Grizzlies vs. Pacers Prediction, Odds, Picks - March 1

The Indiana Pacers (15-45) hope to stop a five-game losing streak when hosting the Memphis Grizzlies (22-36) on March 1, 2026 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Memphis is a tight 1-point favorite against Indiana when the Grizzlies take the court against the Pacers on Sunday. The matchup has a point total of 237.5.

Here is everything you need to know about the Grizzlies-Pacers game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Grizzlies vs. Pacers Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET
• Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, Indiana
• TV: FDSIN and FDSSE
• Live Boxscore: FOX Sports

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Grizzlies vs. Pacers Prediction

ATS Pick: Grizzlies (- 1)
O/U Pick: Under (237.5)
Score Prediction: Grizzlies 117 - Pacers 115

Grizzlies vs. Pacers Betting Insights

• Of 58 games thus far this season, the Grizzlies have played 21 with over 237.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under.
• The Pacers have played in 21 games this year (35% of chances) in which the teams combined to score more than 237.5 points.
• The Grizzlies and the Pacers combine to average 10.4 fewer points per game than the over/under of 237.5 set for this matchup.
• The Grizzlies and the Pacers have seen their opponents average a combined 0.1 fewer points per game than the over/under of 237.5 set for this game.
• Memphis has been victorious in 12, or 63.2%, of the 19 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
• Indiana has been an underdog in 50 games this season and has come away with the win 12 times (24%) in those contests.
• Memphis holds a 1-0 record in the last one head-to-head matchups against Indiana.
• The Grizzlies also hold a 1-0 edge against the spread when taking on the Pacers.
• Against the spread, the Pacers have not covered for five straight games, and were favored in two of those contests.

Grizzlies Recent Trends

• The Grizzlies are 6-4 against the spread and 3-7 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Memphis has averaged a total of 232.7 combined points over its last 10 games, 4.8 less than this matchup's over/under of 237.5.
• The Grizzlies are 26-31-1 against the spread this year.
• Memphis is 10-10 ATS when favored by 1 point or more this season.
• Grizzlies games this year have gone over the total in 28 out of 60 opportunities (46.7%).
• The Grizzlies record 115.6 points per game, only 3.9 fewer points than the 119.5 the Pacers allow.
• Memphis has a 12-8 record against the spread and a 12-8 record overall when putting up more than 119.5 points.
• The Grizzlies are shooting 46.1% from the field this season, 2.7 percentage points lower than the 48.8% the Pacers allow to opponents.
• The Grizzlies have a worse record against the spread when playing at home (12-17-0) than they do on the road (14-14-1).
• When it comes to point totals, Memphis hits the over more often when playing at home, as it has gone over the total 16 times in 29 opportunities this season (55.2%). On the road, it has hit the over 12 times in 29 opportunities (41.4%).
• As a moneyline favorite, the Grizzlies have won a lower percentage of their games at home (.571) compared to away games (.800).

Grizzlies Recent Stats

Grizzlies Leaders

• Cam Spencer averages 11.4 points, 2.6 rebounds and 5.5 assists per game, shooting 47.5% from the field and 44.0% from beyond the arc (seventh in NBA) with 2.1 made treys per contest.
• Cedric Coward posts 13.3 points, 2.9 assists and 6.2 rebounds per game.
• Santi Aldama averages 14.0 points, 6.7 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game, shooting 47.9% from the floor and 35.0% from beyond the arc with 1.6 made 3-pointers per game.
• Jaylen Wells averages 12.3 points, 1.7 assists and 3.4 rebounds.
• Walter Clayton Jr. puts up 7.0 points, 2.0 boards and 3.4 assists per contest. At the other end he averages 0.6 steals and 0.3 blocks.

Pacers Recent Trends

• The Pacers have two wins against the spread, and are 2-8 overall, over their past 10 contests.
• Indiana has averaged a total of 228.1 combined points over its last 10 games, 9.4 fewer than this matchup's total of 237.5.
• In the Pacers' 60 games this year, they have 28 wins against the spread.
• Indiana has an against the spread record of 25-25 in its 50 games when underdogs by 1 point or more this season.
• Pacers games this year have gone over the total in 27 of 60 opportunities (45%).
• The Pacers' 111.5 points per game are 6.4 fewer points than the 117.9 the Grizzlies give up.
• Indiana has put together a 9-8 ATS record and a 7-10 overall record in games it scores more than 117.9 points.
• The Pacers are shooting 45.0% from the field, 2.1% lower than the 47.1% the Grizzlies' opponents have shot this season.
• In 2025-26 against the spread, the Pacers have a better winning percentage at home (.548, 17-14-0 record) than on the road (.379, 11-18-0).
• Indiana's games have finished above the over/under more frequently at home (16 times out of 31) than on the road (11 of 29) this season.
• As moneyline favorites, the Pacers have won a higher percentage of games at home (3-4) than on the road (0-3).

Pacers Recent Stats

Pacers Leaders

• On a per-game basis, Pascal Siakam gives the Pacers 23.9 points, 6.8 rebounds and 3.9 assists. He also averages 1.1 steals and 0.4 blocked shots.
• On a per-game basis, Andrew Nembhard gives the Pacers 17.4 points, 2.8 rebounds and 7.4 assists. He also averages 0.9 steals and 0.1 blocked shots.
• The Pacers are receiving 10.9 points, 4.9 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game from Jarace Walker this season.
• Jay Huff is putting up 8.9 points, 3.8 rebounds and 1.4 assists per game. He is making 47.0% of his shots from the floor and 30.7% from 3-point range, with 1.4 triples per contest.
• T.J. McConnell gets the Pacers 9.5 points, 2.2 rebounds and 4.7 assists per contest while averaging 1.1 steals and 0.2 blocked shots.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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