Heat vs. Bucks Prediction, Odds, Picks - Feb. 24

The Miami Heat (31-27) aim to continue a three-game winning stretch when they visit the Milwaukee Bucks (24-31) on February 24, 2026 at Fiserv Forum. Tuesday's game between the Heat and the Bucks sees the Heat as 5.5-point favorites. The over/under for the game is 228.5.

Take a look at everything you need to know to know about the Heat-Bucks game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Heat vs. Bucks Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Tuesday, February 24, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• Where: Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• TV: FDSSUN and FDSWI
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Heat vs. Bucks Prediction

ATS Pick: Bucks (+ 5.5)
O/U Pick: Over (228.5)
Score Prediction: Heat 118 - Bucks 115

Heat vs. Bucks Betting Insights

• The Heat have played 39 games with more than 228.5 points scored, their current matchup's point total, this year.
• This season, 24 of the Bucks' 55 games have had a combined total of more than 228.5 points scored.
• The Heat and Bucks average 3.5 more points between them than the total of 228.5 for this game.
• The Heat and the Bucks have seen their opponents average a combined 3.8 more points per game than the over/under of 228.5 set for this outing.
• Miami has won 18, or 62.1%, of the 29 contests in which it was the favorite this year.
• Milwaukee has been an underdog in 34 games this season and has come away with the win 14 times (41.2%) in those contests.
• Miami has come out on top in its lone head-to-head matchup against Milwaukee.
• The Bucks have an advantage against the spread (1-0) when taking the court against the Heat.
• The Heat have been favored in two of their previous three games, and covered the spread in all three.

Heat Recent Trends

• The Heat have a 7-3 record against the spread while finishing 6-4 overall in their past 10 contests.
• Miami's average total over the last 10 games is 7.0 points more than the 228.5 over/under listed for this matchup.
• In the Heat's 58 games this season, they have 34 wins against the spread.
• This season, Miami has an ATS record of 10-9 in its 19 games as a favorite of 5.5 points or more.
• The Heat have gone over the point total in 54.5% of their opportunities this year (30 times over 55 games with a set point total).
• The 120.0 points per game the Heat score are just 4.6 more points than the Bucks give up (115.4).
• Miami is 27-8 against the spread and 24-9 overall when scoring more than 115.4 points.
• The Heat are shooting 46.3% from the field this season, 0.2 percentage points lower than the 46.5% the Bucks allow to opponents.
• The Heat have done a better job covering the spread in away games (19-10-1) than they have at home (15-13-0).
• Miami has gone over the total more consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in 15 of 28 home matchups (53.6%). On the road, it has hit the over in 15 of 30 games (50%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Heat have won a lower percentage of their home games (.571) compared to road games (.750).

Heat Recent Stats

Heat Leaders

• Bam Adebayo puts up 18.3 points, 2.9 assists and 9.8 rebounds per contest.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. posts 15.1 points, 5.4 boards and 4.7 assists per contest, shooting 50.4% from the floor.
• Norman Powell posts 22.9 points, 3.6 boards and 2.6 assists per contest. At the other end, he averages 1.2 steals and 0.2 blocks.
• Andrew Wiggins puts up 16.1 points, 5.1 boards and 2.8 assists per contest, shooting 47.6% from the floor and 40.7% from beyond the arc with 2.0 made treys per contest.
• Kel'el Ware averages 11.4 points, 0.6 assists and 9.4 boards.

Bucks Recent Trends

• The Bucks have gone 6-4 in their last 10 contests, with a 6-4 record against the spread in that span.
• Milwaukee and its opponents have combined to score an average of 220.4 combined points in its last 10 games, 8.1 less than the 228.5 over/under in this matchup.
• Against the spread, the Bucks are 25-30-0 this season.
• So far this year, Milwaukee has been installed as underdogs by a 5.5-point margin or more 17 times and are 7-10 ATS in those contests.
• Bucks games this year have gone over the total in 22 of 55 opportunities (40%).
• The Bucks put up just 4.9 fewer points per game (112.0) than the Heat allow (116.9).
• When it scores more than 116.9 points, Milwaukee is 10-5 against the spread and 12-3 overall.
• The Bucks have shot at a 48.2% rate from the field this season, 2.5 percentage points higher than the 45.7% shooting opponents of the Heat have averaged.
• Against the spread, the Bucks have had better results on the road (14-16-0) than at home (11-14-0) .
• Milwaukee's games have finished above the over/under more often at home (12 times out of 25) than on the road (10 of 30) this season.
• The Bucks' winning percentage at home when moneyline favorites is .455 (5-6), and away it is .500 (5-5).

Bucks Recent Stats

Bucks Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Ryan Rollins gives the Bucks 17.1 points, 4.6 rebounds and 5.4 assists. He also averages 1.5 steals (seventh in league) and 0.4 blocked shots.
• On a per-game basis, Giannis Antetokounmpo gets the Bucks 28.0 points, 10.0 rebounds and 5.6 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 0.7 blocked shots.
• The Bucks are receiving 12.7 points, 5.7 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game from Myles Turner this year.
• Bobby Portis gets the Bucks 13.1 points, 6.7 rebounds and 1.6 assists per game while putting up 0.6 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.
• Kyle Kuzma gets the Bucks 12.7 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game while putting up 0.6 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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