Cavaliers vs. Pacers Game 1 prediction, how to watch, TV channel, odds - May 4

In Game 1 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs, the Cleveland Cavaliers will meet the Indiana Pacers. Sunday's matchup between the Cavaliers and the Pacers features the Cavaliers as healthy 8.5-point favorites. The game's over/under is 229.5.

Check out everything you need to know to know about the Cavaliers-Pacers game, from the point spread, moneyline, total Over/Under and expert picks, as well as TV channel and streaming information.

Cavaliers vs. Pacers Game Information, TV Channel & Odds

• When: Sunday, May 4, 2025 at 6 p.m. ET
• Where: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland, Ohio
• TV: TNT, truTV, and MAX

Cavaliers vs. Pacers Prediction

ATS Pick: Cavaliers (- 8.5)
O/U Pick: Over (229.5)
Score Prediction: Cavaliers 122 - Pacers 111

Cavaliers vs. Pacers Betting Insights

• The Cavaliers have played 50 games with over 229.5 points scored, their current matchup's over/under, this year.
• A total of 49 Pacers games this season (out of 82) have gone over 229.5 total points scored.
• These two teams average 239.3 points per game combined, 9.8 more than the over/under of 229.5.
• The Cavaliers and the Pacers have seen their opponents average a combined 2.0 fewer points per game than the point total of 229.5 set for this game.
• Cleveland has been chosen as the favorite in 74 games this year and has walked away with the win 60 times (81.1%) in those games.
• Indiana has been victorious in 14, or 45.2%, of the 31 contests it has been chosen as an underdog in this season.
• In the last four head-to-head meetings, Indiana has a 3-1 record against Cleveland.
• The two squads are each 2-2 against the spread in those outings.

Cavaliers Recent Trends

• The Cavaliers are 6-4 against the spread and 7-3 overall over their past 10 contests.
• Cleveland has averaged a total of 225.7 combined points over its last 10 games, 3.8 less than this matchup's total of 229.5.
• Against the spread, the Cavaliers are 49-33-0 this season.
• So far this season, Cleveland has been installed as favorites by an 8.5-point margin or more 43 times and are 22-21 ATS in those contests.
• Cavaliers games this year have hit the over 59.8% of the time (49 out of 82 games with a set point total).
• The 121.9 points per game the Cavaliers put up are 6.8 more points than the Pacers give up (115.1).
• Cleveland has a 39-17 record against the spread and a 48-8 record overall when scoring more than 115.1 points.
• This season, the Cavaliers have a 49.1% shooting percentage from the field, which is 1.7% higher than the 47.4% of shots the Pacers' opponents have hit.
• The Cavaliers have covered the spread in a lower percentage of their home games than away games. They have covered 23 times in 41 games when playing at home, and they've covered 26 times in 41 games on the road.
• When it comes to point totals, Cleveland hits the over more consistently in home games, as it has exceeded the total 25 times in 41 opportunities this season (61%). In road games, it has hit the over 24 times in 41 opportunities (58.5%).
• The Cavaliers have fared better as a moneyline favorite in home games, posting a home record of 34-6, compared to going 26-8 in away games.

Cavaliers Recent Stats

Cavaliers Leaders

• Donovan Mitchell puts up 24 points, 4.5 rebounds and 5 assists per game, shooting 44.3% from the field and 36.8% from beyond the arc with 3.3 made 3-pointers per contest (eighth in league).
• Evan Mobley puts up 18.5 points, 9.3 rebounds and 3.2 assists per game. At the other end, he averages 0.9 steals and 1.6 blocks (fourth in NBA).
• Darius Garland posts 20.6 points, 6.7 assists and 2.9 boards per contest.
• Jarrett Allen puts up 13.5 points, 9.7 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game. Defensively, he averages 0.9 steals and 0.9 blocks.
• De'Andre Hunter averages 17 points, 1.4 assists and 4 rebounds.

Cavaliers Player Props

Pacers Recent Trends

• The Pacers are 5-5 against the spread and 8-2 overall over their last 10 contests.
• Indiana and its opponents have combined to score an average of 228.5 combined points over its last 10 games, 1.0 less than the 229.5 over/under in this matchup.
• The Pacers are 38-43-1 against the spread this year.
• Indiana has been underdogs by 8.5 points or more six times this year and are 3-3 ATS in those matchups.
• Pacers games this year have gone over the point total 44 times in 82 opportunities (53.7%).
• The Pacers' 117.4 points per game are five more points than the 112.4 the Cavaliers give up.
• When it scores more than 112.4 points, Indiana is 33-23-1 against the spread and 39-18 overall.
• The Pacers are shooting 48.8% from the field, 3.4% higher than the 45.4% the Cavaliers' opponents have shot this season.
• Against the spread, the Pacers have an identical winning percentage (.463) at home (19-21-1 record) and away (19-22-0).
• Indiana's games have finished above the over/under 53.7% of the time both at home (22 of 41) and on the road (22 of 41) this season.
• In 2024-25 as moneyline favorites, the Pacers have a better winning percentage at home (.806, 25-6 record) than on the road (.526, 10-9).

Pacers Recent Stats

Pacers Leaders

• Tyrese Haliburton is averaging 18.6 points, 3.5 rebounds and 9.2 assists per contest. He's also sinking 47.3% of his shots from the field and 38.8% from beyond the arc, with 3 triples per contest.
• The Pacers are receiving 20.2 points, 6.9 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game from Pascal Siakam this year.
• Myles Turner is putting up 15.6 points, 6.5 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game. He is draining 48.1% of his shots from the field and 39.6% from 3-point range, with 2.2 treys per contest.
• Bennedict Mathurin gets the Pacers 16.1 points, 5.3 rebounds and 1.9 assists per game while averaging 0.7 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.
• T.J. McConnell gives the Pacers 9.1 points, 2.4 rebounds and 4.4 assists per contest while averaging 1.1 steals and 0.3 blocked shots.

Pacers Player Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience

National Basketball Association

Cleveland Cavaliers

Indiana Pacers