Blocks | 4.3 | 24 |
Heat Leaders
- Bam Adebayo puts up 17.6 points, 9.6 rebounds and 2.8 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.0 steal and 0.8 blocks.
- Norman Powell posts 23.5 points, 2.6 assists and 3.6 rebounds per game.
- Andrew Wiggins puts up 15.9 points, 2.8 assists and 4.9 boards per game.
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. averages 15.4 points, 5.2 rebounds and 4.7 assists per game, shooting 51.7% from the floor.
- Davion Mitchell averages 9.0 points, 7.2 assists and 2.6 boards.
Heat Player Props
| Points O/U | Points Over Odds | PPG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Powell | 23.5 | -110 | 23.5 |
| Bam Adebayo | 20.5 | -104 | 17.6 |
| Andrew Wiggins | 16.5 | -106 | 15.9 |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 14.5 | -114 | 15.4 |
| Pelle Larsson | 11.5 | -130 | 9.4 |
Jazz Recent Trends
- The Jazz are 6-4 against the spread and 3-7 overall in their last 10 contests.
- Utah and its opponents have combined to score an average of 240.9 combined points over its last 10 games, 4.6 less than the 245.5 over/under in this matchup.
- Against the spread, the Jazz are 25-20-0 this year.
- This season, Utah has an against-the-spread record of 15-12 in its 27 games as an underdog of 6.5 points or more.
- Jazz games this season have gone over the point total 62.2% of the time (28 out of 45 games with a set point total).
- The Jazz score just 0.7 more points per game (119.1) than the Heat allow (118.4).
- Utah is 18-6 against the spread and 13-11 overall when it scores more than 118.4 points.
- The Jazz's 46.7% shooting percentage from the field this season is 0.3 percentage points higher than the Heat have given up to their opponents (46.4%).
- Against the spread, the Jazz have performed better at home (15-8-0) than on the road (10-12-0).
- In terms of the over/under, Utah's games have gone over more frequently at home (17 of 23, 73.9%) than away (11 of 22, 50%).
- In 2025-26 when moneyline favorites, the Jazz have a better winning percentage at home (1.000, 2-0 record) than away (.500, 1-1).
Jazz Recent Stats
| Stat | Average | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Points Scored | 119.1 | 6 |
| Points Allowed | 127.4 | 30 |
| Rebounds | 44.2 | 15 |
| Assists | 30.2 | 2 |
| Steals | 7.7 | 22 |
| Blocks | 3.3 | 30 |
Jazz Leaders
- Keyonte George puts up 24.4 points, 4.0 rebounds and 6.7 assists per game for the Jazz.
- The Jazz are receiving 11.1 points, 10.2 rebounds and 4.8 assists per game from Jusuf Nurkic this year.
- The Jazz are receiving 9.3 points, 6.2 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game from Kyle Filipowski this season.
- Isaiah Collier gets the Jazz 8.9 points, 2.3 rebounds and 6.6 assists per contest while averaging 0.7 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
- The Jazz are receiving 11.5 points, 3.0 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game from Brice Sensabaugh this season.
Jazz Player Props
| Points O/U | Points Over Odds | PPG | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keyonte George | 26.5 | -118 | 24.4 |
| Lauri Markkanen | 26.5 | -112 | 27.9 |
| Jusuf Nurkic | 16.5 | -102 | 11.1 |
| Ace Bailey | 14.5 | +102 | 10.9 |
| Kyle Filipowski | 11.5 | -120 | 9.3 |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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