Yankees vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 30

Yandy Diaz and the Tampa Bay Rays will look to knock off Cody Bellinger and the New York Yankees on Wednesday at 7:05 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium. Oddsmakers list the Yankees as -140 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Rays +119 moneyline odds. New York is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The contest's total is set at 9 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Rays vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees.

Yankees vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, July 30, 2025 at 7:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to watch on TV: MLB Network, Amazon Prime Video, and FDSSUN

Yankees vs. Rays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Rays 4
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 54%, Rays 46%

Yankees vs. Rays Betting Insights

• This season, the Yankees have been favored 91 times and won 51, or 56%, of those games.
• New York has a record of 41-26, a 61.2% win rate, when favored by -140 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The Yankees have a 58.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Rays have won in 22, or 43.1%, of the 51 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Tampa Bay has a win-loss record of 13-11 when favored by +119 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The Rays have an implied victory probability of 45.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees have a 2-4 record from the six games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Yankees' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Bellinger has 20 doubles, four triples, 20 home runs and 32 walks while batting .282.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Bellinger ranks 23rd in homers and 31st in RBI.
• Bellinger has collected a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .222 with a triple, two home runs, three walks and four RBIs.
• Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .283 with 23 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 30 walks.
• Including all MLB hitters, Goldschmidt ranks 176th in home runs and 151st in RBI.
• Anthony Volpe is hitting .216 with 22 doubles, three triples, 15 home runs and 35 walks.
• Trent Grisham is batting .246 with nine doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 46 walks.

Yankees Team Props

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Rays and their opponents are 3-7-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Rays have one win against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Diaz has 19 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 36 walks while batting .282.
• Diaz ranks 38th in home runs and 29th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Junior Caminero has hit 27 home runs with 70 runs batted in, leading the team in both categories.
• Caminero is sixth among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 14th in RBI.
• Jonathan Aranda paces the Rays' lineup with a .315 batting average.
• Chandler Simpson is batting .300 with eight doubles, a triple and 13 walks.

Rays Team Props

Rays vs. Yankees Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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