Heat vs. Celtics Prediction, Odds, Picks - Jan. 15

The Boston Celtics (24-15) face the Miami Heat (21-19) on January 15, 2026 at Kaseya Center. Thursday's matchup has no line set between the Heat and the Celtics.

Take a look at everything you need to know about the Heat-Celtics game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Heat vs. Celtics Game Information and TV Channel

• When: Thursday, January 15, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
• Where: Kaseya Center in Miami, Florida
• TV: FDSSUN and NBCS-BOS
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Heat vs. Celtics Prediction

ATS Pick: Celtics (+ )
O/U Pick: Under ()
Score Prediction: -Celtics 117 - Heat 116

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat are 7-3 against the spread and 6-4 overall over their last 10 contests.
• The Heat have played 40 games, with 23 wins against the spread.
• Heat games this year have gone over the point total 51.3% of the time (20 out of 39 games with a set point total).
• The Heat record 119.6 points per game, 9.5 more points than the 110.1 the Celtics allow.
• Miami is 20-8 against the spread and 17-11 overall when scoring more than 110.1 points.
• This season, the Heat have a 47.0% shooting percentage from the field, which is 2.0% higher than the 45.0% of shots the Celtics' opponents have hit.
• The Heat own a better record against the spread when playing at home (12-8-0) than they do in road games (11-8-1).
• When playing at home, Miami exceeds the over/under 50% of the time (10 of 20 games). It hits the over in the same percentage of away games (10 of 20 contests).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Heat have taken 10 of 15 games at home, good for a .667 winning percentage. They have won one of three games away from home (.333) as a moneyline favorite.

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Norman Powell averages 23.9 points, 3.8 rebounds and 2.7 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.3 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• Kel'el Ware posts 11.9 points, 0.6 assists and 10.1 rebounds per contest.
• Bam Adebayo posts 16.8 points, 2.7 assists and 9.7 boards per game.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. posts 15.9 points, 5.1 rebounds and 4.6 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.8 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• Andrew Wiggins averages 15.8 points, 2.8 assists and 4.8 rebounds.

Celtics Recent Trends

• The Celtics are 5-5 against the spread and 6-4 overall in their last 10 games.
• The Celtics have 21 wins against the spread in 39 games this year.
• Celtics games this year have gone over the point total 43.6% of the time (17 out of 39 games with a set point total).
• The Celtics score an average of 116.6 points per game, just 1.2 fewer points than the 117.8 the Heat give up.
• Boston has put together a 14-2 ATS record and a 16-0 overall record in games it scores more than 117.8 points.
• The Celtics are shooting 47.3% from the field, 1.4% higher than the 45.9% the Heat's opponents have shot this season.
• This year, the Celtics are 9-10-0 at home against the spread (.474 winning percentage). Away, they are 12-7-1 ATS (.600).
• Looking at the over/under, Boston's games have gone over nine of 19 times at home (47.4%), and eight of 20 away (40%).
• The Celtics, as moneyline favorites, have won a lower percentage of games at home (9-5) than away (8-4) this season.

Celtics Recent Stats

Celtics Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Jaylen Brown gets the Celtics 29.5 points, 6.4 rebounds and 5.0 assists. He also averages 1.0 steal and 0.4 blocked shots.
• On a per-game basis, Derrick White gives the Celtics 18.6 points, 4.4 rebounds and 5.2 assists. He also averages 1.3 steals and 1.5 blocked shots (seventh in NBA).
• Payton Pritchard is putting up 17.0 points, 4.5 rebounds and 5.3 assists per game. He is sinking 44.8% of his shots from the field and 33.8% from 3-point range, with 2.5 treys per game.
• Neemias Queta is averaging 10.1 points, 8.2 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game. He is draining 65.6% of his shots from the floor (fourth in league).
• Anfernee Simons gives the Celtics 13.5 points, 2.3 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game while delivering 0.4 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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