Yankees vs. Rays Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 28

Cody Bellinger and Chandler Simpson will look to continue their recent offensive production when the New York Yankees and Tampa Bay Rays meet at Yankee Stadium on Monday, at 7:05 p.m. ET. The Yankees are favored in this one, at -130, while the underdog Rays have +109 odds to play spoiler. New York (-1.5) is favored on the run line. An 8.5-run over/under is set in the contest.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Rays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Yankees vs. Rays Game Information & Odds

• When: Monday, July 28, 2025 at 7:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to watch on TV: YES and FDSSUN

Yankees vs. Rays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Rays 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 54%, Rays 46%

Yankees vs. Rays Betting Insights

• This season, the Yankees have won 50 out of the 89 games, or 56.2%, in which they've been favored.
• This season New York has won 45 of its 77 games, or 58.4%, when favored by at least -130 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 56.5% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
• The Rays have been victorious in 21, or 42.9%, of the 49 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, Tampa Bay has won 16 of 28 games when listed as at least +109 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Rays have an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees went 1-4 across the five games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Yankees and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
• The Yankees' record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Bellinger is hitting .282 with 20 doubles, four triples, 19 home runs and 31 walks.
• In all of the majors, Bellinger is 27th in home runs and 42nd in RBI.
• Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .287 with 23 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 30 walks.
• Goldschmidt is 169th in homers and 151st in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Anthony Volpe is hitting .215 with 22 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 35 walks.
• Trent Grisham is batting .252 with nine doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 45 walks.
• Grisham brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .200 with a walk and an RBI.

Yankees Team Props

Rays Recent Betting Performance

• The Rays have played as underdogs three times over their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Rays and their opponents are 3-7-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Rays have one win against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Rays Recent Stats

Rays Player Insights

• Yandy Diaz is hitting .284 with 19 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 34 walks.
• Diaz ranks 37th in homers and 29th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Junior Caminero has hit 26 home runs with 68 RBI, leading the team in both categories.
• Among all MLB hitters, Caminero is seventh in home runs and 14th in RBI.
• Jonathan Aranda paces the Rays with a team-high batting average of .312.
• Simpson is batting .307 with eight doubles, a triple and 13 walks.

Rays Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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