Yankees vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 25

Aaron Judge and the New York Yankees will meet Trea Turner and the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday at Yankee Stadium, at 7:05 p.m. ET. The favored Yankees have -166 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Phillies, who are listed at +138. New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +122 odds). The over/under is 10.5 runs for this matchup.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Yankees-Phillies game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Yankees vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, July 25, 2025 at 7:05 p.m. ET
• Where: Yankee Stadium in The Bronx, New York
• How to watch on TV: Apple TV+

Yankees vs. Phillies Prediction

• Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Phillies 4
• Total Prediction: Under 10.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Yankees 54%, Phillies 46%

Yankees vs. Phillies Betting Insights

• This season, the Yankees have won 50 out of the 88 games, or 56.8%, in which they've been favored.
• This season New York has won 26 of its 41 games, or 63.4%, when favored by at least -166 on the moneyline.
• The Yankees have a 62.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Phillies have come away with seven wins in the 21 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Philadelphia has been listed as an underdog of +138 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 42% chance of walking away with the win.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

• The Yankees went 2-4 across the six games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Yankees combined with their opponents to go over the run total five times.
• The Yankees' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Yankees Player Insights

• Judge has a team-best batting average of .345, while pacing the Yankees in home runs (37) and runs batted in (84).
• Judge ranks second in home runs and second in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Cody Bellinger is batting .285 with 20 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 29 walks.
• Bellinger ranks 34th in homers and 37th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
• Bellinger has two games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .318 with two doubles, two home runs and three RBIs.
• Paul Goldschmidt is hitting .288 with 23 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 29 walks.
• Trent Grisham is hitting .255 with nine doubles, a triple, 17 home runs and 44 walks.
• Grisham brings a five-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .316 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and five RBIs.

Yankees Team Props

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

• Oddsmakers have not installed the Phillies as underdogs in any of their last 10 games.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
• The Phillies have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Phillies Recent Stats

Phillies Player Insights

• Kyle Schwarber has posted a team-high 34 home runs and has driven in 78 runs.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Schwarber ranks fifth in home runs and seventh in RBI.
• Turner has a club-leading .290 batting average.
• Among all MLB hitters, Turner ranks 113th in home runs and 106th in RBI.
• Bryce Harper is hitting .271 with 22 doubles, 14 home runs and 45 walks.
• Nick Castellanos is hitting .269 with 22 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 22 walks.

Phillies Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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